Wall Street Journal (January 26, 2014)
As the Federal Reserve begins tapering, we’ll see which emerging markets have “been swimming naked.” During the days of easy money, nearly anybody could enjoy the party. Now we’ll see which countries squandered the opportunity and left themselves exposed. “The end of Ben Bernanke’s Fed tide will have its uses if it spurs the kind of tax, trade and investment reforms that have been put off in too many places. The question is how much damage will be done as this global adjustment takes place.”
Tags: Ben Bernanke, Damage, Easy money, Emerging markets, Exposed, Federal Reserve, Global adjustment, Investment, Opportunity, Reforms, Squandered, Tapering, Tax, Trade, U.S.
Time (January 10, 2014)
“Only a short time ago, the world’s emerging markets, especially the BRICs – Brazil, Russia, India and China – were supposed to be the saviors of the global economy…. Now, however, with the opening of 2014, many emerging markets look like they’re the ones that need saving.”
Tags: 2014, Brazil, BRICS, China, Emerging markets, Global economy, India, Russia
Financial Times (December 10, 2013)
“South Korea was one of the only winners in the summer’s emerging market sell-off, sparked by fears about the outlook for US monetary policy.” In search of a safe haven, foreign buyers poured into South Korea, but now they are pouring out in favor of more promising markets. “Caught between Japan’s fresh Abenomics-fuelled rally and reform-gripped China, South Korea looks in need of a new narrative.”South Korea, Emerging markets, Sell-off, Outlook, U.S., Monetary policy, Safe haven, Foreign buyers, Abenomics, Rally, Reform, China, South Korea
Tags: Abenomics, China, Emerging markets, Foreign buyers, Monetary policy, Outlook, Rally, Reform, Safe haven, Sell-off, South Korea, U.S.
Financial Times (September 2)
Expectations of tapering by the Federal Reserve have “increased market volatility. And, as in past episodes of Fed tightening, emerging markets are at the centre of the turmoil…. No matter how gradual the tapering of QE, abrupt adjustments will occur. It is in the nature of financial markets to overreact and overshoot.”
Tags: Adjustments, Emerging markets, Expectations, Fed, Financial markets, Overreact, Quantitative easing, Tapering, Tightening, Volatility
Institutional Investor (August Issue)
Over the past decade, Brazil produced stellar returns. Internal strife and the looming tapering by the Federal Reserve are now, however, disrupting the long favorable investment environment. “Brazilian investors have not faced such uncertainty for many years. The country attracted investment because it appeared to be one of the most dynamic and politically stable emerging markets. The return of volatility will tax the ingenuity of Brazil’s money managers.”
Tags: Brazil, Dynamic, Emerging markets, Fed, Investment, Money manager, Returns, Stable, Tapering, Uncertainty, Volatility
The Economist (August 24)
Since the U.S. Federal Reserve intimated that it would begin tapering its quantitative easing program in 2013, “there has been a great sucking of funds from emerging markets. Currencies and shares have tumbled, from Brazil to Indonesia, but one country has been particularly badly hit.” India is looking less like “an economic miracle” and more like a country teetering on the verge of a full-blown crisis. “The rupee has tumbled by 13% in three months. The stockmarket is down by a quarter in dollar terms. Borrowing rates are at levels last seen after Lehman Brothers’ demise. Bank shares have sunk.”
Tags: Banks, Brazil, Crisis, Currencies, Emerging markets, Fed, India, Indonesia, Lehman Brothers, Miracle, Quantitative easing, Rupee, Shares, Stockmarket, Tapering, U.S.
Euromoney (August Issue)
According to economists, Indonesia’s economy may face a “double blow” from China and the U.S. “Indonesia is the emerging market most vulnerable to the consequences of the US Federal Reserve’s tapering of quantitative easing and to China’s economic slowdown.”
Tags: China, Economic slowdown, Emerging markets, Fed, Indonesia, Quantitative easing, Tapering, U.S., Vulnerable
Institutional Investor (August Issue)
“In the wake of the financial crisis a few years ago, it seemed as if the world economic order had been turned upside down” The U.S, Europe and other established markets appeared risky and emerging markets “that once seemed risky began to look like a sure bet…. Today the supposed new world order already seems, well, old. Emerging markets have been among the worst-performing asset classes this year, and capital has been flowing out at a record pace in recent weeks.”
Tags: Asset classes, Economic order, Emerging markets, Established markets, Europe, Financial Crisis, Risk, U.S.
The Economist (July 27)
“After a decade of surging growth, in which they led a global boom and then helped pull the world economy forwards in the face of the financial crisis, the emerging giants have slowed sharply.” This slowdown in emerging markets “is not the beginning of a bust. But it is a turning-point for the world economy.”
Tags: Boom, Bust, Emerging markets, Financial Crisis, Growth, Slowdown, Turning-point, World economy
Euromoney (July issue)
“June was the worst month for emerging markets since at least 2008. What about the next five years?… Growth prospects in the US and Japan are improving, just as those in the emerging markets are worsening. That is a fundamental switch to what markets have been used to.” Investors will “no longer ignore China’s lower growth rate, or the simmering political confrontations in Turkey and some other emerging markets.”
Tags: China, Confrontations, Emerging markets, Growth, Investors, Japan, Turkey, U.S.
