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Financial Times (November 15)

2023/ 11/ 15 by jd in Global News

“One of Asia’s sleepiest investment sectors has outperformed tech stocks.” Share prices have soared at Japanese banks and their earnings now “confirm the prescience of that rally…. Earnings at Japan’s five biggest banking groups rose 56 per cent to a record of about ¥2tn ($13bn).” Higher spreads and buybacks are part of the equation, “but the biggest driver of the rally has been rising hopes that the central bank may end its ultra-easy monetary policy soon.”

 

Financial Times (August 1)

2022/ 08/ 01 by jd in Global News

“The venture capital world is in the grip of a silent crash. Unlike the stock market, there are no daily market indexes to broadcast the pain, and no individual share prices for anxious tech employees to watch as their personal wealth evaporates.” It remains unclear “how long it will take the venture capital market to reset, or how many of today’s investors and start-ups will still be standing when it does.”

 

The Economist (May 28)

2022/ 05/ 30 by jd in Global News

Signs suggest “America’s markets are entering a new, more worrying phase.” Falling share prices could initially be attributed to the Federal Reserve’s policy moves, but “in recent weeks share prices have kept falling, even as bond yields have dropped back,” a combination suggesting recession. “Indeed, the mix of Fed tightening, slowing gdp and rising production costs has the ominous feel of the later stages of a business cycle. The expansion is barely two years old. Yet investors are already worried that corporate profits are under threat.”

 

Financial Times (July 22)

2020/ 07/ 24 by jd in Global News

“As their booming share prices testify, technology groups have been brimming over with new business during the pandemic. For banks, there has been a special tech awakening…. After years of foot-dragging, many have been abandoning their cautious approach to cloud-based services and signing up with gusto to outsource their storage of data and other activities that demand high-intensity computing power.”

 

LA Times (November 20)

2018/ 11/ 22 by jd in Global News

“It looks as if the years-long stock market party might just be over.” The “recent plunge in share prices of U.S. technology giants spread like a software virus through the entire market Tuesday, triggering a broad sell-off that wiped out this year’s gains for the major indexes after they all hit record highs in recent months.”

 

Traders Magazine (August 14)

2018/ 08/ 17 by jd in Global News

Despite the fear, “stock predicting AI will never take over the world,” markets are a level two chaos event (L2CE): they respond to predictions. There is “a feedback loop. The program would have to predict share prices based upon variables including the share price it has just predicted. In other words, the forecast given by a stock prediction bot can never be right, if the amount traded because of this prediction is great enough to make it wrong.”

 

The Economist (February 15, 2014)

2014/ 02/ 15 by jd in Global News

“Rule changes have made activism easier and therefore more commonplace. Nor is it restricted to America: shareholder activism is gaining in popularity around the world, in places such as Japan and continental Europe, where it was once unknown.” While there are instances where activists cause damage in pursuit of short-term gains, “recent academic studies suggest that, by and large, activists are good for companies. An analysis of around 2,000 interventions in America during 1994-2007 found not only that the share prices and operating performance of the firms involved improved over the five years after the intervention, but also that the improvement was greatest towards the end of the five-year period.”

 

Economist (October 9)

2012/ 10/ 11 by jd in Global News

As the U.S. presidential election heats up, the media is awash in party-related statistics. The Economist reports that since 1929, “America’s stockmarket has gained more under Democratic than Republican presidents” with Democratic administrations presiding over a 460% increase in nominal share prices versus 100% for Republican administrations. In terms of cumulative returns, the results are even starker. The Democrats scored 300% versus the Republican’s 0%.

 

Reuters (April 25)

2011/ 04/ 28 by jd in Global News

Profitability is expected to suffer at firms listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s first section. According to Barclays Capital, average net profit “will fall 12 percent this financial year, with the slide led by export-related industries such as auto and electronics firms.” Markets may already have factored this into share prices. There may even be some upside. “Some investors are encouraged by the speed at which power generation capacity has recovered since the quake, and initial plans to force large users to cut back by a quarter may be eased.” In addition, there are hopes that later in the year supply chains will stabilize and consumption will benefit from rebuilding and relief efforts.Profitability is expected to suffer at firms listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s first section. According to Barclays Capital, average net profit “will fall 12 percent this financial year, with the slide led by export-related industries such as auto and electronics firms.” Markets may already have factored this into share prices. There may even be some upside. “Some investors are encouraged by the speed at which power generation capacity has recovered since the quake, and initial plans to force large users to cut back by a quarter may be eased.” In addition, there are hopes that later in the year supply chains will stabilize and consumption will benefit from rebuilding and relief efforts.

 

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