Bloomberg (July 7)
Wall Street currency traders are increasingly “flying blind” as once reliable models misfire and new forces, “like the broad shift of money out of the US and foreign investors buying dollar hedges,” drive markets. Since Trump’s second term began, currency experts “have been blindsided by the dollar’s selloff and are now questioning whether the past few months will go down as a chaotic but short-lived adjustment or the start of a harder-to-navigate era.”
Tags: Adjustment, Blindsided, Chaotic, Currency traders, Dollar hedges, Flying blind, Foreign investors, Markets, Misfire, Reliable models, Selloff, Trump, U.S., Wall Street
Bloomberg (June 2)
“China’s yuan policy has blindsided forecasters once again. The sudden surge in the last four days — for the onshore exchange rate, it’s been the steepest gain in more than four months — pushed the currency beyond levels predicted by even the most optimistic analysts.” At least eight analysts rushing to change their estimates. This is not the first time they have been caught flat footed. “Market watchers were caught off guard earlier in the year as well, when the yuan confounded expectations by strengthening in the first quarter.”
Tags: Analysts, Blindsided, China, Confounded, Currency, Exchange rate, Expectations, Forecasters, Gain, Yuan
