Newsweek (September 4)
“September 15 will mark the tenth anniversary of the collapse of Lehman Brothers and near meltdown of Wall Street, followed by the Great Recession.” With household debt at “an all-time high of $13.2 trillion,” we’re now close to a repeat. The direct cause will be income imbalance, not a banking crisis. “The U.S. economy crashes when it becomes too top heavy because the economy depends on consumer spending to keep it going…. For a time, the middle class and poor can keep the economy going nonetheless by borrowing. But, as in 1929 and 2008, debt bubbles eventually burst. We’re getting dangerously close.”
Tags: Anniversary, Banking, Collapse, Consumer spending, Crisis, Great Recession, Household debt, Income imbalance, Lehman Brothers, Meltdown, Top heavy, U.S., Wall Street
Bloomberg (April 17)
“China’s economic expansion held up amid robust consumer spending, underpinning global growth and giving authorities room to purge excessive borrowing, while the industrial sector showed signs of modest slowdown.”
Tags: China, Consumer spending, Economic expansion, Excessive borrowing, Global growth, Industrial, Slowdown
New York Times (March 22)
“The U.S. economic outlook again “has a dispiritingly familiar ring to it.” It looks unlikely that “this year’s early Easter” will “boost consumer spending after a brutal winter.” Despite optimism, Easter shopping and warmer weather have failed for several years proven “a sure catalyst for growth.” For that matter, it’s increasingly unclear where that catalyst will come from.
Tags: Boost, Catalyst, Consumer spending, Dispiriting, Easter, Economic outlook, Growth, U.S., Warmer weather
The Economist (August 9)
Abenomics may be working at the top, but it’s not trickling down to “folk who do not own bundles of shares or a flat in Tokyo’s trendy Daikanyama neighbourhood…. The mantra of Mr Abe and his advisers has been that a virtuous circle would come about whereby wages would rise and lift consumer spending, which in turn would boost investment by companies. Bingo: Japan would emerge from deflation. That is not happening and it is a conundrum.”
Tags: Abe, Abenomics, Advisers, Consumer spending, Daikanyama, Deflation, Investment, Japan, Shares, Tokyo, Trickle down, Wages
New York Times (November 14, 2013)
“After a surprising spurt of strong growth in the first half of the year, the Japanese economy seems to be running out of steam as exports and consumer spending show signs of weakening.” The annualized growth rate was dramatically halved, from 3.8% in the second quarter to 1.9% in the third quarter. However, the consensus suggest the rate will increase in coming quarters ahead of the consumption tax hike in April 2014.
Tags: Consumer spending, Consumption tax, Economy, Exports, Growth, Japan, Weakening
New York Times (August 25)
President Obama should push to see that underwater homeowners, whose home values are less than the balance of their loans, are able to refinance their mortgages at lower rates. There will be opposition, but “the public benefit from fewer defaults and foreclosures—along with the impact of more consumer spending—should trump any benefit derived from squeezing every last penny of interest from homeowners.”
Tags: Consumer spending, Economy, Homeowners, Mortgage, Obama, U.S.
