Forbes (March 15)
“As the Bank of Japan mulls its biggest policy pivot in roughly 25 years, no major economy may benefit more than China,” helping to counter the headwinds zooming China’s way.” Hoping to supplant the dollar as the global currency, China is hesitant to devalue its own currency. Yet, “for China, falling prices will just further undermine business and household confidence. It’s here where a rising yen could counter the headwinds zooming China’s way. And make China the real winner as the BOJ calls it quits on QE next week.”
Tags: BOJ, Business, China, Confidence, Devalue, Dollar, Falling, Global currency, Headwinds, Household, Major economy, Policy pivot, Prices, Rising yen, Undermine
Financial Times (July 29)
“Inflation is falling for a number of reasons “beyond the Fed’s control,” like an easing of the worst impacts from “the pandemic and the war in Ukraine.” But the Fed’s rate hikes have effectively “reduced demand for credit.” The results can be seen in mortgage debt and car loans. “Overall, growth in non-revolving credit—the loans you take out just once, like a mortgage—is now just below zero.” There’s one snag on the revolving credit side, where credit growth is still “coming from credit cards.”
Tags: Car loans, Credit, Credit cards, Demand, Falling, Fed, Inflation, Mortgage debt, Non-revolving, Pandemic, Rate hikes, Revolving, Ukraine, War
The Economist (October 22)
“House prices are now falling in nine rich economies…. In condo-crazed Canada homes cost 9% less than they did in February. As inflation and recession stalk the world a deepening correction is likely.” Falling home prices are unlikely to lead to a global banking crisis, but “it will intensify the downturn, leave a cohort of people with wrecked finances and start a political storm.”
Tags: Banking, Canada, Condo, Correction, Crisis, Deepening, Downturn, Falling, Finances, House prices, Inflation, Intensify, Political storm, Recession, Rich economies, Wrecked
The Economist (May 28)
Signs suggest “America’s markets are entering a new, more worrying phase.” Falling share prices could initially be attributed to the Federal Reserve’s policy moves, but “in recent weeks share prices have kept falling, even as bond yields have dropped back,” a combination suggesting recession. “Indeed, the mix of Fed tightening, slowing gdp and rising production costs has the ominous feel of the later stages of a business cycle. The expansion is barely two years old. Yet investors are already worried that corporate profits are under threat.”
Tags: Bond yields, Business cycle, Expansion, Falling, Fed, GDP, Investors, Markets, Ominous, Production costs, Profits, Recession, Share prices, Signs, Tightening, U.S., Worried, Worrying
Bloomberg (March 8)
“When it’s just the yield curve narrowing, or oil jumping, or stocks falling into a correction, maybe you can hold off on panicking over a recession. When all three happen at once, the argument gets stronger that it’s time to take the threat seriously.”
Tags: Argument, Correction, Falling, Jumping, Narrowing, Oil, Panicking, Recession, Serious, Stocks, Stronger, Threat, Yield curve
Reuters (December 28)
“Vulture funds will need to stretch their wings. Corporate defaults are falling, despite the surprising endurance of the pandemic. Investors that specialise in buying distressed debt like Oaktree will have to look beyond the mainstay of public debt markets.”
Tags: Corporate defaults, Distressed debt, Falling, Investors, Markets, Oaktree, Pandemic, Vulture funds
USA Today (June 17)
“Falling rate of COVID-19 across the United States mask a harsh reality—the overwhelming majority of those getting sick and being hospitalized today are unvaccinated, while vaccinated people are becoming rare.” The sickest patients are also more likely to be younger “as older people are much more likely to be vaccinated.”
Tags: COVID-19, Falling, Hospitalized, Patients, Rate, Sickest, U.S., Unvaccinated, Vaccinated, Younger
Wall Street Journal (January 30)
“Trouble has been looming over the oil patch since crude prices began falling last summer, from over $100 a barrel to under $50 today. But only now are the long-feared effects of a bust starting to ripple through the complex energy ecosystem, affecting Houston executives, California landowners and oil old-timers in Oklahoma.”
Tags: Barrel, Bust, California, Crude prices, Energy ecosystem, Falling, Houston, Oil, Oklahoma, Trouble
Financial Times (September 25)
“Global gloom-mongers have something new to worry about – falling commodity prices. The closely watched Bloomberg Commodity index, which tracks 20 commodity prices, has dropped this week to a fresh four-year low.”
Tags: Bloomberg Commodity Index, Commodity prices, Falling, Global, Gloom, Lows, Prices
