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Institutional Investor (March 20)

2020/ 03/ 21 by jd in Global News

“The coronavirus pandemic has pushed the world’s economy into a slowdown that may lead to default rates jumping as high as 10 percent in the next twelve months, according to analysts at S&P Global…. The sudden stop in global economic activity, the recent drop in oil prices, and record market volatility are all putting pressure on the creditworthiness of companies.”

 

Bloomberg (June 26)

2019/ 06/ 28 by jd in Global News

“China is losing the war against shadow banking. Look beneath the headline numbers and you’ll see that activity is picking up, a sign of the economy’s overreliance on this opaque funding channel.” In the first quarter, “financing using trust assets climbed 4.4%” and the “proportion prone to default and repayment risks climbed to a record high of 90% from a year earlier.” Despite the talk of deleveraging, “what’s clear is that China needs its shadow banks now more than ever.”

 

Financial Times (June 7)

2016/ 06/ 09 by jd in Global News

“Given today’s high level of public sector debt and worsening demographics, it is inevitable that governments will resort to soft forms of default, including inflation, to escape from their fiscal straitjacket. This is a world in which elderly savers will be condemned to subsidise borrowers for a long time.”

 

Wall Street Journal (May 7)

2015/ 05/ 07 by jd in Global News

As its economy slows, China is taking “tentative steps toward crucial financial reform.” These steps may leave some firms without the comfortable support of the Government’s safety net. “A few bankruptcies and defaults in recent months suggest that the bailout culture may give way to creative destruction. The year ahead should show whether China has reached a reform turning point.”

 

Euromoney (November Issue)

2014/ 11/ 16 by jd in Global News

With returns on some Ukraine sovereign debt exceeding 16%, there are obviously concerns over a possible default. “Ukraine’s policymakers, however, are adamant that default or even restructuring is out of the question. The main reasons given are national pride and, more cogently, a desire to maintain access to international capital markets.”

 

Financial Times (August 1)

2014/ 08/ 02 by jd in Global News

“Argentina’s 12-year dispute with a group of hedge funds holding out for full payment on defaulted Argentine bonds is proving to be one of the most wasteful debt restructurings in history…. Indeed the case once again illustrates the need for a better way of managing sovereign defaults.”

 

The Financial Times (October 19)

2013/ 10/ 21 by jd in Global News

“The debt drama in Washington stirred a jumble of emotions in Europe. Cold fear that a US default could tip the world back into a slump jostled with schadenfreude as Europeans recalled the stern American lectures on their handling of the euro crisis. The eurozone may be dysfunctional, but so too is the US.”

 

Washington Post (October 17)

2013/ 10/ 18 by jd in Global News

“At almost literally the eleventh hour, Congress has approved legislation that will end a costly 16-day partial government shutdown and avert the potentially greater disaster of a default on federal obligations.” Unfortunately, the deal “buys only a short interval of peace.” When that period expires early next year, “it is all too possible that Congress will fail to agree and will deliver the country to the brink of another shutdown or default.”

 

Washington Post (October 15)

2013/ 10/ 16 by jd in Global News

“A reopening, for now, of government, a postponement for a few months of a possible default on federal debts, a promise to negotiate again over fiscal disagreements — in a rational, functional world, these meager accomplishments would not be cause for celebration. In today’s Washington, they would count as achievements.”“A reopening, for now, of government, a postponement for a few months of a possible default on federal debts, a promise to negotiate again over fiscal disagreements — in a rational, functional world, these meager accomplishments would not be cause for celebration. In today’s Washington, they would count as achievements.”

 

Washington Post (October 8)

2013/ 10/ 09 by jd in Global News

John Boehner, Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives “doesn’t know how to get out of the predicament. A shutdown is bad; a default on the debt, which looms 10 days from now, could be catastrophic…. At some point, Mr. Obama and the Democrats will have to throw the speaker a lifeline…. But throwing a lifeline is pointless until the victim realizes he may be drowning. It’s not clear the Republicans have reached that point. The danger is they will take the country down with them.”John Boehner, Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives “doesn’t know how to get out of the predicament. A shutdown is bad; a default on the debt, which looms 10 days from now, could be catastrophic…. At some point, Mr. Obama and the Democrats will have to throw the speaker a lifeline…. But throwing a lifeline is pointless until the victim realizes he may be drowning. It’s not clear the Republicans have reached that point. The danger is they will take the country down with them.”

 

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