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CBS News (September 7)

2018/ 09/ 08 by jd in Global News

“The Trump administration’s trade battles with China, Canada, Mexico and other countries around the world can feel like a bewildering descent into the obscure. But you don’t have to be an expert to grasp that, in the era of globalization, a trade war upends the way countries have operated for decades.”

 

Bloomberg (August 1)

2018/ 08/ 02 by jd in Global News

“After earnings carnage at global auto rivals,” Toyota is in the “spotlight.” From Detroit to Seoul, Toyota’s global rivals “fell short of estimates and warned of more pain from the trade war.” In contrast, “the world’s most valuable automaker will likely report modest sales and earnings growth for the most recent quarter.” But going forward the automaker still “faces a fight on every front. Potential U.S. tariffs threaten to cripple demand in its biggest market, rivals continue to pull ahead in China, and at home, the top-selling Prius is suffering a slump in popularity.”

 

Washington Post (July 30)

2018/ 08/ 01 by jd in Global News

“Trump has repeatedly said he would protect American farmers in the trade war, last week setting aside $12 billion to help them, but he is facing pressure to extend aid to other industries…. The U.S. Chamber of Commerce on Monday estimated the total price tag could hit $39 billion if Trump compensated the losses across all industries.” But most “critics of Trump’s trade policy are calling on him to de-escalate the trade war rather than try to bail out the businesses hurt by it.”

 

South China Morning Post (July 26)

2018/ 07/ 28 by jd in Global News

“Trump says trade talks are ‘going really well’. US and China officials ask: ‘What talks?’ Diplomatic sources say no high-level discussions to defuse the growing trade war have taken place since June.”

 

Bloomberg (July 20)

2018/ 07/ 22 by jd in Global News

“What’s next for commodities after a recent price collapse? It looks like more bad news, if the chart watchers are right. The Bloomberg Commodity Index has tumbled about 10 percent from a high in May amid mounting concerns that a trade war could derail global growth, curbing demand for everything from aluminum to soybeans.”

 

Forbes (July 9)

2018/ 07/ 11 by jd in Global News

“Investors seem willing to bet that the near-term winner of the trade war is Trump. However, the detrimental effects of an escalating trade war are being considered by central bankers here and in Europe. The negative impact mainly comes from a worsening in business sentiment and corporate investment.”

 

Washington Post (June 25)

2018/ 06/ 27 by jd in Global News

“Mr. Trump owns this trade war, at home and abroad. He not only has decided to play a game of chicken with the U.S. economy. He has decided to play against the whole world.”

 

NBC News (June 25)

2018/ 06/ 26 by jd in Global News

“The Trump Administration’s trade war is starting to have real impacts on farmers who grow everything from corn to cotton.” Soybeans look set to bear much of the economic pain. “Soybeans were the nation’s largest agricultural export in 2017 and China was the biggest buyer, purchasing 57 percent of the total. But since China announced the tariff, the price of soybeans has fallen by roughly 15 percent to a more than two-year low.”

 

Forbes (June 24)

2018/ 06/ 26 by jd in Global News

“While Trump and some in the White House argue that China has much more to lose in a trade war than does the United States, they may be underestimating Xi’s resolve to appear unwavering in the face of attacks from China’s main economic rival, the United States.”

 

Wall Street Journal (June 21)

2018/ 06/ 24 by jd in Global News

Investors aren’t quite sure “how to trade a trade war.” Some obvious stocks like Boeing and Caterpillar are being hit hard, but for many others there’s a lack of information on the potential impact, “partly because supply chains are so complex.” While there’s much to “suggest that trade war fears haven’t sunk in properly,” the bigger issue is that it is challenging “to price in something you don’t understand, and the implications of a trade battle are obscure, at best.” We don’t know “precisely which products will be targeted in the next round, or how long the tariffs will last.”

 

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