Financial Times (March 15)
Silicon Valley Bank “was conveniently non-significant in life, but became systemically significant in death.” Looking ahead, “regulation of systemically significant banks must be extended throughout the system.” We’re reached a point where “even in a modest crisis deposits cannot be sacrificed, and rules on haircuts for provision of liquidity will go out of the window.” Since they stand “at the heart of the credit system,” banks must be regulated as “wards of the state.”
Tags: Credit system, Crisis, Deposits, Haircuts, Liquidity, Regulation, Rules, Sacrificed, Silicon Valley Bank, Systemically significant
Wall Street Journal (March 13)
“For the second time in 15 years (excluding the brief Covid-caused panic), regulators will have encouraged a credit mania, and then failed to foresee the financial panic when the easy money stopped.” Other banks may be exposed to the duration risk that brought down Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), “as last week’s selloff in regional bank stocks shows…. Something like 85% to 90% of SVB’s deposits are uninsured. The worry is that depositors in other banks will now flee.”
Tags: 15 years, Banks, Covid, Credit mania, Deposits, Duration risk, Easy money, Exposed, Financial panic, Regulators, Selloff, Silicon Valley Bank, Uninsured
Reuters (March 11)
“Nearly three years with no U.S. bank failures just came to an unseemly end.” The FDIC took Silicon Valley Bank into receivership “after a slide in deposits and a hasty capital raising failed to restore confidence. By acting quickly, regulators have stopped one crisis, but may have laid the groundwork for more.”
Tags: Bank, Capital raising, Confidence, Deposits, Failures, FDIC, Hasty, Receivership, Regulators, Silicon Valley Bank, Slide, U.S., Unseemly
Bloomberg (February 1)
“The Bank of Japan governor’s major additions to stimulus in 2013 and the following year were unequivocally good for equities…. The latest salvo to spur inflation- negative interest rates on some deposits- is less straightforward.” Kuroda’s surprise move to negative rates has earned everything from praise to criticism, with some taking a wait-and-see approach.
Tags: BOJ, Deposits, Equities, Inflation, Interest rates, Kuroda, Stimulus, Straightforward
Euromoney (May 31)
“There’s one problem with a European deposit guarantee scheme: it won’t work.” Fear of bank runs is growing. To counter these fears, Jose Manuel Durao Barroso, president of the European Commission, has put forth “a banking union with integrated financial supervision and single deposit guarantee scheme” (DGS). However, a DGS would do little to calm fears of redenomination, even if it could be prepared in time. Greece has a DGS, yet 25% of bank deposits were withdrawn in the past 2 years, largely because savers worry their euro deposits will be redenominated into drachma. Furthermore, most DGS “protect against the failure of one or two banks, not the failure of a national banking system.”
“There’s one problem with a European deposit guarantee scheme: it won’t work.” Fear of bank runs is growing. To counter these fears, Jose Manuel Durao Barroso, president of the European Commission, has put forth “a banking union with integrated financial supervision and single deposit guarantee scheme” (DGS). However, a DGS would do little to calm fears of redenomination, even if it could be prepared in time. Greece has a DGS, yet 25% of bank deposits were withdrawn in the past 2 years, largely because savers worry their euro deposits will be redenominated into drachma. Furthermore, most DGS “protect against the failure of one or two banks, not the failure of a national banking system.”
Bloomberg (September 14)
“European banks are losing deposits as savers and money funds spooked by the region’s debt crisis search for havens, a trend that could worsen economic and financial conditions.” Deposits dropped 40% at Irish banks during the past 18 months, but the trend is affecting Greek, German, French, UK and Spanish banks as well. In turn, banks are showing a clear preference for the perceived safety of the Federal Reserve over the European Central Bank. “The cash that foreign banks keep at the U.S. Federal Reserve has more than doubled to $979 billion at the end of August from $443 billion at the end of February.”
“European banks are losing deposits as savers and money funds spooked by the region’s debt crisis search for havens, a trend that could worsen economic and financial conditions.” Deposits dropped 40% at Irish banks during the past 18 months, but the trend is affecting Greek, German, French, UK and Spanish banks as well. In turn, banks are showing a clear preference for the perceived safety of the Federal Reserve over the European Central Bank. “The cash that foreign banks keep at the U.S. Federal Reserve has more than doubled to $979 billion at the end of August from $443 billion at the end of February.”
