Wall Street Journal (January 9)
China drifting “closer to its own lost decade…. The Japanification of China still isn’t inevitable. But it’s more than five years since the property correction began. Absent a dramatic rethink in Beijing, China’s hopes of avoiding a lost decade are fading rapidly.”
Tags: Beijing, China, Drifting, Fading, Five years, Inevitable, Japanification, Lost decade, Property correction, Rethink
Forbes (October 15)
“Amid chatter about the ‘Japanification’ of China’s economy, it’s wise to keep an eye on how Beijing’s troubles might scuttle Tokyo’s recovery, too…. Japan is uniquely vulnerable to China’s downshift amid myriad global headwinds and other dynamics—including controversies over patents.”
Tags: Beijing, China’s economy, Controversies, Downshift, Headwinds, Japanification, Patents, Recovery, Tokyo, Troubles, Vulnerable
Financial Times (February 26)
These are, according to Citigroup analysts, “distinctly echoey times.” Their “research suggests that, if it is not careful, China may be on track for a new wave of Japanification.” China is now remarkably similar to Japan’s post-property bubble era in, for example, demographics. China’s population is “now shrinking as Japan’s did years earlier… a reminder that after 1990, Japan’s housing price index fell as the 35- to 54-year-old cohort decreased.” These and other factors call for warnings about “the potential risks for China’s banking system.”
Tags: 1990, Analysts, China, China’s banking system, Citigroup, Demographics, Echoey, Housing price index, Japanification, Population, Property bubble, Research, Risks, Shrinking, Warnings
Seeking Alpha (September 21)
“More and more countries/regions have succumbed to Japanification” with “the process of rapid debt accumulation, followed by monetary easing, which shields the government from the normal consequences of overspending.” And now, “the United States is following lockstep down the economic trail blazed by Japan.”
Tags: Consequences, Debt accumulation, Government, Japan, Japanification, Lockstep, Monetary easing, Overspending, Succumbed, U.S.
Euromoney (February Issue)
“The biggest macro risk this year we see coming is from rising disinflationary pressure, especially in Europe where the Japanification of Europe will become a market discussion point again.”
