Bloomberg (July 7)
Wall Street currency traders are increasingly “flying blind” as once reliable models misfire and new forces, “like the broad shift of money out of the US and foreign investors buying dollar hedges,” drive markets. Since Trump’s second term began, currency experts “have been blindsided by the dollar’s selloff and are now questioning whether the past few months will go down as a chaotic but short-lived adjustment or the start of a harder-to-navigate era.”
Tags: Adjustment, Blindsided, Chaotic, Currency traders, Dollar hedges, Flying blind, Foreign investors, Markets, Misfire, Reliable models, Selloff, Trump, U.S., Wall Street
Barron’s (July 7)
“Trade tensions are likely to recapture markets’ attention this week and through the summer months as President Donald Trump looks to ride his recent wins on taxes and immigration into tariff negotiations.” Since “reshaping the international trade system is a vastly complex enterprise,” the ensuing “uncertainty tied to trade talks… likely will be a feature for markets into the back half of the year and possibly beyond.”
Tags: Attention, Complex, Immigration, Markets, Recapture, Reshaping, Tariff negotiations, Taxes, Trump, Uncertainty
Washington Post (June 12)
“Trump miscalculated on China. Now the administration is trying to fix the mess.” The United States “started off with the economic upper hand, thanks to low unemployment, falling inflation and a strong global network of alliances,” but Trump “overplayed” his hand with China. As a result, “markets are volatile because of uncertainty. Recession fears loom.” Now, the “two nations have a chance for a reset. But both must recognize they remain mutually dependent.”
Tags: Administration, Alliances, China, Falling inflation, Global network, Low unemployment, Markets, Mess, Miscalculated, Mutually dependent, Overplayed, Recession fears, Reset, Trump, U.S., Uncertainty, Upper hand, Volatile
South China Morning Post (June 3)
“Hong Kong companies favour markets closer to home and in Southeast Asia to grow their businesses because of higher tariffs and other trade barriers in the US and Europe, according to a survey by HSBC, with many expressing confidence about their expansion plans.” Following the disruption of Trump tariffs, the new pivot is being “supported by Hong Kong and Beijing’s efforts to forge stronger ties with markets in Southeast Asia and the Middle East as US-China trade ties remain tense.”
Tags: Businesses, China, Companies, Confidence, Disruption, Europe, Expansion plans, Hong Kong, HSBC, Markets, Middle East, Pivot, Southeast Asia, Survey, Tariffs, Trade barriers, Trump, U.S.
Washington Post (May 19)
“Markets came under pressure Monday morning as investors dumped stocks, U.S. bonds and the dollar in early trading after the United States lost its triple-A bond rating, signaling new worries about the outlook for the world’s largest economy amid President Donald Trump’s trade war and heightened federal deficits.”
Tags: Bonds, Dollar, Dumped, Economy, Investors, Markets, Outlook, Pressure, Rating, Stocks, Trade war, Trading, Triple-A, Trump, U.S., Worries
The Economist (April 22)
“Monetary madness” continues in the U.S. as “Trump fires at the Fed.” After Trump took potshots, threatening to fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell, the American economy became “collateral damage…. When markets opened on April 21st, after a long Easter weekend, American stocks, Treasury bonds and the dollar all sharply declined—another example of the ‘sell America’ trade.”
Tags: Collateral damage, Declined, Dollar, Economy, Fed, Fire, Markets, Monetary madness, Potshots, Powell, Sell America, Stocks, Threatening, Treasury bonds, Trump, U.S.
Wall Street Journal (April 21)
“If the White House wanted a test of how firing Jerome Powell would go over in the markets, it succeeded on Monday. U.S. stocks and the dollar plunged while yields on long-term Treasurys climbed after President Trump renewed his attacks on the Federal Reserve Chairman.” The President “thinks he can bully everyone into submission, but he can’t bully Adam Smith, who deals in reality. Markets know tariffs are taxes, and taxes are anti-growth.” It is clear that the “Trump tariffs are the biggest economic policy mistake in decades.” What remains unclear is the President’s ability to see reality. “Markets are spooked because they don’t know if Mr. Trump listens to anyone but his own impulses.”
Tags: Adam Smith, Anti-growth, Attacks, Bully, Dollar, Fed, Firing, Markets, Mistake, Plunged, Powell, Reality, Spooked, Stocks, Submission, Tariffs, Taxes, Treasurys, Trump, U.S., White House, Yields
New York Times (April 21)
“President Trump’s trade war has completely upended investment flows, with global investors selling off U.S. stocks and corporate and government bonds at a clip unlike anything Wall Street has seen in recent years.” Though some semblance of “calm returned to the corporate and government bond markets late last week,” analysts are still wary of “Trump’s next moves, fearing that his protectionist policies and threats against federal institutions could re-accelerate money flows out of the United States, hitting the dollar especially hard.”
Tags: Analysts, Bonds, Calm, Corporate, Global investors, Institutions, Investment flows, Markets, Money flows, Protectionist, Stocks, Threats, Trade war, Treasuries, Trump, U.S., Upended, Wall Street
Bloomberg (April 16)
Investors have learned that “there’s no way to guess what America will do next. With its on-again, off-again tariffs, the US administration has demonstrated a rare and reckless willingness to shock markets.” Given the “radical uncertainty, a financial crisis isn’t out of the question.” It is regrettable “that policymakers need to contemplate a self-inflicted crisis of this kind. But the possibility must be taken seriously. Regulators everywhere should do what they can to be ready.”
Tags: Crisis, Financial Crisis, Investors, Markets, Off-again, On-again, Policymakers, Radical uncertainty, Rare, Reckless, Regrettable, Regulators, Self-inflicted, Shock, Tariffs, U.S.
Traders Magazine (April 10)
“The push toward 24-hour trading…. is now becoming more pronounced, as major exchanges and trading platforms adapt to the evolving needs of global markets.” Gaining momentum, the transition is driven by “the influx of capital from international markets.” Major exchanges—including the NYSE, NASDAQ, and CBOE—now recognize “the value in extending their market hours.”
Tags: 24-hour trading, Capital, CBOE, Evolving needs, Exchanges, Global markets, Influx, Major exchanges, Markets, Momentum, Nasdaq, NYSE, Trading platforms, Transition
