Bloomberg (August 6)
“With fiscal concerns, a trade war and the ongoing conflict in the Middle East also threatening to underpin inflation, some in markets are starting to reassess their taste for US bonds and the dollar amid concern that US policy is again becoming hard to decipher.” Some of those concerns have been created by Scott Bessent and Kevin Warsh, who were called “a double whammy to global markets that investors can’t ignore.” Some bond and currency investors are now “debating if it’s time to dust off last year’s ‘Sell America’ trade.”
Tags: Bessent, Big Players, Dead cat bounce, Guesses, Joint, Katayama, Manipulation, Markets, Perplexes, Underlying fundamentals, Volatility, Yen intervention
Washington Post (April 20)
“Recession predictions are piling up. Don’t freak out.” Chatter about a recession “has been building for a few weeks…. but if the last two years have taught us anything it’s that the economy and financial markets are in uncharted territory.” Following the unprecedented fiscal and monetary stimulus, analysts have clearly “had a hard time adapting old models to the new order, rendering forecasts little more than guesses.”
Tags: Guesses
