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Financial Times (November 15)

2023/ 11/ 15 by jd in Global News

“One of Asia’s sleepiest investment sectors has outperformed tech stocks.” Share prices have soared at Japanese banks and their earnings now “confirm the prescience of that rally…. Earnings at Japan’s five biggest banking groups rose 56 per cent to a record of about ¥2tn ($13bn).” Higher spreads and buybacks are part of the equation, “but the biggest driver of the rally has been rising hopes that the central bank may end its ultra-easy monetary policy soon.”

 

New York Times (July 25)

2023/ 07/ 25 by jd in Global News

“One question is at the top of many investors’ minds: Is the hype around artificial intelligence, which has propelled tech giants’ stock prices sky-high in recent months, justified, or is it another bubble in the making?” At the moment, “Wall Street is deeply divided about the A.I. rally” though this may change as Big Tech reports earnings.

 

Seeking Alpha (May 7)

2023/ 05/ 09 by jd in Global News

“Berkshire Hathaway holds $130 billion in cash. That is over 18% of the company’s market cap. Clearly, management is not confident in the near term outlook of U.S. equity markets” in light of “the increasing preponderance of data that supports lower growth and lower earnings. The U.S. has certainly experienced an incredible period of growth and profits over the last 3 years. That phase is coming to an end.”

 

Fortune (May 6)

2023/ 05/ 08 by jd in Global News

“Warren Buffett, whose economic insights are craved for Berkshire Hathaway Inc.’s deep ties to the American economy, had a gloomy prediction for his own businesses: the good times may be over. The billionaire investor expects earnings at the majority of Berkshire’s operations to fall this year as a long-predicted downturn slows economic activity.”

 

Wall Street Journal (March 25)

2023/ 03/ 26 by jd in Global News

The aggregate M-Score index, which measures manipulation across corporate America “shows that the collective probability of fraud across major companies is the highest in over 40 years,” possibly foreshadowing economic downturn. “The theory is that their index might be catching distress in the stages when some companies are taking steps to try to cover it up…. The stock market might behave like the corporate sector is still humming along when in reality, its earnings are increasingly buoyed by tricks.”

 

Economic Times (January 23)

2023/ 01/ 26 by jd in Global News

Big Tech’s “planned rightsizing is… unlikely to make up for the deep correction in 2022 of technology companies’ stock prices. Earnings estimates for the last quarter of 2022 are grim and Big Tech may have to go in for more job cuts to keep market capitalisation aloft. This could be a theme for the industry in 2023.”

 

CNBC (November 13)

2022/ 11/ 15 by jd in Global News

As large U.S. retailers report earnings, inventory levels will dominate the gaze of analysts and investors. Retailers including Walmart, Target and Gap “are trying to sell through a glut of extra merchandise piling up in store backrooms and warehouses…. Balancing inventory has taken on additional urgency, as economists warn of dwindling savings accounts, rising credit card debt and the risk of a recession.”

 

Wall Street Journal (January 6)

2022/ 01/ 07 by jd in Global News

“Investors are bracing themselves for volatility in 2022. Easing supply chain snarls, potential interest rate increases and slowing growth in corporate earnings are all being closely watched. Contributing to the murky picture: a mixed economic recovery, complicated by the fast-moving Omicron variant of Covid-19, which is making it harder for investors to consider whether to readjust portfolios toward value stocks.”

 

Seeing Alpha (November 10)

2021/ 11/ 11 by jd in Global News

“CPI came in red-hot again, up 0.9% month-over-month and 6.2% year-over-year, showing broad-based increases. The biggest contributors to price gains were energy, rent, food, and used cars and trucks.” As a result, “real average hourly earnings for American workers are down 1.2% year-over-year. Not exactly what we’re hoping to see.”

 

Reuters (April 1)

2021/ 04/ 02 by jd in Global News

“Global equity markets surged on Thursday, with U.S. and European benchmark indexes hitting record highs, as the strongest manufacturing data around the world in decades and a drop in bond yields drove investor optimism.” Support is strong with “multiple tailwinds— stimulus, expectations of record earnings, vaccines—driving stocks higher.”

 

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