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Institutional Investor (March 20)

2020/ 03/ 21 by jd in Global News

“The coronavirus pandemic has pushed the world’s economy into a slowdown that may lead to default rates jumping as high as 10 percent in the next twelve months, according to analysts at S&P Global…. The sudden stop in global economic activity, the recent drop in oil prices, and record market volatility are all putting pressure on the creditworthiness of companies.”

 

New York Times (March 17)

2020/ 03/ 20 by jd in Global News

The U.S. economy is shutting down “as pandemic measures take hold. The fast-spreading virus has put an end to movies, date nights and other economic activity, prompting some economists to call a U.S. recession.” By Monday, “it was clear everywhere that most of the American economy was grinding to an unparalleled halt and would remain that way for months.”

 

Financial Times (March 10)

2020/ 03/ 11 by jd in Global News

“At some point the music stops playing for investors.” That happened yesterday. “The initial shock was the cornonavirus outbreak’s impact on the global economy. Then came the blow of an oil price war. Next is escalating financial contagion. Markets are likely to burn until the fuel of high debt levels and aggressive risk taking is extinguished.”

 

Bloomberg (March 7)

2020/ 03/ 08 by jd in Global News

“A second hit could be coming for China’s economy after its initial shock from the coronavirus…. While China has seen new cases of the virus slow,” growing cases in “the U.S. and Europe…could knock a half percentage point off of China’s gross domestic product for the year as demand for Chinese goods slows.”

 

Wall Street Journal (March 4)

2020/ 03/ 06 by jd in Global News

“The Federal Reserve has become the default doctor for whatever ails the U.S. economy, and on Tuesday the financial physician applied what it hopes will be monetary balm for the economic damage from the coronavirus.” Alas “financial markets were underwhelmed.” This “may speak to the limited effect that lower interest rates can have on the supply shock of a pandemic.”

 

CNN (February 17)

2020/ 02/ 19 by jd in Global News

“Japan’s economy is flirting with recession, and the novel coronavirus could push it over the edge.” To some, a recession now looks “inevitable.”

 

New York Times (February 3)

2020/ 02/ 05 by jd in Global News

In a move “that is unheard-of for an advanced economy…. Japan now plans to build as many as 22 new coal-burning power plants—one of the dirtiest sources of electricity—at 17 different sites in the next five years, just at a time when the world needs to slash carbon dioxide emissions to fight global warming.”

 

Bloomberg (November 16)

2019/ 11/ 18 by jd in Global News

China’s Q3 expansion is “the weakest since the government began releasing quarterly data in 1992. An obvious cause is the ongoing trade war…, but the economy would be decelerating even without that as is transitions away from the high debt, often wasteful growth model of the past. The knock-on effects are global, affecting companies and consumers alike.”

 

Wall Street Journal (November 13)

2019/ 11/ 15 by jd in Global News

The “booming” labor market has been the “Crown Jewel of Japan’s economy,” but it appears to be “losing its shine.” It now looks like the labor market “peaked even before the ill-considered sales-tax hike in October…. The shine is now coming off, with economic forces at home and abroad weighing on the employment gains made.”

 

Investment Week (November 8)

2019/ 11/ 08 by jd in Global News

“Both Japan and China will benefit from a genuine breakthrough in US-China trade relations. We have been preferring Japan to China in recent months, given the longer term issues affecting China’s relations with the West and the slowdown that is now visible in China’s economy.”

 

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