New York Times (May 29)
Companies initially “welcomed a court decision striking down President Trump’s tariffs. Then a stay of that ruling left no one breathing easy.” Uncertainty, with a splash of potential relief, now prevails as U.S. businesses struggle to digest “the latest twist in Mr. Trump’s roller-coaster trade war, which has made it impossible to plan more than a few weeks in advance. It’s particularly hard on industries that place their orders entire seasons ahead of time.”
Tags: Businesses, Companies, Court decision, Impossible, Industries, Orders, Relief, Roller coaster, Ruling, Stay, Striking down, Struggle, Trade war, Trump’s tariffs, U.S.
Reuters (May 29)
“The U.S. dollar’s unusual moves in April, when it fell in tandem with stocks, has cast doubt over a long-lasting relationship between the greenback and risky assets. Over time, it might nudge non-U.S. investors to hedge more or reduce their exposure to American stocks and bonds. Both could create a self-reinforcing downward cycle for the dollar.”
Tags: April, Bonds, Dollar, Doubt, Downward cycle, Exposure, Greenback, Hedge, Non-U.S. investors, Relationship, Risky assets. Over, Self-reinforcing, Stocks, Unusual moves
Washington Post (May 29)
“A pair of courtroom defeats has blown a hole in President Donald Trump’s plan to use historically high tariffs to reshape global trade, raise hundreds of billions of dollars in new tax revenue and boost the fortunes of domestic manufacturers.”
Tags: Blown, Boost fortunes, Courtroom defeats, Domestic, Global trade, Hole, Manufacturers, Plan, Reshape, Tariffs, Tax revenue, Trump
Institutional Investor (May 27)
Current trends seem to indicate “that investment managers are increasingly prioritizing flexible, innovative product solutions – particularly in ETFs, private assets, and SMAs – as traditional offerings lose their dominance. Considering the current challenging macro environment – inflation, high interest rates, and geopolitical/trade conflicts – we will be keen to observe whether these shifts in investor product preferences endure or lose their gusto in the face of wideswept market challenges.”
Tags: ETFs, Flexible, Geopolitical, Inflation, Innovative, Interest rates, Investment managers, Macro environment, Market challenges, Prioritizing, Private assets, SMAs, Trade conflicts, Traditional offerings, Trends
Seeking Alpha (May 27)
“Japan has lost its status as the world’s top creditor nation for the first time in 34 years, even as the country has maintained a strong investment appetite abroad. While its overseas assets topped JPY 500T ($3.47T) for the first time ever in 2024, it still trailed Germany’s international investments,” which rose to JPY 569.65T ($3.96T).
Tags: 2024, 34 years, Germany, Investment appetite, Japan, JPY500T, JPY569.65T, Nation, Overseas assets, Status, Strong, Top creditor
The Guardian (May 25)
Recent research suggests “that even if carbon emissions are slashed to meet the internationally agreed target of 1.5C, sea level rises will become unmanageable during this century.” The “more ominous” fact, however, is “that even the existing 1.5C goal is moving out of reach.” Globally we are on course for “at least 2.5C of heating,” likely melting “the Greenland and west Antarctic ice sheets” and triggering “‘really dire’ sea level rise of around 12 metres.” Still, we are not helpless. “People will adapt to sea level rises in the future as they have in the past. This is not to deny or underplay the scale of the threat, but to stress the importance of preparing for changes which are now inevitable, as well as trying as hard as possible to avoid the worst-case scenarios.”
Tags: 1.5C, 12m, 2.5C, Adapt, Carbon emissions, Dire, Greenland, Ice sheets, Inevitable, Ominous, Preparing, Research, Sea level, Threat, Unmanageable, West Antarctic
Fortune (May 24)
“Predictions that the dollar’s dominance will come to an end soon have proliferated since President Donald Trump launched his trade war,” but it’s not so simple. “Assets in other top economies like China, Japan and Europe still aren’t as attractive as those in the U.S.” while potential rivals also “suffer from governance or political headwinds.” Until another currency surmounts these issues, “global investors are faced with the familiar reality that there is still no alternative to the greenback, which has been the currency of choice for international payments and reserves for decades.”
Tags: Alternative, Assets, Attractive, China, Dollar, Dominance, Europe, Governance, Greenback, Headwinds, International payments, Investors, Japan, Political, Predictions, Rivals, Top economies, Trade war, Trump, U.S.
Barron’s (May 23)
“It’s time to worry about Japan and the yen carry trade again.” Rising yields in Japan could spell potential trouble in the U.S. The latest sale of Japan Government Bonds (JGBs) “was met with much less interest than anticipated,” selling at lower-than-expected prices and higher yields. “Those higher yields are trouble for the yen carry trade, which is a bad sign for U.S. Treasuries. Money borrowed in Japan often goes to buy U.S. debt, leading to a potential domino effect.”
Tags: Carry trade, Domino effect, Japan, JGBs, Prices, Rising yields, Treasuries. Debt, Trouble, U.S., Yen
MarketWatch (May 22)
“A soaring 30-year Treasury yield has grabbed the lion’s share of attention lately when it comes to signaling how the U.S. fiscal outlook is rattling investors.” What’s happening in Japan, as bond yields surge, is a “less-talked-about factor weighing on sentiment.” Yields on 30-year JGBs rose “to almost 3.17% on Thursday, the highest in roughly 25 years of record-keeping” while 40-year yields “jumped to 3.67%, the highest level since its inception in 2007.” The “sharply higher yields on Japanese government bonds” may already be enticing “the country’s investors to return home.” It is likely that “the recent selloff in the Japanese bond market may have played at least some role in the Treasury market’s own selloff of the longest-dated government maturity Thursday morning.”
Tags: 3.67%, 30-year, 40 year, Bond yields, Enticing, Fiscal outlook, Investors, JGBs, Rattling, Sentiment, Soaring, Surge, Treasury, U.S.
Wall Street Journal (May 23)
“Treasury auctions are like the plumbing of a toilet: You only pay attention when something goes wrong. A weak auction drove a market selloff on Wednesday for the first time since late 2023. There are good reasons to be concerned about overspill.” Investors are “demanding a higher yield for the risks—and it is a bad sign.”
Tags: 2023, Bad sign, Concerned, Demanding, Higher yield, Market selloff, Overspill, Plumbing, Risks, Treasury auctions, Weak
