The Telegraph (October 31)
“Veteran investor George Soros has attacked the lack of leadership at the top of the eurozone and said that the new Brussels ‘deal’ to solve the debt crisis will only last between ‘one day and three months.’” Soros points out faults. The 50% Greek debt cut will actually only amount to 20%. Banks may not agree to the terms, hoping to collect on their credit default swaps. And clueless European leaders have again responded with “too little too late.”
The Economist (October 8)
The solution to Europe’s crisis is fairly obvious, but there is one problem. The solution “depends on the Europeans to carry it out. The debt crisis has been running for 18 months now, and the only way that euro-zone leaders have dazzled is through sheer incompetence.”
Tags: Crisis, Debt, Europe, Incompetence, Leadership
Bloomberg (September 14)
“European banks are losing deposits as savers and money funds spooked by the region’s debt crisis search for havens, a trend that could worsen economic and financial conditions.” Deposits dropped 40% at Irish banks during the past 18 months, but the trend is affecting Greek, German, French, UK and Spanish banks as well. In turn, banks are showing a clear preference for the perceived safety of the Federal Reserve over the European Central Bank. “The cash that foreign banks keep at the U.S. Federal Reserve has more than doubled to $979 billion at the end of August from $443 billion at the end of February.”
“European banks are losing deposits as savers and money funds spooked by the region’s debt crisis search for havens, a trend that could worsen economic and financial conditions.” Deposits dropped 40% at Irish banks during the past 18 months, but the trend is affecting Greek, German, French, UK and Spanish banks as well. In turn, banks are showing a clear preference for the perceived safety of the Federal Reserve over the European Central Bank. “The cash that foreign banks keep at the U.S. Federal Reserve has more than doubled to $979 billion at the end of August from $443 billion at the end of February.”
The Economist (August 20)
Europe’s leaders and, in particular, Angela Merkel correctly sense the lack of domestic support needed to fix the euro zone crisis. What they overlook is the need to cultivate this support. Half-measures will not work and a euro zone collapse would be damaging. “The current rescue plan for the euro is just not working. The markets continue to price in default…. A year ago it was said that the euro zone could take care of two or three small countries but that Spain was too big to fail. Today, with Italy and even France looming into the picture, the very survival of the euro is coming into question.”
Fortune (August 19)
As for the European debt crisis, you can “expect more trouble.” Leaders have failed to provide “action that’s a step ahead of the markets…. Time has been wasted defending the indefensible before giving in to the inevitable…. Solutions that might have worked a few months earlier become insufficient as the contagion hits more countries.” All of this means the problems keep growing and “a wider, more expensive response is required.”
USA Today (August 7)
“The United States’ unquestioned AAA credit rating is gone, for the first time ever.” S&P’s downgrade was not a surprise, instead it “merely confirmed what anyone with their eyes open for the past decade or two already knew: The U.S. has a huge and growing debt problem that it is resolutely unwilling to solve.” USA Today points out one silver lining. The U.S. is not incapable of solving this problem, merely unwilling. Another silver lining is that two major agencies (Moody’s and Fitch) still assign the highest rating to U.S. debt, which continues to be highly sought by investors worldwide.
Boston Globe (August 2)
In the U.S., Republicans and Democrats have been battling down to the wire over a debt deal. The final deal, “like all compromises…is not a win for either side.” It could have been better, especially if it created additional revenue, but it did avoid a disastrous default. The debt deal also has some positive aspects. The cuts are “spread across federal programs—including defense.” Moreover, the deal “delays any serious cuts for two years, to give the economy more time to recover.”
In the U.S., Republicans and Democrats have been battling down to the wire over a debt deal. The final deal, “like all compromises…is not a win for either side.” It could have been better, especially if it created additional revenue, but it did avoid a disastrous default. The debt deal also has some positive aspects. The cuts are “spread across federal programs—including defense.” Moreover, the deal “delays any serious cuts for two years, to give the economy more time to recover.”
Tags: Compromise, Congress, Debt, Democrats, Economy, Republicans, U.S.
The New York Times (July 30)
Just when “the economy needs more spending,” everyone is focused on the debt limit and spending cuts. “The premature budget tightening of 1937… reignited the Depression,” and increasingly we look posed to make the same mistakes. The Times does not argue for unlimited spending. “Budget cuts are unavoidable — but they are not urgent. With the economy weak and interest rates low, austerity makes no sense.”
New York Times (July 15)
The U.S. keeps “blundering toward recession” and haggling over the debt limit is only part of the problem. The deficit is a serious, but not immediate, problem. “It can be solved over time, with spending cuts and tax increases, as the economy recovers.” The immediate problem is job creation. “It is time for the government to step up. If it doesn’t, the weakening economy is bound to become even weaker.”
The Economist (July 7)
“Deleveraging will dominate the rich world’s economies for years. Done badly, it could wreck them.” The countries that most ballooned their debt are now struggling to reduce it. This is having a major impact on spending and economies. Moreover, citing analysis by the McKinsey Global Institute, attempts to reduce debt have only just begun. For example, “the ratio of total debt to GDP in both America and Britain has fallen by just over ten percentage points from its peak—a fraction of the scale of debt reduction in a typical deleveraging period.”
Tags: Debt, Deleveraging, McKinsey, U.S., UK
