Bankrate (October 10)
“Recession odds between now and September 2024 have dropped to 46 percent, according to experts’ average forecast in Bankrate’s latest quarterly survey of economists. Those probabilities are still close to a coin flip, but they’re down from an average forecast of 59 percent just last quarter. They’re also the lowest odds since the first quarter of 2022.”
Tags: 2022, 2024, 46%, Economists, Experts, Forecast, Lowest, Odds, Probabilities, Quarterly survey, Recession
Washington Post (May 2)
“As generative artificial intelligence becomes eerily lifelike and gives rise to chatbots that can draft letters, write computer code or create songs, experts have warned about its ability to put people out of jobs. A Goldman Sachs report in late March said generative AI could significantly disrupt the global economy and subject 300 million jobs, particularly white-collar ones, to automation.”
Tags: AI, Automation, Chatbots, Computer code, Disrupt, Experts, Generative, Global economy, Goldman Sachs, Jobs, Lifelike, People, Songs, White collar
American Banker (March 27)
“Silicon Valley Bank was not the only institution that loaded up on bonds at precisely the wrong time. Based analyzing the regulatory filings of over 4,700 U.S. banks, “dozens of other banks — most of them quite small — are deeply underwater on their bond investments and could hit trouble if they were unexpectedly forced to liquidate the investments.” Still, “many experts say there is very little risk that those unrealized losses could ever turn into a problem, given the many options available to banks and regulators’ focus on avoiding that type of scenario.”
Tags: Banks, Bonds, Experts, Forced, Investments, Liquidate, Regulators, Regulatory filings, Risk, SVB, U.S., Underwater, Unrealized losses, Wrong time
Investment Week (January 23)
“Chinese equities took a beating in the year of the tiger, with the collapse of the nation’s property market, stringent restrictions on some of its sectors and its zero-Covid policy all hampering investor interest.” In contrast, the year of the rabbit is beginning “in a remarkably different place…. Dynamics are now shifting in a favourable direction, benefiting Chinese stocks and global growth.” Nevertheless, “investment experts remain wary and advise caution.”
Tags: Caution, China, Collapse, Dynamics, Equities, Experts, Favourable, Growth, Investor, Property market, Rabbit, Restrictions, Stocks, Tiger, Zero COVID
The Guardian (August 29)
“China has reached a point of no return in its battle to contain what could be the biggest property crash the world has ever seen, experts believe, creating a perilous moment for the country’s Communist leadership and the global economy.”
Tags: Battle, Biggest, China, Communist, Experts, Global economy, Leadership, No return, Perilous, Property crash, World
CNN (August 12)
“Hong Kong has recorded its sharpest annual drop in population,” falling from “7.41 million people to 7.29 million, a 1.6% decrease.” Experts attribute the exodus to “strict Covid control measures and a political crackdown that have taken the shine off a financial hub long advertised as ‘Asia’s world city.’”
Tags: 1.6% decrease, Annual, Asia, Control measures, Covid, Drop, Exodus, Experts, Financial hub, Hong Kong, Political crackdown, Population, Strict
Wall Street Journal (April 19)
In India, New Delhi became the first region “to reimpose sweeping measures like the ones employed last spring.” Though “India has sought to avoid the strict lockdowns that punished its economy last spring… the step was necessary to avoid an even bigger disaster: a complete breakdown of its hospitals.” Experts anticipate “a cascade of other Indian states” following New Delhi into lockdown.
Tags: Breakdown, Disaster, Economy, Experts, Hospitals, India, Lockdowns, New Delhi, Punished, Strict
Star Tribune (March 31)
Chile “appears poised to be among the first in the world to reach herd immunity. But experts say the country’s speedy and efficient vaccination drive—only Israel, the United Arab Emirates and Seychelles have vaccinated a larger share of their populations—gave Chileans a false sense of security and contributed to a sharp spike in new infections and deaths that is overloading the health care system.”
Tags: Chile, Deaths, Efficient, Experts, Herd immunity, Infections, Israel, Security, Seychelles, Speedy, Spike, UAE, Vaccination drive
Boston Globe Times (March 3)
“The president’s timetable” of having enough vaccine for every American by the end of May “provides a bright light at the end of a long, dark tunnel, although he acknowledged that the nation remains in a tenuous situation” as experts “fear a fourth surge of the pandemic, fueled by worrisome new variants, as states like Texas and Mississippi rush to fully reopen.”
Tags: Bright light, Dark tunnel, Experts, Fourth surge, Mississippi, Pandemic, President, Reopen, Tenuous, Texas, Timetable, Vaccine, Variants, Worrisome
Houston Chronicle (March 2)
“Houston is the nation’s first city to record every major variant of the novel coronavirus—many of which are more contagious than the original strain.” This unwelcome milestone “comes barely a week after the ever-evolving virus’ death toll in the United States passed the half-million mark, a grim figure that…experts believe will continue to increase unless Americans double-down on social distancing, masks and vaccination efforts.”
Tags: Contagious, Coronavirus, Death toll, Distancing, Double-down, Experts, Houston, Masks, Milestone, Original, Strain, U.S., Variant
