Reuters (December 16)
“The euro zone will soon have to pay for a decade of European Central Bank largesse. Rising interest rates are turning the ECB’s portfolio of bonds acquired since 2014 into a money-losing machine. The question of how those losses are shared could become a major source of tension between member states.”
Tags: 2014, Bonds, ECB, Euro zone, Interest rates, Largesse, Losses, Money-losing, Portfolio, Rising
Wall Street Journal (December 12)
“Stocks and bonds have headed in opposite directions to start December, a sign that investors’ worries about slowing growth have started to eclipse their fears of persistent inflation.”
Tags: Bonds, December, Fears, Investors, Opposite directions, Persistent inflation, Slowing growth, Stocks, Worries
Market Watch (November 15)
“A bullish day is setting up for stocks after more upbeat news on inflation as producer prices fell more than expected.” But the relief rally is likely overdone. “Wall Street remains wary, with fresh warnings from two big banks.” On Monday, Goldman Sachs cautioned “clients that the relief rally in bonds and risky assets was ‘likely overdone,’” just as “one of Wall Street’s most vocal bulls — Marco Kolanovic of JPMorgan — cut his equity risk exposure for the second time in two months, and he also cited that big market bounce last week.”
Tags: Bonds, Bullish, Goldman Sachs, Inflation, JPMorgan, Kolanovic, Overdone, Producer prices, Relief rally, Risky assets, Stocks, Upbeat, Wall Street, Warnings, Wary
Sydney Morning Herald (August 10)
“There are 68 trusts in China with about $4.3 trillion of assets – property loans, shares, bonds and commodities – under management, with property accounting for at least $500 billion of the total.” The National Audit Office has been instructed “to inspect the books of the country’s biggest trust firms.” This shows “the increasing concern of the Chinese authorities that the implosion of their property development sector could ignite a wider financial crisis.”
Tags: $4.3 trillion, 68 trusts, Assets, Authorities, Bonds, China, Commodities, Concern, Implosion, Loans, National Audit Office, Property, Shares
Investment Week (July 14)
“For the first time in over a decade, listed stocks and bonds are positively correlated. Combined with geopolitical tensions, record inflation and monetary policy shifts, investors are having to look further afield to achieve returns.” That has some investors looking at alternatives as “an effective diversifier that can be worked into a full portfolio.”
Tags: Alternatives, Bonds, Decade, Diversifier, Geopolitical tensions, Inflation, Investors, Monetary policy, Positively correlated, Returns, Stocks
Institutional Investor (May 25)
“Managers that want to run fixed-income funds with a focus on environmental, social, and governance factors face larger research challenges than those in stocks. But the massive opportunity in bonds may make the uphill battle worth it.” Compared to equities, the “patchwork of standards” increases the “risks of ESG fixed income funds.”
Tags: Bonds, Challenges, Equities, ESG, Fixed income, Funds, Managers, Opportunity, Patchwork, Research, Risks, Standards, Stocks, Uphill
Financial Times (September 22)
“While Evergrande’s US dollar bonds are trading at levels that suggest default, Beijing is unlikely to allow the company’s woes to proliferate to the point at which they risk creating a systemic crisis. The correct way to view the Evergrande meltdown is to see it as a controlled explosion. Beijing is teaching the developer a very public and painful lesson.”
Tags: Beijing, Bonds, Controlled, Default, Evergrande, Explosion, Lesson, Meltdown, Painful, Risk, Systemic crisis, Trading
Investment Week (March 12)
“BBB corporate bonds, the lowest investment grade rating band in which a company’s debt rating can reside, have now grown to make up more than half of the entire global investment grade (IG) market.” When the next downturn strikes,”there could be a cascade of ‘fallen angels’, companies that are downgraded from IG to high yield (HY), swamping the smaller HY market and causing problems for investors as liquidity dries up and imperfect market clearing mechanisms struggle to cope.”
Tags: BBB, Bonds, Debt, Downgrade, Downturn, Fallen angels, High yield, Investment grade, Liquidity, Market clearing, Strikes
Wall Street Journal (October 3)
“Investors propelled bond yields to multiyear highs Wednesday as robust economic data and an easing of trade tensions across North America sparked fresh optimism about the global growth outlook. Wednesday’s bond rout sent the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note, a closely watched barometer of investors’ sentiment toward growth and inflation, to its highest level since July 2011.”
Tags: Bonds, Economic data, Growth, Highs, Inflation, Investors, Optimism, Sentiment, Trade tensions, Treasuries, U.S., Yields
New York Times (August 9)
The $30 trillion U.S. stock market hogs the attention, but “the larger domestic debt market—at around $41 trillion for the bond market alone—reveals more about our nation’s financial health. And right now, the debt market is broadcasting a dangerous message: Investors, desperate for debt instruments that pay high interest, have been overpaying for riskier and riskier obligations…. with little concern that bonds can be every bit as dangerous to own as stocks.” The mispricing of risk is still rampant and when spreads rise and defaults begin, “trillions of dollars in invested capital could be lost.” Although, we’re not necessarily “on the verge of a recession. But the corporate debt bubble inevitably will play a role in causing it.”
Tags: Bonds, Bubble, Dangerous, Debt market, Desperate, Interest, Investors, Mispricing, Overpaying, Recession, Riskier, Stock market, U.S.