Market Watch (January 14)
“For investors, a meaningful erosion of central-bank independence would weaken the Fed’s inflation-targeting discipline and be negative for both stocks and bonds, as markets have long operated under the assumption that Fed independence will hold.” Although “we do not expect the Trump administration to capture the Federal Reserve, continued pressure on central-bank independence is likely to weigh on the U.S. dollar.” Ultimately, “market calm is conditional on the Senate acting as a backstop to Fed independence. If that condition is misread, markets will break down.”
Tags: Bonds, Capture, Central bank, Discipline, Dollar, Erosion, Fed, Independence, Inflation, Investors, Markets, Negative, Senate, Stocks, Trump, U.S., Weaken
Washington Post (January 12)
In his inaugural address President Trump promised that “the immense power of the state” will never again “be weaponized to persecute political opponents.” This is “the biggest broken promise of his second term. The latest example is the criminal investigation of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell…. It’s apparent that the real cause of the investigation is Trump’s clashes with Powell over interest rates. Such lawfare has a way of backfiring, and this threat could fortify the central bank’s independence rather than weaken it.”
Tags: Backfiring, Broken promise, Criminal investigation, Fed, Interest rates, Investigation, Lawfare, Persecute, Political opponents, Powell, Real cause, Threat, Trump, Weaponized
OilPrice.com (January 12)
“Regardless of how investable Venezuela will be in the future, the U.S. control over its oil industry would change the power balance in the oil markets, giving the U.S. more sway in longer-term supply. This would leave OPEC and the wider OPEC+ group including Russia and Kazakhstan with potentially diminished clout in influencing the oil market balances and prices.”
Tags: Clout, Control, Diminished, Future, Investable, Kazakhstan, Market balance, Oil industry, OPEC, Power balance, Prices, Russia, Supply, U.S., Venezuela
Fortune (January 11)
“2026 begins with sharper risks for China: Geopolitical uncertainty, a struggling real estate sector, strained public finances, and elevated youth unemployment. Yet what draws companies to China—scale, innovation, and global influence— remain as compelling as ever.” The economics have changed and competition has increased. Success now requires greater discipline, but “for global businesses prepared to operate with this level of discipline, China can still be a lucrative market in the Year of the Horse.”
Tags: 2026, China, Competition, Discipline, Geopolitical uncertainty, Global influence, Innovation, Lucrative, Public finances, Real estate, Risks, Scale, Struggling, Year of the Horse, Youth unemployment
New York Times (January 9)
“Saudi Arabia is throwing open its doors to global investors.” From February, all overseas investors “will be allowed to buy and sell shares directly in 262 listed companies.” The question is whether they will want to. “The Tadawul All Share Index is down over the past year, vastly underperforming both the S&P 500 and major global stock indexes.” It is “the Gulf region’s biggest and worst-performing stock exchange,”
Tags: Buy, Global investors, Gulf region, Index, Overseas investors, S&P 500, Saudi Arabia, Sell, Shares, Stock exchange, Tadawul, Underperforming, Worst-performing
Wall Street Journal (January 9)
China drifting “closer to its own lost decade…. The Japanification of China still isn’t inevitable. But it’s more than five years since the property correction began. Absent a dramatic rethink in Beijing, China’s hopes of avoiding a lost decade are fading rapidly.”
Tags: Beijing, China, Drifting, Fading, Five years, Inevitable, Japanification, Lost decade, Property correction, Rethink
Barron’s (January 8)
“There are few winners in the U.S. stock market from higher tariffs,” but investors are betting and hoping to win if the Supreme Court strikes Trump’s tariffs down. “The Supreme Court may or may not issue a Friday ruling regarding the legality of President Donald Trump’s use of emergency powers to impose tariffs without the approval of Congress. But investors already appear to be betting that the court will strike a blow against the levies.”
Tags: Congress, Emergency powers, Investors, Ruling, Stock market, Supreme Court, Tariffs, Trump, U.S., Winners
Reuters (January 7)
“U.S. job openings dropped to a 14-month low in November while hiring resumed its sluggish tone, pointing to ebbing demand for labor amid policy uncertainty related to import tariffs and the integration of artificial intelligence in some work roles.” Nevertheless, “employers remained hesitant to carry out mass layoffs, keeping the labor market in what economists and policymakers call a ‘no hire, no fire’ state.”
Tags: AI, Demand, Ebbing, Employers, Hiring, Import tariffs, Job openings, Labor market, Layoffs, Low, November, Policy uncertainty, Sluggish, U.S.
Washington Post (January 6)
“The data center rebellion is here, and it’s reshaping the political landscape.” During the second quarter of 2025 alone, “more projects were blocked or delayed than during the previous two years combined, according to Data Center Watch, a tracking project by the nonpartisan research firm 10a Labs. Some $98 billion in planned development was derailed in a single quarter.”
Tags: $98 billion, 2025, Blocked, Data center, Data Center Watch, Delayed, Derailed, Planned development, Political landscape, Q2, Rebellion, Reshaping, Tracking project
Reuters (January 5)
“The world economy is making a surprising habit of shrugging off unpleasant shocks…. Since 2020, the planet has weathered a global pandemic, inflation, sharply rising interest rates, and the outbreak of war without a major slump. In 2025, a tsunami of enthusiasm about artificial intelligence offset the disruptive effects of U.S. President Donald Trump’s trade turmoil, keeping economies and financial markets humming. Opposing forces are preparing to battle for supremacy again in 2026. The stage is set for a turbulent contest between gain and pain.”
Tags: 2020, 2026, AI, Disruptive, Financial markets, Gain, Global pandemic, Inflation, Interest rates, Trade turmoil, Trump, Unpleasant shocks, War, World economy
