New York Times (October 3)
“Hurricanes and recessions are alike in many ways,” and we might be able to understand both better by thinking about the other. Both phenomena “cause enormous damage,” “are hard to predict” and “depend on feedback effects,” but “a recession doesn’t leave yachts stacked up on shore like a child’s toys.” Still, the damage from a recession can be just “as severe and is certainly more widely spread than a hurricane’s. Hang on to your hat.”
Tags: Damage, Enormous damage, Feedback effects, Hang on, Hurricanes, Phenomena, Predict, Recessions, Severe, Understand, Yachts
Financial Times (August 15, 2020)
“Forecasters least understand what is going on, and so make their biggest errors, when an economy is hit by a shock that is both novel and large. The coronavirus pandemic is both.”
Tags: Coronavirus, Economy, Errors, Forecasters, Novel, Shock, Understand
