Financial Times (February 1)
“Mounting losses from banks in the US, Asia and Europe have rekindled concerns about weakness in the US commercial property market, a sector that has been under pressure from lower occupancy levels and higher interest rates.” This week New York Community Bancorp, Aozora Bank and Deutsche Bank each warned of related risks or recognized losses, which “mark the latest fallout from the… dual problems of fewer people working in offices since the pandemic and more expensive borrowing costs.”
Tags: Aozora Bank, Asia, Banks, Commercial property, Concerns, Deutsche Bank, Europe, Fallout, Interest rates, Losses, Occupancy, Offices, Pandemic, Pressure, Risks, U.S., Weakness
Economic Times (March 28)
Regulators suspect a single “trade on Deutsche Bank AG’s credit default swaps… fuelled a global selloff on Friday.” The roughly £5 million bet was for swaps on the bank’s junior debt. Likely due to market illiquidity, along with market jitters, the “knock-on effect was a rout that sent banking stocks tumbling, government bonds higher and CDS prices for lenders soaring.”
Tags: Bonds, CDS, Deutsche Bank, Global selloff, Illiquidity, Jitters, Junior debt, Market, Regulators, Rout, Suspect, Trade, Tumbling
Forbes (April 5)
“Deutsche Bank on Tuesday became the first major bank on Wall Street to forecast a recession next year, albeit a ‘moderate’ one, thanks to the combination of surging inflation and rising interest rates.” Expectations are increasing for “a possible economic downturn on the horizon, with alarms growing louder after the widely-observed yield curve inverted last week and indicated a looming recession.”
Tags: Deutsche Bank, Economic downturn, Expectations, Forecast, Interest rates, Looming, Recession, Surging inflation, Wall Street, Yield curve
Wall Street Journal (July 17)
“Germany has a patchy record in fighting corporate crime. Volkswagen AG ’s giant emissions-cheating scandal was uncovered by California. The U.S. has imposed more money-laundering fines on troubled German lender Deutsche Bank AG than Germany has. BaFin’s decadelong blind spot for Wirecard now raises questions about the country’s ability to enforce securities rules that protect investors.”
Tags: BaFin, Blind spot, California, Corporate crime, Deutsche Bank, Emissions, Enforce, Fines, Germany, Investors, Money laundering, Patchy record, Scandal, Securities rules, U.S., Volkswagen, Wirecard
Institutional Investor (February Issue)
“Over the past five years, as Barclays and Royal Bank of Scotland in the U.K., UBS and Credit Suisse in Switzerland and even Deutsche Bank have pared back their investment banking activities, U.S. banks have powered ahead in the European arena in just about every sector, including the all-important FICC and M&A advisory categories.”
Tags: Barclays, Credit Suisse, Deutsche Bank, FICC, Investment banking, M&A, RBS, Switzerland, U.K., U.S. Europe, UBS
Institutional Investor (April 24)
To strengthen their balance sheets, large banks (including Deutsche Bank, Royal Bank of Scotland, UBS, Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan Chase and Barclays) have been reducing their commodities businesses, mainly through sales to independent trading companies. With these sales “to smaller players, conflicts of interest remain a potential problem” and nobody’s sure whether new problems will accompany this major shift. Given the skinnier balance sheets of the new players, market liquidity could conceivably suffer. In addition, “concerns abound that the underlying problems that have traditionally beset the commodities markets are simply being pushed onto a new and less tightly regulated set of actors.”
Tags: Balance sheets, Banks, Barclays, Commodities, Conflicts of interest, Deutsche Bank, JPMorgan Chase, Liquidity, Morgan Stanley, Regulated, Royal Bank of Scotland, Shift, Trading, UBS
Bloomberg (February 4)
Japan is no longer the belle of the global investment ball, but not everyone’s counting her out. At a price-to-book value of 1.1, the Topix is trading at roughly half of 2006 levels. The Topix looks even cheaper compared to the S&P 500’s price-to-book ratio of 2.3. Balance sheets are generally strong and many are poised to prosper on growing demand from China. Goldman Sachs expects “corporate profits in Japan this year will approach 2007 highs.” Deutsche Bank is forecasting returns exceeding 20% for Japanese stocks in the first half of 2011 alone.
Japan is no longer the belle of the global investment ball, but not everyone’s counting her out. At a price-to-book value of 1.1, the Topix is trading at roughly half of 2006 levels. The Topix looks even cheaper compared to the S&P 500’s price-to-book ratio of 2.3. Balance sheets are generally strong and many are poised to prosper on growing demand from China. Goldman Sachs expects “corporate profits in Japan this year will approach 2007 highs.” Deutsche Bank is forecasting returns exceeding 20% for Japanese stocks in the first half of 2011 alone.
Tags: Deutsche Bank, Equity, Goldman Sachs, Investment, Japan
