Washington Post (July 20)
We may be living in a “Goldilocks economy,” but it “has an end date.” Last year, the investors who “thought stagflation was here to stay were wrong, and they’ll be wrong again if they count on Goldilocks sticking around. Growth and inflation will line up sooner or later, and it’s the growth data that provides a better signal for the trajectory of the economy.”
Tags: End date, Goldilocks economy, Growth, Inflation, Investors, Last year, Signal, Stagflation, Trajectory, Wrong
Washington Post (August 17)
“By next year, India will become the most populous nation. This, like House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s splendidly insouciant visit to Taiwan, will diminish today’s fatalism about China — the fallacious assumption that its trajectory is inevitably upward, so it must be accommodated.” Chinese labor is now “increasingly expensive and decreasingly abundant,” as its population peaks and declines by roughly half.
Tags: Abundant, China, Diminish, Expensive, Fallacious, Fatalism, India, Labor, Peaks, Pelosi, Population, Populous, Taiwan, Trajectory
Oil Price (March 10)
“While no one can say for certain what the trajectory of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict will be, the economic warfare that is going on alongside it is very likely to destroy the current global trading system.” A fix could take a while. It took roughly 75 years to regain “stability” and “interconnection,” after the “worldwide trading system” was last destroyed with the outbreak of World War 1.
Tags: Conflict, Destroy, Economic warfare, Global trading system, Interconnection, Russian-Ukrainian, Stability, Trajectory, WWI