Institutional Investor (April 10)
“Despite a turbulent few years…. the auto industry retains its role as a bellwether of the global economy. Thus, recent findings that environmental factors are increasingly shaping the future prospects for many automakers will have profound implications for investors.” Increasingly those car makers taking “climate factors the most seriously are the best set for future growth.” Investors should take note that “policy responses to climate change are driving technological disruption that will have serious investment implications across many sectors.”
Tags: Automakers, Bellwether, Climate change, Disruption, Economy, Environmental factors, Future prospects, Growth, Investors, Turbulent
New York Times (March 21)
“The lessons of the last financial crisis are clear. Less clear is whether regulators have the tools and the willingness to apply what they have learned to new circumstances and new threats.” The surge of money from China into the U.S. “far outpaced growth in the overall economy last year, a sign that too much money may be chasing too few good opportunities and that lenders may be compromising standards.” There are clear reasons for concern. “The system is still too opaque, and resistance to regulation remains fierce.”
Tags: China, Financial Crisis, Growth, Lenders, Opaque, Opportunities, Regulators, Resistance, Standards, Threats, U.S.
Institutional Investor (March 10)
“As had been widely anticipated, the European Central Bank today announced a cut for all three key benchmark rates and an expansion of the quantitative-easing program.” What remains to be seen is “what further monetary policy course the bank may take if negative rates fail to jump start spending and growth within the common currency zone.”
Tags: Anticipated, Benchmark rates, ECB, Growth, Monetary policy, Negative rates, Quantitative easing
Washington Post (March 9)
“Is the U.S. economy stronger than we think? Perhaps. A persisting puzzle about its recent performance is the stark contrast between growth of jobs (which has been unexpectedly robust) and the growth of the economy’s output (which has been unexpectedly weak).” It’s possible that economic output is being “consistently undercounted.”
Tags: Economy, Growth, Jobs, Performance, Puzzle, Robust. Output, U.S., Undercounted
Bloomberg (February 23)
“For Chinese leaders, the need to prop up faltering GDP growth outweighs fears about a rapid buildup in debt.” New loans from banks were 70% higher in January than a year prior. “Debt now tops 230 percent of GDP and could reach as high as 300 percent of GDP if current trends continue…. Even the Bank for International Settlements, a body not known for hyperbole, has warned that Chinese debt is reaching levels that typically trigger financial crises.”
Wall Street Journal (February 23)
Europe is again sputtering, which is the “cost of ignoring Mario Draghi’s pleas for reforms.” Quantitative easing “without accompanying policy reforms such as looser labor-market rules and liberalized product markets is losing traction fast. Only those reforms could boost European resilience in the face of global developments such as China’s slowdown that weigh on growth.”
Tags: China, Draghi, Europe, Growth, Labor-market rules, Quantitative easing, Reforms, Resilience, Slowdown, Sputtering
Wall Street Journal (February 15)
“Three years since Mr. Abe took power pledging to end two decades of falling prices and wages, followed by the launch of a massive monetary easing program by the Bank of Japan, headline inflation is still languishing around zero, real wages are falling and the economy has yet to achieve consistent growth.”
Institutional Investor (February 11)
“To be clear, we aren’t suggesting the U.S. economy is booming. When a ship sails in shallow water, the risk of running aground is clearly higher; likewise, a low trajectory of growth increases the vulnerability of an economy to exogenous shocks. So a negative shock is possible, but outright recession is unlikely.”
Tags: Booming, Economy, Exogenous shocks, Growth, Recession, U.S., Unlikely, Vulnerability
Wall Street Journal (February 5)
“The January jobs report wasn’t as bad as the markets seemed to take it… But then it wasn’t stellar either.” New jobs didn’t rise as much as expected, but there were wage gains and the labor participation rate rose as well. “We’ll hope for the best,” though the “overriding problem continues to be a lack of business confidence and investment.” This “leads to slower growth, which gives the U.S. economy a lower margin for absorbing growth shocks from around the world.”
Tags: Confidence, Growth, Investment, Jobs report, Labor participation, Markets, Shocks, U.S., Wage gains
Reuters (January 29)
“The Bank of Japan unexpectedly cut a benchmark interest rate below zero on Friday, stunning investors with a move aimed at shielding the country’s sluggish economy from volatile markets and slowing global growth.”
Tags: Benchmark, BOJ, Economy, Growth, Interest rates, Investors, Unexpected, Volatility
