Financial Times (February 27)
Although “some demographic experts had been hopeful of a pent-up baby boom in Japan following the pandemic,” 2024 confirmed the worst. “The number of babies born in Japan last year fell to the lowest level since records began 125 years ago as the country’s demographic crisis deepens and government efforts to reverse the decline continue to fail.” For nine years straight, “the decline in births has continued unabated…. Combined with a record 1.6mn deaths last year, the figures mean Japan’s population shrank by almost 900,000 people, net of immigration.”
Tags: 2024, Babies, Baby boom, Births, Deaths, Decline, Demographic crisis, Experts, Fail, Government, Immigration, Japan, Pandemic, Pent-up, Population, Record
MarketWatch (February 26)
“The brightest spot in the housing market is fading fast.” Sales of new homes in the U.S. “fell to the lowest level in 3 months, as buyers have grown frustrated with high mortgage rates and high home prices.” The 10.5% drop in new-home sales has caused inventory to spike. “Builders are now sitting on high levels of inventory. The number of finished homes on the market in January was at the highest level since August 2009, in the aftermath of the Great Recession.”
Tags: August 2009, Builders, Buyers, Fading, Finished homes, Frustrated, Great Recession, Housing market, Inventory, Mortgage rates, New homes, Prices, Sales, U.S.
Barron’s (February 24)
Trump wants the dollar to be mighty but weak. It makes no sense.” The President “is ensnared in a logical knot. Either the dollar must remain ‘mighty’ and dominant, or it must shed this albatross and fall to a level more favorable to U.S. exports. To demand that the dollar do both is as illogical as to demand that tariffs raise import revenue while at the same time stopping imports.”
Tags: Demand, Dollar, Dominant, Ensnared, Fall, Favorable, Illogical, Import revenue, Logical knot, Mighty, Tariffs, Trump, U.S. exports, Weak
American Banker (February 24)
“Banks have been encouraged by the Trump administration’s promises to reduce their regulatory burdens, but the simultaneous efforts to reduce the federal workforce — including among independent bank regulators — could have unforeseen consequences in supervision and enforcement.” Experts say, this could lead to weaker crisis response.
Tags: Bank regulators, Banks, Crisis response, Encouraged, Enforcement, Experts, Federal workforce, Independent, Promises, Regulatory burdens, Supervision, Trump administration, Unforeseen consequences
South China Morning Post (February 24)
“South Korea is lagging behind or matching China in ‘basic competency’ in five areas of semiconductor technology, including memory chips and artificial intelligence (AI) chips, according to a report released last week by the Korea Institute of Science & Technology Evaluation and Planning.” China has now “surpassed South Korea to rank second in memory chip technologies” and “is now only behind the US in this field.” All of this comes despite “US restrictions on the country’s access to advanced chips and chipmaking technologies.”
Tags: Access, Advanced, AI, China, Chips, Competency, Lagging, Memory, Restrictions, Semiconductor technology, South Korea, Surpassed, U.S.
Foreign Affairs (February 21)
“China’s armed forces are changing quickly. Over the last 15 years, Beijing has devoted significant resources to developing a military that can project power abroad. It now has three aircraft carriers and a growing fleet of amphibious assault ships…. These changes should not be surprising since Chinese officials have spoken publicly about how they see their country as a great power on the rise, one that must project power overseas.” That may, however, ultimately prove “a self-defeating strategy.” Although “power projection once made empires,” it can also “undo them.”
Washington Post (February 21)
“By the end of 2023, some 43 percent of global electricity generation was powered by solar, wind and other renewable sources — up dramatically since the turn of the 21st century, when these sources accounted for only 18 percent. Yet the distance to 100 percent remains daunting.”
Tags: 100, 18, 2023, 43%, Daunting, Electricity, Generation, Global, Power, Renewable sources, Solar, Wind
The Economist (February 20)
“The past week has been the bleakest in Europe since the fall of the Iron Curtain. Ukraine is being sold out, Russia is being rehabilitated and, under Donald Trump, America can no longer be counted on to come to Europe’s aid in wartime. The implications for Europe’s security are grave, but they have yet to sink in to the continent’s leaders and people.”
Tags: Bleakest, Europe, Grave, Implications, Iron Curtain, Leaders, People, Rehabilitated, Russia, Security, Sold out, Trump, U.S., Ukraine, Wartime
Time (February 19)
“Today’s advanced AI models like OpenAI’s o1-preview are less scrupulous. When sensing defeat in a match against a skilled chess bot, they don’t always concede, instead sometimes opting to cheat by hacking their opponent so that the bot automatically forfeits the game.” Earlier versions required an actual prompt to resort to such tactics, but both the “o1-preview and DeepSeek R1 pursued the exploit on their own, indicating that AI systems may develop deceptive or manipulative strategies without explicit instruction.”
Tags: Advanced, AI models, Cheat, Chess bot, Concede, Deceptive, DeepSeek R1, Defeat, Exploit, Forfeits, Game, Hacking, Manipulative strategies, o1-preview, OpenAI, Opponent, Prompt, Scrupulous, Tactics
MarketWatch (February 18)
In the U.S., “home-builder confidence plunged to the lowest level in five months as concerns over tariffs and how they could raise the cost of housing weighed on the industry.” According to the National Association of Home Builders, its “monthly confidence index fell five points to 42 in February…. a significant change in sentiment among home builders” who are increasingly being spooked by Trump’s tariffs and rising material costs. “For buyers, the sentiment shift only adds to the likelihood that home prices could go up in an already expensive housing market.”
Tags: Buyers, Confidence, Confidence index, Home builders, Housing market, Material costs, Plunged, Sentiment, Spooked, Tariffs, Trump, U.S.
