BBC (October 13)
We’ve learned three things about the UK’s economy from the semiannual IMF forecast. “1. The UK is weathering the Iran war better than expected…. 2. The UK is doing better than other major economies…. 3. But things could get worse.” Also of note, by 2031, the UK “is projected to have the lowest annual borrowing of the G7 group of countries, which includes Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan and the US.”
Tags: 2031, Borrowing, Canada, Economy, France, G7, Germany, Iran war, Italy, Japan, Lowest, Major economies, MF forecast, UK, Worse
New York Times (October 2)
President Trump is now “threatening to ban or restrict the export of diesel from the United States, which is the top supplier to more than a dozen countries including Mexico, Canada and much of Europe. Oil executives and world leaders are issuing increasingly dire warnings that the result could be global price spikes on everything from groceries to jet fuel.” The only nation with spare capacity to process more diesel is China, but analysts believe “China has started again to restrict some of its sizable exports of refined crude products including diesel.”
Tags: Ban, Canada, China, Diesel, Dire warnings, Europe, Export, Global price spikes, Groceries, Jet fuel, Mexico, Oil, Restrict, Spare capacity, Threatening, Top supplier, Trump, U.S.
Time (September 9)
As the “Buy Canadian” movement gains momentum, “Consumers in Canada are finding different ways to navigate how best to boycott U.S. goods and services, putting extra time in at the grocery store to ensure they are buying Canadian as often as they can.” The movement’s resurgence “comes amid a deepening U.S.-Canada trade dispute that shows no signs of waning.”
Tags: Boycott, Buy Canadian, Canada, Consumers, Deepening, Goods, Grocery store, Momentum, Movement, Navigate, Resurgence, Services, U.S.
Market Watch (September 6)
“The U.S.’s status as a financial safe haven has begun to clash with President Trump’s growing barrage of economic and military threats to advance his agenda.” There seems be a common fear behind the Netherland’s recent withdrawal of reserve gold from the U.S., the drawdowns of France and Germany’s U.S.-based reserves, and a current plan in Norway to cut Treasury holdings. Basically, what’s to stop Trump from simply seizing their assets? His “sweeping tariff fight shocked the world last year. Then came the capture in January of Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, February’s launch of the U.S.-Iran war, and plans in late August to control of more than 65 billion barrels of Venezuelan oil. In between, there’s been taunting of European and NATO allies, a campaign to takeover over Greenland and its natural resources and, lately, an escalating U.S.-Canada trade war.” So even if seizure sounds far-fetched, it is a legitimate risk for central banks to mitigate.
Tags: Allies, Assets, Barrage, Canada, Capture, Clash, Economic, Escalating, Europe, Fear, France, Germany, Gold, Greenland, Iran war, Maduro, Military threats, Nato, Netherlands, Norway, Reserves, Risk, Safe haven, Seizing, Seizure, Tariff, Taunting, Trade war, Treasury, Trump, U.S., Venezuela, Venezuelan oil, Withdrawal
BBC (September 2)
“The Dutch central bank (DNB) has confirmed that billions of dollars in gold has been taken out of north America and relocated to London, citing ‘increasing geopolitical unrest.’” In total, the DNB removed 86 tonnes of gold “from the US and Canada in a complex operation that took several months. It is now being held by the Bank of England, where the precious metal can be traded more easily ‘in a crisis situation.’”
Tags: 86 tonnes, Bank of England, Canada, Crisis situation, Dutch central bank, Geopolitical unrest, Gold, London, Precious metal, Relocated, Traded, U.S.
Wall Street Journal (August 26)
“Canada plans to impose tariffs of up to 50% on roughly 700 American products in retaliation for new U.S. levies,” a move which is likely to further escalate “tensions between two of the world’s most closely integrated economies.” Canada’s tariffs will be enforced from “Sept. 8, affecting about $20 billion worth of goods, or roughly 7% of total U.S. imports.” Canada designed the tariffs “to protect domestic companies hit by a fresh set of hefty U.S. tariffs and to sting President Trump and his Republican Party as they head into a difficult midterm election.”
Tags: $20 billion, 50, Canada, Economies, Enforced, Escalate, Goods, Imports, Levies, Protect, Republican, Retaliation, Sept. 8, Sting, Tariffs, Tensions, Trump, U.S.
The Guardian (August 23)
“The calamitous collapse of trade negotiations between Canada and the United States is a warning to nations worldwide that pursuing any kind of dialogue with the current US administration is doomed at the outset, according to observers who say this recent episode indicates seeking a fair deal is futile.”
Tags: Administration, Calamitous, Canada, Collapse, Dialogue, Doomed, Fair deal, Observers, Trade negotiations, U.S., Warning, Worldwide
The Atlantic (August 22)
“Yes, Trump can hurt Canada more than Canada can hurt Trump. That part of Trump’s thinking is true. But wars are not decided only by the question Who can inflict more pain? Wars are also decided by the question Who can endure more pain? Trump’s failure to accept this truth is why he lost the Iran war—and why he is losing his trade wars.”
Tags: Canada, Endure, Failure, Hurt, Inflict, Iran war, Lost, Pain, Thinking, Trade wars, True, Trump, Truth, Wars
Wall Street Journal (August 20)
Donald Trump’s “attitude of constant haggling over everything that isn’t nailed down, and some things that were supposed to be, isn’t helpful. Mr. Trump has put into doubt the future of his own U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement. Someone should tell him the biggest beneficiaries of free North American trade are Republican states, especially Texas.”
Tags: Agreement, Attitude, Beneficiaries, Canada, Doubt, Free trade, Future, Haggling, Mexico, North America, Republican states, Texas, Trump, U.S.
The Economist (July 11)
The Prime Minister of Canada and the President of Finland jointly champion “values-based realism” and “ad hoc coalitions.” They believe “the world order built after 1945 is unravelling” and that “neither wishful multilateralism nor cold realpolitik” provides a sufficient alternative.” Together “Mark Carney and Alexander Stubb suggest a third way…. “We must form calibrated alliances, integrating deeply with those countries that share our values, and remain open-eyed with those that do not.”
Tags: 1945, Ad hoc coalitions, Alliances, Canada, Carney, Champion, Finland, Multilateralism, Open-eyed, President, Prime minister, Realpolitik, Stubb, Unravelling, Values-based realism, World order
