Wall Street Journal (February 27)
“Economics 101 teaches that international trade is all about comparative advantage.” Specialization and trade result “in everyone getting more of everything.” This theory “no longer guides global trade. Instead, what’s happening looks more like portfolio theory. Countries are no longer maneuvering to maximize gains. They’re diversifying to minimize losses. The risk they’re hedging against? The U.S.”
Tags: Comparative advantage, Diversifying, Economics, Hedging, International trade, Maximize gains, Minimize losses, Portfolio theory, Risk, Specialization, U.S.
Washington Post (February 26)
“Many Asian governments used threats from President Donald Trump as a pretext to enact unpopular but necessary free-market reforms…. To get lower tariff rates, they agreed to pry open their closed markets to allow in American beef, auto parts and crude oil.” Now that the Supreme Court has ruled against the tariffs and Trump has instead “imposed a baseline tariff of 15 percent… some leaders feel buyer’s remorse.” In fact, it looks like the elusive goal of “liberalizing Asia’s tightly protected markets” may slip away, something that “would be a shame on both sides of the Pacific.”
Tags: Asia, Auto parts, Beef, Buyer’s remorse, Crude oil, Free market reforms, Governments, Necessary, Pretext, Supreme Court, Tariff rates, Threats, Trump, U.S., Unpopular
Barron’s (February 25)
“Putting aside the whipsaw effect of recent tariff moves, the biggest problem plaguing the market in recent weeks is artificial intelligence. Investors are afraid it’s going to replace businesses wholesale, and empty big tech’s deep pockets to do it.”
Tags: Afraid, Artificial intelligence. Investors, Big tech, Deep pockets, Effect, Markes, Plaguing, Problem, Replace, Tariffs, Whipsaw
CNN (February 24)
China is “the real winner from the Supreme Court’s tariff ruling.” As major trade partners face “renewed uncertainty,” the “dramatic rebuke to the US president’s trade agenda” has delivered “clear vindication” to its biggest economic rival. When Trump embarks to China in March, he will be missing one of his “go-to tools for economic negotiations with other nations” or, what China has decried as, “unilateral bullying.” Negotiating power “seems to have shifted dramatically” in China’s favor.
Tags: Agenda, China, Economic rival, Negotiations, Rebuke, Supreme Court, Tariff ruling, Trade partners, U.S., Uncertainty, Unilateral bullying, Vindication, Winner
New York Times (February 23)
“Tariff turmoil” has returned to global markets. “Businesses and U.S. trade partners are again grappling with the uncertainty of President Trump’s trade war, even as he imposes new levies.” The President is vowing to extend tariffs under other means, but the recent “Supreme Court decision is likely to scramble, or at least slow down, some corporate investment plans,” including “commitments to reshore supply chains in the U.S.”
Tags: Businesses, Corporate investment, Decision, Global markets, Grappling, Levies, Reshoring, Scramble, Supply chains, Supreme Court, Tariff turmoil, Trade war, Trump, U.S., Uncertainty
Fortune (February 22)
“Four years after Vladimir Putin ordered an invasion of Ukraine, Russia’s economy has entered a ‘death zone.’” Former Russian central bank advisor Alexandra Prokopenko, currently a fellow at the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, believes “the Russian economy is eating its own muscle to survive as Putin’s war on Ukraine destroys future capacity.” The economy might not be ”headed for an imminent crash, but GDP has stagnated, oil revenue has been halved amid Western sanctions, and the government’s budget deficit is rapidly draining reserves.”
Tags: Budget deficit, Central bank, Crash, Death zone, Economy, Future capacity, GDP, Government, Invasion, Oil revenue, Prokopenko, Putin, Reserves, Russia, Stagnated, Ukraine, Western sanctions
LA Times (February 21)
“The Supreme Court’s decision Friday to strike down the majority of tariffs imposed by President Trump could provide some relief to L.A.’s trade-reliant economy — but only if they are not reimposed again through other means.” The twin ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach form the largest ports complex in North America. “The tariffs dealt a blow to a large swath of businesses in Southern California and across the state, including farmers, automakers, home builders, tech companies and apparel retailers.”
Tags: Apparel, Automakers, Decision, Economy, Farmers, Home builders, Long Beach, Los Angeles, Majority, Ports, Relief, Strike down, Supreme Court, Tariffs, Tech, Trade, Trump
Financial Times (February 20)
Last year, “China’s global trade surplus in goods surpassed $1tn.” This year, the IMF is calling on China “to slash state support for industry as international concerns mount about overcapacity in the world’s second-largest economy.” The IMF estimates “China spent about 4 per cent of its GDP subsidising companies in critical sectors and said it should reduce that by 2 percentage points in the medium term.”
Tags: $1tn, China, Economy 4%, GDP, Global trade, Goods, IMF, Industry, International concerns, Overcapacity, State support, Subsidizing, Surplus
Wall Street Journal (February 19)
Last week, several economists at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York “found that American households and businesses are bearing nearly 90% of the cost of the Trump tariffs, contrary to Mr. Trump’s claim that foreigners will pay.” This week, a defensive White House tried to fight back and sully the research. “If the tariffs are such an unambiguous economic and political winner, why is the Administration so defensive about them…. Clearly the White House is worried that voters might conclude this research aligns with their own experience.”
Tags: Businesses, Cost, Defensive, Economists, Foreigners, Households, New York Fed, Research, Trump tariffs, U.S., Voters, White House, Worried
Bloomberg (February 19)
Just released minutes from the January 27-28 FOMC meeting reveal Federal Reserve officials are “surprisingly wary of cutting interest rates…, with several even suggesting the central bank may need to raise rates if inflation remains stubbornly high.” The minutes make “clear the Fed is shifting further away from agreeing on another cut.”
Tags: Central bank, Cut, Federal Reserve, FOMC, Inflation, Interest rates, January 27-28, Minutes, Officials, Raise, Released
