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July 2024
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Wall Street Journal (April 27)

2024/ 04/ 29 by jd in Global News

Exxon and Chevron “are still printing big profits, but their postpandemic run of record earnings is slowing down.” After gyrating with Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, “oil-and-gas supplies have largely stabilized… and analysts say companies such as Exxon—the western world’s largest oil refiner—will have to prove it can keep costs down and production up if the benefits of external market forces continue to ebb.”


New York Times (December 4)

2023/ 12/ 05 by jd in Global News

The temperature is rising at COP28 as “climate concerns boil over.” Sultan Ahmed al Jaber lit the fuse with “contentious comments” that expressed “skepticism about the world’s ability to halt a rise in global temperatures by reducing the use of hydrocarbons.” Since the oil executive and Emirati politician is “presiding over the COP28 climate summit,” the remarks are “casting fresh doubts over the U.A.E.’s commitment to addressing the climate crisis.” (October 24)

2023/ 10/ 25 by jd in Global News

OPEC recently forecast “that demand for oil is going to continue rising at least until 2045.” In contrast, the just released Energy Outlook from the International Energy Agency forecasts that “demand for oil, natural gas, and coal is set to peak before 2030, which undermines the case for increasing investment in fossil fuels…. While the agency does admit that investment in fossil fuels will remain necessary, it claims the growth era is over.”


New York Times (October 24)

2023/ 10/ 24 by jd in Global News

“To oil analysts and investors, Chevron’s $53 billion takeover of Hess confirmed that there’s a new cycle of consolidation in the industry, coming less than two weeks after Exxon Mobil’s $59.5 billion bid for Pioneer Natural Resources.” In spite of “pressure from climate-minded policymakers, investors and activists to embrace greener energy,” the majors are “instead focusing on getting bigger. That could create a larger gap in the industry between those who have the firepower and freedom to buy rivals, and those who, because of politics or finances, do not.”


New York Times (August 13)

2023/ 08/ 15 by jd in Global News

“Across the country, a profound shift is taking place that is nearly invisible to most Americans. The nation that burned coal, oil and gas for more than a century to become the richest economy on the planet, as well as historically the most polluting, is rapidly shifting away from fossil fuels.” The energy transition is further along in other places like Europe, but “the United States is catching up, and globally, change is happening at a pace that is surprising even the experts who track it closely.” (March 7)

2023/ 03/ 08 by jd in Global News

There is scant “spare oil production capacity globally.” This mostly lies with Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. U.S. shale firms “are expected to raise oil production this year compared to 2022,” but might surprise on “the downside due to supply chain and labor bottlenecks, cost inflation, and the industry’s strategy to reward shareholders and pay down debts instead of taking on more debts to boost output.”


Bloomberg (March 5)

2023/ 03/ 06 by jd in Global News

China’s reopening “means Chinese oil consumption is poised to hit a record this year. Daily demand will reach an all-time high of 16 million barrels a day,” and looks increasingly likely to tip the price back above $100 a barrel amid tight supply.


Market Insider (September 30)

2022/ 10/ 01 by jd in Global News

“Japan and Korea have dumped billions of dollars into the foreign exchange market to prop up” their currencies. Nevertheless, “the dollar has surged 26% against the yen and has risen 21% versus the won.” The yen and won are hardly unique. “Both developed and emerging market economies, have slumped against the dollar,” but both currencies “have also been hurt by trade deficit concerns” as their “economies are importers of oil.”


Bloomberg (August 7)

2022/ 08/ 09 by jd in Global News

“Sky-high US inflation may finally be approaching a peak as global economic growth sputters and oil and other commodity prices plunge. Now the focus is shifting to how fast and far it will retreat.” The tight job market “is probably the biggest reason why inflation may prove more entrenched than the optimists expect.”


Australian Financial Review (July 17)

2022/ 07/ 19 by jd in Global News

“Oil has begun to drop back down this week to pre-invasion levels as traders brace for a sharp drop-off in consumption. But food price inflation remains stubbornly high.” Nevertheless, food prices remain largely off the radar. “The dramatic spikes in oil and mineral prices after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine have distracted investors from the long-lasting and more dangerous impact of food inflation.” This has led BlackRock founder Larry Fink to sound the alarm on food inflation which also has profound geopolitical impacts.


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