Investment Week (December Issue)
2017/ 12/ 17 by jd in Global News
“Quantitative forecasts are based on probability models that cannot help but assume the future will be correlated to the past, and qualitative scenarios are based on, well, a combination of experience and common sense. Either way, most methodologies it would seem leave little room for discussion of true outliers and surprises.”
Tags: Forecasts, Future, Outliers, Probability models, Qualitative scenarios, Quantitative, Surprises
