Wall Street Journal (September 29)
Hedge fund veteran Mark Spitznagel “previously said markets would rally as the Fed eases in a Goldilocks phase, but has also warned a recession is coming and that rate cuts are also the opening signal for big reversals down the line. In the current environment, that means in the biggest market bubble in history will soon pop, eventually prompting the Fed to ‘do something heroic’ but doom the economy to stagflation.”
Tags: China, Consuming, Deflationary hole, Long term, Short run, State support, Stimulus
Reuters (September 28)
“Treasury yields and the dollar fell while the Dow registered a record closing high on Friday as a subdued U.S. inflation report lifted expectations of an outsized interest rate cut at the Federal Reserve’s November policy meeting.” On top of that, “a global stock index also reached a record high, helped by China’s stimulus boost, and European shares posted an all-time high close.”
Tags: China, Dollar, Dow, Europe, Expectations, Fed, Global stock, High, Index, Inflation, Interest rate, Policy meeting, Record, Stimulus, U.S., Yields
Financial Times (September 27)
China’s biggest stimulus package since the pandemic has “supercharged markets, putting Chinese stocks on track for their best week since 2008.” The massive package boasts “billions of dollars from the central bank to support the stock market, policy rate cuts, measures to boost bank liquidity and efforts to stabilise China’s prolonged property crisis, including a 50-basis point interest rate cut for mortgage holders.” Nevertheless, it may not be enough “to reignite consumer confidence in the world’s second-largest economy.”
Tags: 2008, Central bank, China, Markets, Mortgage, Pandemic, Property crisis, Rate cuts, Stimulus, Stock market, Stocks, Supercharged
CNN (September 26)
“No one likes being told the economy is good when their own personal financial situation is rocky.” Yet, ”for the first time in years,” there are “a lot of mood-boosting economic changes coming our way.” It comes down to “vibenomics 101: stocks up + gas down = good vibes.” We may have “vanquished the vibecession.”
Tags: Economic changes, Economy, Financial situation, Gas down, Good vibes, Mood-boosting, Personal, Rocky, Stocks up, Vibecession, Vibenomics
Traders Magazine (September 25)
“Compliance and risk leaders need to reorient their processes and technology to align with how traders trade in today’s markets.” Many legacy systems are “decades out of date, designed in a time when you had to keep an eye on one financial instrument or venue at a time.” Insider trading can occur through economically related securities and a rising number of ”social media-related market manipulation cases” are facing regulators in India (SEBI), Hong Kong (SFC) and the U.S. (SEC). “Market operators and financial institutions must… innovate their practices to ensure market integrity while creating value and opportunities.”
Tags: Compliance, Economically related securities, Financial instrument, Hong Kong, India, Legacy systems, Market manipulation, Processes, Risk leaders, SEBI, SEC, SFC, Social media, Technology, Traders, U.S.
Reuters (September 23)
“Rebuffing a low-ball, unsolicited, $39 billion takeover proposal from Alimentation Couche-Tard was a straightforward task for Seven & i. But the resulting 20% surge in the Japanese target’s stock price puts it under pressure to lay out a compelling plan to improve its returns. That will be critical to shoring up its defence if its suitor tries to take an offer directly to shareholders.”
Tags: $39 billion, Compelling plan, Couche-Tard, Japan, Low-ball, Rebuffing, Returns, Seven & i, Shareholders, Stock price, Straightforward, Surge, Takeover, Target, Unsolicited
Seeking Alpha (September 21)
“It was a historic week for Wall Street, with the benchmark S&P 500… closing above the 5,700 points level for the first time ever. Meanwhile, the blue-chip Dow (DJI) surpassed and ended above the 42,000 points mark for the first time ever. The advance was driven by what was undoubtedly the most important event of the week:” the Fed’s half-point interest rate cut.
Tags: Advance, Benchmark, Blue-chip, Dow, Fed, Half-point, Historic, Interest rate, S&P 500, Wall Street
New York Times (September 21)
“The lethal detonation of hand-held pagers and walkie-talkies used by Hezbollah militants this week in Lebanon… raised questions about a gaping vulnerability in the global supply chain.” The attacks are likely to “accelerate supply chain changes,” including reshoring and nearshoring, that the pandemic catalyzed to insure “against the perils of international shipping.” Each supply chain movement and “every additional company brought into the manufacturing process represents an opportunity for those pursuing violent agendas to insinuate themselves into the works and weaponize the product.”
Tags: Attacks, Detonation, Gaping vulnerability, Hezbollah, International shipping, Lebanon, Lethal, Manufacturing process, Militants, Nearshoring, Pagers, Pandemic, Perils, Reshoring, Supply chain
Forbes (September 20)
“Dalio hasn’t fled China. But the fact that the founder of the globe’s biggest hedge fund is raising warning flags matters. Not just because he’s the biggest of the big money, but because his pivot comes at a moment of maximum paranoia about China’s trajectory into 2025. This includes deflationary forces of the kind with which Tokyo is still grappling 30 years on.”
Tags: 2025, China, Dalio, Deflationary forces, Fled, Grappling, Hedge-fund, Maximum paranoia, Pivot, Tokyo, Trajectory, Warning flags
Washington Post (September 19)
Europe faces many challenges, but the largest is structural. “The E.U. is still not really one big thing, but a collection of smaller ones. This makes it difficult for companies to scale” or for the EU to pursue a coherent strategy. “Mr. Draghi’s report has many good ideas — to unify budgets, markets and strategies; to streamline rules to encourage innovation. At its core, the message is one that Europeans have heard before: For Europe to thrive, it must act as Europe.”
Tags: Budgets, Challenges, Companies, Draghi, E.U., Europe, Markets, Rules, Scale, Strategies, Strategy, Streamline, Structural, Unify