Wall Street Journal (February 17)
“Treasury yields have sprung to multiyear highs, forcing the U.S. government to pay a lot more in interest and putting pressure on the budget.” Over the new decade, federal interest costs are now expected to rise by $1.1 trillion, reviving “Wall Street worries that the years-long acceleration in borrowing under both political parties will eventually weigh on economic growth and asset prices.”
Tags: $1.1 trillion, Asset prices, Borrowing, Budget, Costs, Economic growth, Interest, Pressure, Treasuries, U.S. Government, Wall Street, Worries, Yields
Investment Week (April 21)
“Following the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and other US regional banks, as well as the turmoil around Credit Suisse, the banking sector has sat on wobbly ground in investors’ minds.” Depositors have “moved into treasuries and money market funds to avoid the risk that their bank could be next to fall.” As a result, the S&P Banks Select Industry index dropped 22.5% during March.
Tags: Banking sector, Collapse, Credit Suisse, Depositors, Investors, Money market funds, Regional banks, Risk, SVB, Treasuries, Turmoil, U.S., Wobbly
Wall Street Journal (October 3)
“Investors propelled bond yields to multiyear highs Wednesday as robust economic data and an easing of trade tensions across North America sparked fresh optimism about the global growth outlook. Wednesday’s bond rout sent the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note, a closely watched barometer of investors’ sentiment toward growth and inflation, to its highest level since July 2011.”
Tags: Bonds, Economic data, Growth, Highs, Inflation, Investors, Optimism, Sentiment, Trade tensions, Treasuries, U.S., Yields
Institutional Investor (June 27)
“Further escalation between the U.S. and China could make U.S. Treasuries less dependable.” But that’s only the tip of the iceberg. “Every trade is financed…. Trade and capital flows are part and parcel of a complex system. Mess with trade flows and there will be ‘unintended’ impacts on capital flows. Equally, disturb capital flow and there will be an impact on trade flows.” As trade issues also flare up with NAFTA and Brexit, it’s “no wonder equity markets are volatile.”
Tags: Brexit, Capital flows, China, Equity markets, Escalation, Impacts, Nafta, Trade, Treasuries, U.S., Unintended, Volatile
Bloomberg (April 16)
“Japan overtook China as the top foreign holder of U.S. government debt for the first time since the global financial crisis amid signs of economic and policy shifts in Asia’s two largest economies.”
Financial Times (May 30)
“US benchmark borrowing costs plunged to levels last seen in 1946 and those for Germany and the UK hit all-time lows as investors took fright at what they see as a disjointed policy response to the debt crisis in Spain and Italy.” Ten year yields fell to 1.62% on U.S. Treasuries and to 1.64% on UK gilts, the lowest since the start of recordkeeping in 1703. Meanwhile, yields on two-year German bunds hit zero, another first.
New York Times (March 18)
Markets ranging from copper to treasuries and currencies to the S&P 500 are being driven by the events unfolding in Japan. The impact is now extending to overseas supply chains. “In a sign of the spreading global economic impact, General Motors on Thursday became the first U.S. auto maker to close a U.S. factory because of the crisis in Japan.” GM will halt production at a Louisiana pick-up truck plant due to shortages of components from Japan.
Markets ranging from copper to treasuries and currencies to the S&P 500 are being driven by the events unfolding in Japan. The impact is now extending to overseas supply chains. “In a sign of the spreading global economic impact, General Motors on Thursday became the first U.S. auto maker to close a U.S. factory because of the crisis in Japan.” GM will halt production at a Louisiana pick-up truck plant due to shortages of components from Japan.
Tags: Copper, GM, Japan, Markets, S&P 500, Supply chain, Treasuries