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Bloomberg (July 15)

2018/ 07/ 15 by jd in Global News

“As the world’s largest exporter, China continues to benefit from robust global demand, but the increase in tensions and trade barriers with the U.S. is weighing on the outlook…. President Xi Jinping may ultimately have to choose between softening his multi-year campaign to control debt levels, or letting growth dip below the target of 6.5 percent.”

 

The Economist (July 7)

2018/ 07/ 09 by jd in Global News

“The world’s most titanic commercial fight” is pitting “the towering giants of American and Chinese tech” against each other. It is “led by the FAANGs (Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix and Google’s parent, Alphabet) on one side and the BATs (Baidu, Alibaba and Tencent) on the other.” The battle has largely stayed under the radar. “But its outcome could put third countries in one camp or the other, increasing the risk that the world eventually splits into two techno-blocs.”

 

South China Morning Post (July 6)

2018/ 07/ 08 by jd in Global News

As the U.S. and China begin to “spar over trade, Japan may avoid a direct hit – for now.” While the first round of tariffs is “expected to have limited impact,” the dispute “could lead to further appreciation of yen and punitive duties on Japanese cars” if it continues to spiral out of control.

 

Reuters (July 5)

2018/ 07/ 06 by jd in Global News

“Investors watching the trade tit-for-tat between the United States and China may well have reason to fear the havoc a full blown conflict between the world’s two biggest economies could wreak on the global economy.” Furthermore, the collateral damage could be worse than that done to the principals. Due to global supply chains, countries like Taiwan, Hungary, the Czech Republic, South Korea, and Singapore could be equally if not more vulnerable” to fall out from the spat between the U.S. and China.

 

Institutional Investor (June 27)

2018/ 06/ 29 by jd in Global News

“Further escalation between the U.S. and China could make U.S. Treasuries less dependable.” But that’s only the tip of the iceberg. “Every trade is financed…. Trade and capital flows are part and parcel of a complex system. Mess with trade flows and there will be ‘unintended’ impacts on capital flows. Equally, disturb capital flow and there will be an impact on trade flows.” As trade issues also flare up with NAFTA and Brexit, it’s “no wonder equity markets are volatile.”

 

NBC News (June 25)

2018/ 06/ 26 by jd in Global News

“The Trump Administration’s trade war is starting to have real impacts on farmers who grow everything from corn to cotton.” Soybeans look set to bear much of the economic pain. “Soybeans were the nation’s largest agricultural export in 2017 and China was the biggest buyer, purchasing 57 percent of the total. But since China announced the tariff, the price of soybeans has fallen by roughly 15 percent to a more than two-year low.”

 

Forbes (June 24)

2018/ 06/ 26 by jd in Global News

“While Trump and some in the White House argue that China has much more to lose in a trade war than does the United States, they may be underestimating Xi’s resolve to appear unwavering in the face of attacks from China’s main economic rival, the United States.”

 

Reuters (June 21)

2018/ 06/ 23 by jd in Global News

“An increasingly shrill exchange of words between the United States and China that is threatening to trigger a global trade war has claimed another victim—- Germany’s auto sector.”

 

South China Morning Post (June 18)

2018/ 06/ 19 by jd in Global News

“The first punches in a trade fight that China didn’t want have been thrown, and now Chinese President Xi Jinping is poised to match his US counterpart Donald Trump blow for blow.” China has plenty of ammunition in a fight that might come down to painful attrition. “Safety inspections, consumer boycotts and approval delays are just some of the ways that Beijing can respond to action from Washington.”

 

Bloomberg (June 15)

2018/ 06/ 17 by jd in Global News

“The trouble is, every time China’s leadership finds itself with the appetite for the long-awaited rebalancing away from investment and toward consumption, it finds itself staring into a terrifying abyss of slowing growth…. Beijing has been trying to take its foot off the accelerator of state fixed-asset investment almost since it tapped it two years ago, but private investment clearly hasn’t been sufficient to fill the gap.” Now a trade war is likely to “trample” the long-awaited rebalancing.

 

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