Fortune (August 27)
“Investors are underestimating the inflation risk of President Trump’s tariffs, which will push up import costs,” concludes analyst Henry Allen of Deutsche Bank. “One indicator forecasts that U.S. inflation may soon exceed 4%. Consumers are also expecting higher prices. But the inflation swaps market has yet to reflect these risks.”
Tags: 4%, Allen, Analyst, Consumers, Deutsche Bank, Forecasts, Higher prices, Import costs, Indicator, Inflation, Investors, Risk, Trump’s tariffs, U.S., Underestimating
Reuters (January 2)
Jane Street and Citadel Securities looked primed to seize “a much bigger slice of the $150 billion global-markets pie,” disrupting incumbent trading giants like JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, Bank of America and Deutsche Bank “who in 2025 will notice electronic market-makers acting more like banks.” Until now, there’s been a “seemingly happy co-existence” with the electronic market makers focused on flow, but that “will end in 2025” when “the upstarts” flex their greatly expanded capital base to make “a fresh assault on bond and commodity trading.”
Tags: $150 billion, Banks, BoA, Bonds, Capital base, Citadel Securities, Commodity trading, Deutsche Bank, Disrupting, Electronic market-makers, Global markets, Incumbent, Jane Street, JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, Trading giants
Fortune (June 21)
“Nvidia became the world’s most valuable company” earlier this week. Moreover, Nvidia’s market cap of $3.35 trillion “single-handedly eclipses all of Europe’s stock markets in market capitalization.” According to Deutsche Bank, “the chipmaker’s valuation outstrips that of all listed stocks in Europe’s major business hubs—Germany, France, and the U.K.” Currently the “only markets whose listed shares are collectively larger than Nvidia’s are those of the U.S., India, China, and Japan”
Tags: $3.35 trillion, China, Chipmaker, Company, Deutsche Bank, Europe, France, Germany, India, Listed stocks, Market-cap, Nvidia, Outstrips, Stock markets, U.K., U.S., Valuable, Valuation
Seeking Alph (April 18)
“This year’s stock market rally has continued to be a story of strong mega-tech performances. Yet, most of the Magnificent 7 are overvalued compared to their sectors,” and Deutsche Bank’s Jim Reid has pointed out “that today’s Mag 7 are bigger than the entire Chinese market, double the size of the Japanese market, and over four times the size of the UK market.”
Tags: Chinese market, Deutsche Bank, Japanese market, Magnificent 7, Mega-tech, Overvalued, Rally, Reid, Sectors, Stock market, UK market
Financial Times (February 1)
“Mounting losses from banks in the US, Asia and Europe have rekindled concerns about weakness in the US commercial property market, a sector that has been under pressure from lower occupancy levels and higher interest rates.” This week New York Community Bancorp, Aozora Bank and Deutsche Bank each warned of related risks or recognized losses, which “mark the latest fallout from the… dual problems of fewer people working in offices since the pandemic and more expensive borrowing costs.”
Tags: Aozora Bank, Asia, Banks, Commercial property, Concerns, Deutsche Bank, Europe, Fallout, Interest rates, Losses, Occupancy, Offices, Pandemic, Pressure, Risks, U.S., Weakness
Economic Times (March 28)
Regulators suspect a single “trade on Deutsche Bank AG’s credit default swaps… fuelled a global selloff on Friday.” The roughly £5 million bet was for swaps on the bank’s junior debt. Likely due to market illiquidity, along with market jitters, the “knock-on effect was a rout that sent banking stocks tumbling, government bonds higher and CDS prices for lenders soaring.”
Tags: Bonds, CDS, Deutsche Bank, Global selloff, Illiquidity, Jitters, Junior debt, Market, Regulators, Rout, Suspect, Trade, Tumbling
Forbes (April 5)
“Deutsche Bank on Tuesday became the first major bank on Wall Street to forecast a recession next year, albeit a ‘moderate’ one, thanks to the combination of surging inflation and rising interest rates.” Expectations are increasing for “a possible economic downturn on the horizon, with alarms growing louder after the widely-observed yield curve inverted last week and indicated a looming recession.”
Tags: Deutsche Bank, Economic downturn, Expectations, Forecast, Interest rates, Looming, Recession, Surging inflation, Wall Street, Yield curve
Wall Street Journal (July 17)
“Germany has a patchy record in fighting corporate crime. Volkswagen AG ’s giant emissions-cheating scandal was uncovered by California. The U.S. has imposed more money-laundering fines on troubled German lender Deutsche Bank AG than Germany has. BaFin’s decadelong blind spot for Wirecard now raises questions about the country’s ability to enforce securities rules that protect investors.”
Tags: BaFin, Blind spot, California, Corporate crime, Deutsche Bank, Emissions, Enforce, Fines, Germany, Investors, Money laundering, Patchy record, Scandal, Securities rules, U.S., Volkswagen, Wirecard
Institutional Investor (February Issue)
“Over the past five years, as Barclays and Royal Bank of Scotland in the U.K., UBS and Credit Suisse in Switzerland and even Deutsche Bank have pared back their investment banking activities, U.S. banks have powered ahead in the European arena in just about every sector, including the all-important FICC and M&A advisory categories.”
Tags: Barclays, Credit Suisse, Deutsche Bank, FICC, Investment banking, M&A, RBS, Switzerland, U.K., U.S. Europe, UBS
Institutional Investor (April 24)
To strengthen their balance sheets, large banks (including Deutsche Bank, Royal Bank of Scotland, UBS, Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan Chase and Barclays) have been reducing their commodities businesses, mainly through sales to independent trading companies. With these sales “to smaller players, conflicts of interest remain a potential problem” and nobody’s sure whether new problems will accompany this major shift. Given the skinnier balance sheets of the new players, market liquidity could conceivably suffer. In addition, “concerns abound that the underlying problems that have traditionally beset the commodities markets are simply being pushed onto a new and less tightly regulated set of actors.”
Tags: Balance sheets, Banks, Barclays, Commodities, Conflicts of interest, Deutsche Bank, JPMorgan Chase, Liquidity, Morgan Stanley, Regulated, Royal Bank of Scotland, Shift, Trading, UBS
