San Francisco Chronicle (August 22)
“This week rising bond yields forced the U.S. Treasury Department into an unusual intervention and raised the specter of higher borrowing costs putting the brakes on consumer spending, the lifeblood of the economy. It also sparked concerns that investors might finally be thinking twice about financing a seemingly endless flow of government borrowing.” The Treasury intervention could fail since it doesn’t address “the deeper forces pushing yields higher: federal debt above $40 trillion, persistent deficits, inflation concerns and heavy borrowing tied to the AI investment boom.”
Tags: $40 trillion, AI investment, Bond yields, Boom, Borrowing costs, Concerns, Consumer spending, Deficits, Economy, Financing, Government, Inflation, Intervention, Investors, Rising, Treasury, U.S., Yields Federal debt
Fortune (August 21)
“For now, at least, Southeast Asian nations are benefiting from the AI boom,” but “economists who study the region are worried that AI’s gains won’t be evenly shared across Asia—and that for Southeast Asia’s economies, which sit on the lower end of the value chain, the boom could be more of a “short-term blip.”
Tags: AI, AI boom, Asia—and Economies, Benefiting, Boom, Economists, Gains, Shared, Short term, Southeast Asia, Value chain
The Economist (July 31)
“Despite robust spending, America’s economy grew slower than expected in the second quarter, expanding by an annualised 1.5%. Consumer activity grew by 3.2% thanks to a fall in gasoline prices and higher-than-usual tax refunds. AI-driven investment continued to boom. These bright spots were, however, offset by a decline in net exports and companies drawing down their inventories.”
Tags: 1.5%, AI-driven investment, Boom, Consumer activity, Decline, Economy, Expanding, Gasoline prices, Inventories, Net exports, Q2, Robust spending, Slower, Tax refunds, U.S.
Reuters (June 24)
“The AI boom has led to the biggest upswing ever, as demand for memory created a huge bottleneck.” Micron Technologies, now worth $1.3 trillion, has benefited handsomely from this “as the company’s ballooning gross margin shows,” but the rise “is straining tech giants and investor credulity alike.” It won’t last forever. “Boom and bust cycles are built on human greed. It’s very hard to resist the urge to keep boosting production when times are good. Historical patterns suggest the memory shortage will likely end suddenly and hard.”
Tags: AI boom, Ballooning, Boom, Bottleneck, Bust, Credulity, Demand, Gross margin, Human greed, Investor, Memory, Micron, Production, Tech giants, Upswing
Reuters (March 29)
An “enduring disconnect between geopolitical turmoil and buoyant corporate and financial activity” remains. Despite concern with “extreme uncertainty caused by fighting in the Middle East…. Dealmakers have a trillion reasons to feel optimistic. That’s the rough dollar value of mergers and acquisitions announced worldwide since the start of the year, a level only bettered during the post-pandemic boom of 2021.”
Tags: Boom, Buoyant, Corporate, Dealmakers, Disconnect, Extreme uncertainty, Fighting, Financial, Geopolitical turmoil, M&A, Middle East, Optimistic
Reuters (November 4)
“Fears of a market bubble come as the benchmark S&P 500 continues its meteoric climb, repeatedly hitting record highs and evoking memories of the dot-com boom.” And on Tuesday, the chief executives of Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs warned that “global equity markets could be heading towards a correction, underscoring a growing concern that investor optimism has driven valuations to sky-high levels.”
Tags: Boom, Concern, Correction, Dot-com, Equity markets, Executives, Fears, Goldman Sachs, Investor optimism, Market bubble, Meteoric, Morgan Stanley, Record highs, S&P 500, Valuations
Reuters (August 22)
The “boom-to-bust saga” of China Evergrande Group drew closer to the end with its formal “delisting from the Hong Kong stock exchange on Monday,” which as the largest by market value and volume in recent years.” For investors, “the journey has been anything but grand.” After achieving a $9 billion market cap in its 2009 IPO, Evergrande rocketed ahead, growing “more than five-fold to $51 billion eight years later only to plummet to earth,” with it’s current value approximately $282 million and creditor claims of approximately $45 billion. “The company’s journey from stock exchange darling to a pariah in the financial markets is a cautionary tale of unbridled debt-fuelled expansion in the world’s second-largest economy.”
Tags: Boom, Bust, Cautionary tale, China. Evergrande, Creditor claims, Debt-fuelled, Delisting, Expansion, Hong Kong, Investors, IPO, Market value, Pariah, Stock exchange, Volume
Reuters (January 18)
The anticipated “mega-merger boom threatens a shareholder bloodbath.” As global conditions improve and central banks cut borrowing costs, mega-deals are expected to proliferate. An expected lighter regulatory touch will provide extra momentum. Based on past results, however, “when acquisitions reach $10 billion or more… the worst fears of shareholders are often confirmed.” Large acquirers generally end up trailing industry peers by 5% in median annualized total return.
Tags: Acquirer, Acquisitions, Bloodbath, Boom, Borrowing costs, Central banks, Expected, Fears, Lagging, Mega-merger, Momentum, Regulatory, Shareholder
Reuters (September 5)
“Global property markets, rattled by the steepest rise in interest rates in a generation, will get little relief from the gradual easing of borrowing costs, with scant hope of a return to the free money that fuelled a boom.”
Tags: Boom, Borrowing costs, Free money, Global, Gradual easing, Interest rates, Property markets, Rattled, Relief, Rise, Scant hope, Steepest
Wall Street Journal (July 17)
“A clearer outlook on interest rates is giving bankers hope that dealmaking is emerging from a two-year slowdown.” Though up about 8% from a year ago, Q2 global M&A volumes “are still below those of the deal boom coming out of the pandemic,” with M&A activity “unlikely to kick into full gear until interest rates come down.”
Tags: 8%, Bankers, Boom, Clearer, Dealmaking, Emerging, Interest rates, M&A, Outlook, Pandemic, Q2, Slowdown
