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Reuters (June 7)

2018/ 06/ 08 by jd in Global News

“Despite a torrid start to 2018 and with Brexit uncertainties looming large, British blue-chip stocks have jumped to record highs thanks to a weak pound, a torrent of mergers and acquisitions, and bouts of political anxiety in the euro zone.” This is less the result of long-term optimism and more a re-calibration that UK  positions had been marked down excessively.

 

Equities.com (May 30)

2018/ 06/ 01 by jd in Global News

“Ultimately, we believe at present that the majority of important economic, financial, and market indicators, as well as the established historical pattern, suggest that a final period of rally and exuberance lies ahead before the bull market that began in March 2009 finally ends. It may be that this rally is led by smaller U.S. companies, by non-U.S. companies, or by commodity-oriented stocks. The culmination of the rally could take place later this year, or more probably be delayed until 2019 or 2020.”

 

South China Morning Post (May 21)

2018/ 05/ 23 by jd in Global News

“The direction is clear, and the pace is picking up. For investors around the world, the biggest mistake would be to ignore China’s markets and their enormous potential now.” As China’s capital markets continue opening up, “investors—be they European hedge funds, pension funds in Australia, sovereign wealth funds from Asia, or ordinary savers around the world—will need to look at what might be a once-in-a-generation opportunity.” The June 1 inclusion of 200 of the mainland’s large-cap companies into the MSCI alone might “prompt well over half a trillion US dollars to pour into Chinese stocks in the next five to 10 years, as institutional investors adjust index-linked portfolios to MSCI’s change.”

 

Bloomberg (January 12)

2018/ 01/ 14 by jd in Global News

“Since Kuroda took office five years ago, bank stocks have underperformed the broader market by more than 50 percentage points,” but there are signs that  Japanese banks will soon lose their “cheapest in the world” status. Despite a 5.7% average ROE, large Japanese financial institutions trade at just 0.69 of book. If, as widely expected, the BoJ relaxes its yield curve control, these large financial institutions would receive a welcome boost.

 

Wall Street Journal (January 9)

2018/ 01/ 10 by jd in Global News

“The S&P 500 inched higher Monday, extending this year’s run of records. Stocks have begun 2018 on an upbeat note, buoyed by investors’ optimism over the global economy and bets that central banks are unlikely to pressure markets by raising interest rates faster than expected.”

 

Wall Street Journal (December 31)

2017/ 12/ 31 by jd in Global News

“Global stock benchmarks have surged to multiyear highs or records this year, boosted by a rally in shares of technology companies, a synchronized pickup in growth around the world, and unexpectedly benign inflation readings that have kept central bank policy ultraloose.”

 

Bloomberg (December 6)

2017/ 12/ 07 by jd in Global News

“Every bull market is unique, but the one in China right now looks downright strange. The Shanghai Composite Index has climbed 24 percent from its January 2016 low, and yet a majority of stocks in the benchmark gauge have fallen during the period.” China has become a global outlier. “For all 45 of the other national equity gauges that have climbed at least 20 percent since last January, a majority of index members have recorded gains.”

 

Nordic Business Insider (November 17)

2017/ 11/ 19 by jd in Global News

“Norway’s $1 trillion pension fund wants to ditch all oil and gas stocks.” The irony of the proposed move is that the Government Pension Fund of Norway has become the world’s largest sovereign wealth fund by investing Norway’s oil and gas revenue. The move is not being proposed as a bet against petroleum, but rather to mitigate risk through diversification. “The fund’s exposure to fossil fuel markets is currently double that of a standard global fund.”

 

Wall Street Journal (August 21)

2017/ 08/ 23 by jd in Global News

“Investors are running out of reasons to keep buying U.S. stocks, exposing a growing number of warning signs. The historic calm that enveloped U.S. stocks for much of this year has been upended twice in the past two weeks…. It is too soon to call the end of the eight-year bull market, investors, traders and analysts say, but many agree the indiscriminate optimism that characterized the postelection rally is evaporating.”

 

Bloomberg (June 22)

2017/ 06/ 23 by jd in Global News

“In the culmination of a long-running saga, MSCI Inc. yesterday announced that it would include some Chinese stocks in its widely used benchmark indexes, starting next year.” The decision beggars belief. “China is undeniably an increasingly important market…. But lowering the standards of what constitutes a market and obfuscating real problems just exposes unknowing foreign investors to elevated risks. If Chinese investors and even regulators are so wary of Chinese stocks, why encourage foreigners to enter the fray?”

 

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