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Institutional Investor (January 31)

2018/ 02/ 01 by jd in Global News

“Bitcoin’s wild price swings have investors wondering how to short the digital currency, as there would be a lot of money to be made in the latest craze in investing.” Alas, this isn’t so easy. Though Bitcoin futures trade openly, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange is charging “an initial margin of 47 percent of the futures’ value owing to the volatile nature of Bitcoin.”

 

Financial Times (June 25)

2015/ 06/ 27 by jd in Global News

“For thrill and spills, you cannot beat Chinese share markets. Recent wild price swings on the Shanghai and Shenzhen bourses—and the fortunes being made, or lost, by individual retail investors—have made for gripping tales. They have raised fears of a highly-inflated equity bubble about to burst spectacularly. But how much should the rest of the world worry?” This shouldn’t simply be shrugged off “as a local story without wider significance for global financial markets.” The volatility should reinforce concerns that China is “in a bumpy economic transition phase that threatens significant ripple effects in distant parts of the world.”

 

Financial Times (May 6)

2011/ 05/ 09 by jd in Global News

In a single trading session, commodities prices came crashing down on Thursday, with silver falling 13%, oil 10% and gold 4%. While the sharp correction was not predicted, a slew of rationale has subsequently been offered to objectively explain the dip. The Financial Times finds most of this reasoning specious, writing “the ease with which we explain price swings – in any direction – suggests that we do not really understand them at all.” Instead, the FT opts for a simpler explanation. “Last week’s slide probably just means that a self-inflated bubble self-deflated a little, in accordance with its own internal mass-psychological dynamics. Put simply, investors took fright.” Trying to explain what caused the fright or predict where it may lead is a fool’s game. Commodities may go up or they may go down. We cannot know.In a single trading session, commodities prices came crashing down on Thursday, with silver falling 13%, oil 10% and gold 4%. While the sharp correction was not predicted, a slew of rationale has subsequently been offered to objectively explain the dip. The Financial Times finds most of this reasoning specious, writing “the ease with which we explain price swings – in any direction – suggests that we do not really understand them at all.” Instead, the FT opts for a simpler explanation. “Last week’s slide probably just means that a self-inflated bubble self-deflated a little, in accordance with its own internal mass-psychological dynamics. Put simply, investors took fright.” Trying to explain what caused the fright or predict where it may lead is a fool’s game. Commodities may go up or they may go down. We cannot know.

 

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