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The Guardian (October 1)

2018/ 10/ 03 by jd in Global News

“British manufacturers are pulling back sharply on investment plans due to mounting uncertainty over Brexit and growing fears of a global trade war,” with only a third of firms planning to “to increase their investment in plant and machinery – a record low.”

 

Reuters (August 9)

2018/ 08/ 10 by jd in Global News

“The last thing the Bank of England wants right now, one suspects, is a precipitous fall in the value of the pound. Yet with the worst Brexit fears intensifying, that’s exactly what it may have to brace for.”

 

Wall Street Journal (June 21)

2018/ 06/ 24 by jd in Global News

Investors aren’t quite sure “how to trade a trade war.” Some obvious stocks like Boeing and Caterpillar are being hit hard, but for many others there’s a lack of information on the potential impact, “partly because supply chains are so complex.” While there’s much to “suggest that trade war fears haven’t sunk in properly,” the bigger issue is that it is challenging “to price in something you don’t understand, and the implications of a trade battle are obscure, at best.” We don’t know “precisely which products will be targeted in the next round, or how long the tariffs will last.”

 

Reuters (March 16)

2018/ 03/ 18 by jd in Global News

“Simmering fears of a global trade war. An embarrassing political scandal in Japan. Rapid job-turnover inside the White House and the threat of faster interest rate hikes in the United States….” Yet somehow “markets have brushed aside risks and recurring bad news on geopolitics to stay focused on positive macro-economic cues.”

 

Investment Week (December 9)

2017/ 12/ 10 by jd in Global News

“The industry has been gripped by fears of an impending market correction for some time now and debating what could cause a pullback, but talk may have been premature as global equity markets continue to hit fresh record highs into the latter stages of 2017.” UK wealth managers have been “more downbeat than their global peers” due to domestic issues like “negotiating Brexit and the potential for a Labour win if another snap General Election is called.”

 

Time (December 7)

2016/ 12/ 09 by jd in Global News

“To his believers, he delivers change—broad, deep, historic change, not modest measures doled out in Dixie cups; to his detractors, he inspires fear both for what he may do and what may be done in his name.” Time magazine named Donald Trump their Person of the Year because he “had the greatest influence, for better or worse, on the events of the year.”

 

Chicago Tribune (May 18)

2016/ 05/ 20 by jd in Global News

“The danger of pot is commonly exaggerated.” Four years ago when Colorado legalized marijuana, there were all sorts of fears regarding negative consequences. These haven’t materialized. “Legalization has been remarkable for how unremarkable it’s been.”

 

Reuters (May 15)

2016/ 05/ 16 by jd in Global News

“Fears policy makers are out of ammunition has led a growing number of overseas investors to speculate the BOJ might resort to helicopter money,” but this remains unlikely. “Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda likes to keep markets guessing by saying one thing and doing another, but… officials and close associates say he almost certainly means it” when he rules out using helicopter money to reinvigorate the economy.

 

Bloomberg (February 23)

2016/ 02/ 25 by jd in Global News

“For Chinese leaders, the need to prop up faltering GDP growth outweighs fears about a rapid buildup in debt.” New loans from banks were 70% higher in January than a year prior. “Debt now tops 230 percent of GDP and could reach as high as 300 percent of GDP if current trends continue…. Even the Bank for International Settlements, a body not known for hyperbole, has warned that Chinese debt is reaching levels that typically trigger financial crises.”

 

Financial Times (August 11)

2015/ 08/ 13 by jd in Global News

Fears are growing of a meltdown in the aluminum market as Chinese output soars and, much like the oil market, supply outstrips demand. “China now accounts for more than half of global supply, up from 18 per cent in 2003 thanks to cheap power and the world’s most efficiently built smelters. Established producers from North America to Russia and the Middle East—facing the lowest prices since the financial crisis, reduced margins and profits—are anxious but do not want to cut capacity for fear of losing market share.”

 

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