Bloomberg (April 11)
“For global equity investors and Shinzo Abe, it’s splitsville.” For 13 straight weeks during 2016, “foreign traders have been pulling out of Tokyo’s stock market.” They’ve dumped “$46 billion of shares as economic reports deteriorated, stimulus from the Bank of Japan backfired and the yen’s surge pressured exporters. The benchmark Topix index is down 18 percent in 2016, the world’s steepest declines behind Italy.”
Tags: Abe, BOJ, Equity investors, Exporters, Italy, Shares, Stock market, Tokyo, Topix, Traders, Yen
Wall Street Journal (July 28)
When China’s roller-coaster stock market plunged downward in early July, “the Communist Party responded with every measure conceivable to fix the market.” This included the suspension of trading. “At one point in the middle of July 97% of all listed companies’ shares were not trading, 51% because management had sought a suspension and 46% because the share prices were down by the 10% daily limit.” On July 27, the Shanghai Composite took its biggest tumble ever, but this downswing “may be good news. Monday’s drop was due in large part to investor fears that the government is pulling back on market support. If Beijing has learned from its failure to prop up stock prices, that could mean the market finds a bottom.”
Tags: Bottom, China, Government, Listed, Market, Shanghai Composite, Shares, Stock market, Support, Suspension, Trading
Financial Times (June 25)
“For thrill and spills, you cannot beat Chinese share markets. Recent wild price swings on the Shanghai and Shenzhen bourses—and the fortunes being made, or lost, by individual retail investors—have made for gripping tales. They have raised fears of a highly-inflated equity bubble about to burst spectacularly. But how much should the rest of the world worry?” This shouldn’t simply be shrugged off “as a local story without wider significance for global financial markets.” The volatility should reinforce concerns that China is “in a bumpy economic transition phase that threatens significant ripple effects in distant parts of the world.”
Tags: Economic transition, Equity bubble, Financial markets, Markets, Price Swings, Retail investors, Shanghai, Shares, Shenzhen
Bloomberg (April 10)
“Hong Kong is set to overtake Japan as the world’s third-largest stock market, spurred on by surging Chinese demand for shares in the former British colony.” At $5 trillion, Japan’s listed market cap is still a hair above Hong Kong’s $4.9 trillion, but “turnover in Hong Kong surpassed Japan on both Wednesday and Thursday.”
The Economist (August 9)
Abenomics may be working at the top, but it’s not trickling down to “folk who do not own bundles of shares or a flat in Tokyo’s trendy Daikanyama neighbourhood…. The mantra of Mr Abe and his advisers has been that a virtuous circle would come about whereby wages would rise and lift consumer spending, which in turn would boost investment by companies. Bingo: Japan would emerge from deflation. That is not happening and it is a conundrum.”
Tags: Abe, Abenomics, Advisers, Consumer spending, Daikanyama, Deflation, Investment, Japan, Shares, Tokyo, Trickle down, Wages
The Economist (May 17)
The planned merger of Publicis and Omnicom would have created the world’s largest advertising firm. Last week it was called off. “Anyone connected with the two firms should probably count himself lucky that they uncoupled before rings were exchanged. (Indeed, shares in both firms edged up after the cancellation.) Corporate marriages often go wrong, but mergers of equals…account for a disproportionate share of the most notorious failures.”
Tags: Advertising, Cancellation, Equals, Failures, Lucky, Merger, Omnicom, Planned, Publicis, Shares, Uncoupled
Wall Street Journal (October 7)
“Billionaire Warren Buffett tossed lifelines to a handful of blue-chip companies during the financial crisis. Five years later the payoff on those deals is becoming clear: $10 billion and counting.” In terms of income before taxes, the investments to companies like Bank of America, Dow Chemical, General Electric, Goldman Sachs and Mars, have yielded Berkshire approximately 40%. Berkshire received an attractive premium, but provided the companies with critical capital and something even more valuable: “Mr. Buffett’s implicit endorsement of their long-term prospects. Shares of these companies generally went up after they revealed Berkshire’s involvement.”
Tags: Bank of America, Berkshire, Billionaire, Blue-chips, Capital, Dow Chemical, Endorsement, Financial Crisis, General electric, Goldman Sachs, Investments, Mars, Payoff, Premium, Shares, Warren Buffett
Institutional Investor (September 17)
“As the global recession and financial crisis recede in the rearview mirror, companies have been acting more proactively in using their balance sheets in ways that enhance shareholder value. But we think they can do more…. By mid-2013, U.S. companies were sitting on cash that was equivalent to about 11 percent of their total assets, a three-decade high and earning almost nothing.” Fortunately, there are signs of change. Companies “have become more receptive to using debt to buy back shares, increase dividends and make acquisitions.”
Tags: Acquisitions, Assets, Balance sheets, Buybacks, Cash, Debt, Dividends, Financial Crisis, Recession, Shareholder value, Shares, U.S.
The Economist (August 24)
Since the U.S. Federal Reserve intimated that it would begin tapering its quantitative easing program in 2013, “there has been a great sucking of funds from emerging markets. Currencies and shares have tumbled, from Brazil to Indonesia, but one country has been particularly badly hit.” India is looking less like “an economic miracle” and more like a country teetering on the verge of a full-blown crisis. “The rupee has tumbled by 13% in three months. The stockmarket is down by a quarter in dollar terms. Borrowing rates are at levels last seen after Lehman Brothers’ demise. Bank shares have sunk.”
Tags: Banks, Brazil, Crisis, Currencies, Emerging markets, Fed, India, Indonesia, Lehman Brothers, Miracle, Quantitative easing, Rupee, Shares, Stockmarket, Tapering, U.S.
