South China Morning Post (August 29)
According to Nomura Holdings, “the ongoing rally in Chinese stocks will do little to boost growth in the mainland’s economy, as equity investments account for a small portion of total household assets.” Only 1.3% of total household assets are in equities. In contrast, Chinese households have about 60% “of their wealth in the struggling property market.”
Tags: China, Economy, Equity, Growth, Household assets, Investments, Nomura, Property market, Rally, Stocks, Struggling, Wealth
Bloomberg (August 28)
“US companies are planning to buy back shares at a historic pace, a sign of Corporate America’s confidence in the economy.” In July, “announced share repurchases totaled $166 billion, the highest dollar value on record.” Subsequently, these went on to surpass “$1 trillion on Aug. 20, marking the shortest amount of time needed to reach that level.”
Tags: $1 trillion, Buy back, Companies, Confidence, Corporate America, Economy, Historic, Record, Share repurchases, Shares, Surpass, U.S.
The Guardian (August 28)
The Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (Amoc) “was already known to be at its weakest in 1,600 years as a result of the climate crisis.” Scientists believe its collapse would be catastrophic, but previous studies showed this was unlikely before 2100. Newer studies, with an extended horizon, are troubling. They “show the tipping point that makes an Amoc shutdown inevitable is likely to be passed within a few decades, but that the collapse itself may not happen until 50 to 100 years later.”
Tags: 2100, Amoc, Atlantic, Catastrophic, Climate crisis, Collapse, Inevitable, Scientists, Shutdown, Tipping point, Weakest
Fortune (August 27)
“Investors are underestimating the inflation risk of President Trump’s tariffs, which will push up import costs,” concludes analyst Henry Allen of Deutsche Bank. “One indicator forecasts that U.S. inflation may soon exceed 4%. Consumers are also expecting higher prices. But the inflation swaps market has yet to reflect these risks.”
Tags: 4%, Allen, Analyst, Consumers, Deutsche Bank, Forecasts, Higher prices, Import costs, Indicator, Inflation, Investors, Risk, Trump’s tariffs, U.S., Underestimating
MarketWatch (August 26)
“Wall Street is more focused on Nvidia than on threats to Fed independence. That may be a big mistake.” The “muted reaction to Trump’s attempt to fire Fed’s Lisa Cook indicates markets are ‘not properly priced’ for a rupture in the monetary-policy process.”
Tags: Attempt, Cook, Fed independence, Fire, Markets, Mistake, Muted reaction, Nvidia, Properly priced, Rupture, Threats, Trump, Wall Street
New York Times (August 25)
The Chinese “housing downturn has not delivered the devastating shock that the United States suffered in the 2008 financial crisis, but it has been hanging over the economy for five years with no end in sight.” Prices for new and secondhand homes continue to fall. “The continuing property market slide comes at a vulnerable moment for the Chinese economy. A trade war has limited China’s ability to rev up its export engine, while consumer spending remains soft. The government is plowing money into semiconductors, robotics and other technologies, but those investments are unlikely to pay off quickly enough to fill the hole left by a shrinking property sector.”
Tags: 2008 financial crisis, China, Consumer spending, Devastating, Downturn, Economy, Export engine, Home prices, Housing, Property market, Semiconductors, Trade war, U.S., Vulnerable
Wall Street Journal (August 24)
“Not long ago it would have been hard to imagine a Republican President demanding government ownership in a private company, but here we are. And now the Trump Administration is toying with a tax on patents too—meaning, a tax on innovation.” Very bizarrely, to compete with China, “the U.S. is imitating its model of state-run business. Washington is becoming Chinatown” as, disturbingly, “corporate statism is riding high.”
Tags: China, Chinatown, Compete, corporate statism, Government ownership, Imitating, Innovation, Patents, Private company, Republican, State-run, Tax, Trump, U.S., Washington
Bloomberg (August 24)
“China’s economy is being strained by US tariffs and a deep-rooted property crisis, yet stocks are extending their bull run — a disconnect that’s stirring doubts on the rally’s staying power. In just the past month, onshore stocks have added almost a trillion dollars to their market value, the Shanghai Composite Index has hit a decade-high and the CSI 300 Index has taken its advance from this year’s low to more than 20%. That’s when nearly every recent economic indicator — from consumption trends, home prices to inflation — has brought red flags for investors.”
Tags: Bull run, China, Consumption trends, CSI 300, Disconnect, Doubts, Economic indicator, Economy, Home prices, Inflation, Investors, Market value, Property crisis, Rally, Red flags, Shanghai, Staying power, Stocks, US tariffs
Barron’s (August 22)
“The stock market snatched victory from the jaws of defeat this past week, thanks to a surprisingly dovish Jerome Powell.” Last week, fear had taken over. “Artificial-intelligence fever had turned into AI flu, causing Nvidia stock to drop for three consecutive days and the rest of the Mag Seven to stumble. Then, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole suggested he was leaning toward a September interest-rate cut, sending stocks roaring back.” A strong earnings report from Nvidia could provide the catalyst to fully bring “those sputtering animal spirits should roar back to life.”
Tags: AI flu, Defeat, Dovish, Earnings report, Fear, Fed, Interest-rate cut, Jackson Hole, Mag Seven, Nvidia, Powell, Stock market, Stumble, Victory
Reuters (August 22)
The “boom-to-bust saga” of China Evergrande Group drew closer to the end with its formal “delisting from the Hong Kong stock exchange on Monday,” which as the largest by market value and volume in recent years.” For investors, “the journey has been anything but grand.” After achieving a $9 billion market cap in its 2009 IPO, Evergrande rocketed ahead, growing “more than five-fold to $51 billion eight years later only to plummet to earth,” with it’s current value approximately $282 million and creditor claims of approximately $45 billion. “The company’s journey from stock exchange darling to a pariah in the financial markets is a cautionary tale of unbridled debt-fuelled expansion in the world’s second-largest economy.”
Tags: Boom, Bust, Cautionary tale, China. Evergrande, Creditor claims, Debt-fuelled, Delisting, Expansion, Hong Kong, Investors, IPO, Market value, Pariah, Stock exchange, Volume
