Market Watch (September 6)
“The U.S.’s status as a financial safe haven has begun to clash with President Trump’s growing barrage of economic and military threats to advance his agenda.” There seems be a common fear behind the Netherland’s recent withdrawal of reserve gold from the U.S., the drawdowns of France and Germany’s U.S.-based reserves, and a current plan in Norway to cut Treasury holdings. Basically, what’s to stop Trump from simply seizing their assets? His “sweeping tariff fight shocked the world last year. Then came the capture in January of Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, February’s launch of the U.S.-Iran war, and plans in late August to control of more than 65 billion barrels of Venezuelan oil. In between, there’s been taunting of European and NATO allies, a campaign to takeover over Greenland and its natural resources and, lately, an escalating U.S.-Canada trade war.” So even if seizure sounds far-fetched, it is a legitimate risk for central banks to mitigate.
Tags: Allies, Assets, Barrage, Canada, Capture, Clash, Economic, Escalating, Europe, Fear, France, Germany, Gold, Greenland, Iran war, Maduro, Military threats, Nato, Netherlands, Norway, Reserves, Risk, Safe haven, Seizing, Seizure, Tariff, Taunting, Trade war, Treasury, Trump, U.S., Venezuela, Venezuelan oil, Withdrawal
BBC (September 2)
“The Dutch central bank (DNB) has confirmed that billions of dollars in gold has been taken out of north America and relocated to London, citing ‘increasing geopolitical unrest.’” In total, the DNB removed 86 tonnes of gold “from the US and Canada in a complex operation that took several months. It is now being held by the Bank of England, where the precious metal can be traded more easily ‘in a crisis situation.’”
Tags: 86 tonnes, Bank of England, Canada, Crisis situation, Dutch central bank, Geopolitical unrest, Gold, London, Precious metal, Relocated, Traded, U.S.
New York Times (September 1)
“Chinese cars could be huge in U.S., and that’s the problem, officials say.” The New York Times “test-drove a stunning crossover from Geely that would cost under half of what its rivals charge.” There is no doubt “that Chinese cars, if ever sold in the United States, would give the competition a frightening run for its money. (Its competition would be approaching the luxury tier, like the Mercedes-Benz EQS SUV; its price is more in line with a fully equipped Honda Civic.)” This appears to be why a bill is being sponsored in Congress “to permanently ban internet-connected vehicles from China from being sold in this country.”
Tags: Ban, Cars, China, Competition, Congress, Cost, Crossover, Frightening, Geely, Honda Civic, Luxury tier, Mercedes-Benz, Officials, Problem, Rivals, Stunning, Test-drove, U.S.
Financial Times (August 28)
In the U.S., “corporate profits have hit a record high while workers’ slice of the pie has sunk to historic lows, fuelling discontent among many Americans and a growing political backlash.” In this tale of two cities, corporate “pre-tax earnings hit an annualised $4.8tn in the second quarter, or 18 per cent of national income… the highest share since the aftermath of the second world war.” Meanwhile, “employees’ share from wages and benefits fell to 60 per cent, the lowest level since the 1950s.”
Tags: $4.8tn, Benefits, Corporate profits, Discontent, Employees, Historic lows, Political backlash, Pre-tax earnings, Q2, Record high, Sunk, U.S., Wages, Workers, WW2
Wall Street Journal (August 26)
“Americans are now paying roughly 75% more for aluminum than the rest of the world. Steel prices in the U.S. are also about 64% higher than in northern Europe.” This is partly because the “metal tariffs are stacked on top of other tariffs on China, which is the world’s largest producer of steel and aluminum.” Under Trump, “the metal tariffs (including copper) have raised some $46.9 billion in revenue for the government during the current fiscal year through June, plus $21.8 billion in 2025. That’s … a nearly $70 billion tax on Americans.”
Tags: $70 billion, 75%, Aluminum, Americans, China, Copper, Government, Metal, Northern Europe, Producer, Revenue, Stacked, Steel prices, U.S.
The Guardian (August 23)
“The calamitous collapse of trade negotiations between Canada and the United States is a warning to nations worldwide that pursuing any kind of dialogue with the current US administration is doomed at the outset, according to observers who say this recent episode indicates seeking a fair deal is futile.”
Tags: Administration, Calamitous, Canada, Collapse, Dialogue, Doomed, Fair deal, Observers, Trade negotiations, U.S., Warning, Worldwide
San Francisco Chronicle (August 22)
“This week rising bond yields forced the U.S. Treasury Department into an unusual intervention and raised the specter of higher borrowing costs putting the brakes on consumer spending, the lifeblood of the economy. It also sparked concerns that investors might finally be thinking twice about financing a seemingly endless flow of government borrowing.” The Treasury intervention could fail since it doesn’t address “the deeper forces pushing yields higher: federal debt above $40 trillion, persistent deficits, inflation concerns and heavy borrowing tied to the AI investment boom.”
Tags: $40 trillion, AI investment, Bond yields, Boom, Borrowing costs, Concerns, Consumer spending, Deficits, Economy, Financing, Government, Inflation, Intervention, Investors, Rising, Treasury, U.S., Yields Federal debt
Wall Street Journal (August 20)
Donald Trump’s “attitude of constant haggling over everything that isn’t nailed down, and some things that were supposed to be, isn’t helpful. Mr. Trump has put into doubt the future of his own U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement. Someone should tell him the biggest beneficiaries of free North American trade are Republican states, especially Texas.”
Tags: Agreement, Attitude, Beneficiaries, Canada, Doubt, Free trade, Future, Haggling, Mexico, North America, Republican states, Texas, Trump, U.S.
Barron’s (August 20)
“Japan has leapfrogged France and Germany to become the No. 3 destination for cross-border real estate investment after the U.S. and United Kingdom…. The flows are a vote of confidence in a new Japan where prices are rising and wages are rising faster.”
Tags: Confidence, Cross-border, Destination, Flows, France, Germany, Investment, Japan, Leapfrogged, No. 3, Prices, Real estate, Rising, U.S., UK
The Economist (August 19)
“Bond markets are unnerving rich-world politicians. As stocks rise ever higher, yields have been climbing ominously.” Deutsche Bank analysts believe the U.S. Treasury’s latest move indicates “increasing administration unease” as the Treasury has announced plans to “increase its own purchases of longer-dated debt” from next month. “Bond markets are unsettled, and so, in turn, is America’s government.”
Tags: Analysts, Bond markets, Deutsche Bank, Government, Longer-dated debt, Ominously, Rich-world politicians, Stocks, Treasury, U.S., Unease, Unnerving, Unsettled, Yields
