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The Hill (April 22)

2024/ 04/ 23 by jd in Global News

“Anyone doubting that China is well on its way to a Japanese-style lost economic decade has apparently missed the bursting of its massive housing and credit market bubble and the souring of U.S. and European trade relations with that country.” Make no mistake, China’s fall “would constitute a major headwind for world economic recovery.”

 

Wall Street Journal (August 12)

2023/ 08/ 14 by jd in Global News

“The political world has finally awakened to China’s economic woes…. The evidence has been building for years that much of China’s economic growth was a debt-inflated bubble, and this week another Chinese property developer defaulted on some of its debt.”

 

New York Times (July 25)

2023/ 07/ 25 by jd in Global News

“One question is at the top of many investors’ minds: Is the hype around artificial intelligence, which has propelled tech giants’ stock prices sky-high in recent months, justified, or is it another bubble in the making?” At the moment, “Wall Street is deeply divided about the A.I. rally” though this may change as Big Tech reports earnings.

 

Fortune (April 24)

2022/ 04/ 24 by jd in Global News

The U.S. may be experiencing “the hottest housing market ever recorded. Over the past 12 months, U.S. home prices are up a staggering 19.2%.” Analysts expected the market “would lose some steam” in 2022, but that “hasn’t come to fruition—yet.” Instead, things have actually “gotten a bit hotter, with housing inventory on Zillow down 52% from pre-pandemic levels.” All of this leaves “a growing chorus of economists speculating that if home price growth doesn’t abate soon, the housing market could eventually overheat. Or worse: We could wind up in another full-fledged housing bubble.”

 

Washington Post (July 24)

2021/ 07/ 26 by jd in Global News

“The cauldron is lit in Tokyo’s covid Olympics. Let’s hope it’s not a fuse.” Frankly, the IOC only has in place a “haphazard collection of rules.” The IOC president “is lying to 11,000 international athletes with differing immune status and levels of exposure who are gathered unsafely amid a pandemic.” There is no bubble. “The only bubble at the Tokyo Games is the spit bubble coming out of Thomas Bach’s mouth.”

 

Bloomberg (February 21)

2021/ 02/ 22 by jd in Global News

“The American love affair with stocks is deepening as everyone from frenetic day-traders to staid institutions dive further into the market…. While aspects of the craze—the growing obsession with penny stocks and options, primarily—are the basis for daily warnings about a bubble, bulled-up positioning is proving a sturdy backbone for the rally.”

 

Washington Post (November 30)

2020/ 12/ 01 by jd in Global News

“The NFL was a joke Sunday, at a time when nothing about the coronavirus warrants laughter. In Baltimore, the Ravens reported a positive test for the eighth straight day, further jeopardizing a twice-delayed game against the undefeated Pittsburgh Steelers. In the Bay Area, the San Francisco 49ers were rendered temporarily homeless, if they want to keep playing football, because of local restrictions.” Make no mistake. “The coronavirus is in charge, and it is raging once again…. It’s impossible to play football out in the open, without a bubble environment”

 

USA Today (October 7)

2020/ 10/ 08 by jd in Global News

The “superspreader” event in the Rose Garden will go down in history. Amid the COVID-19 pandemic, the “maskless Supreme Court nomination ceremony turned into a form of biological attack on the top echelons of U.S. government.” Symbolic of “America’s failing response to the novel coronavirus,” the event was “a sad brew of hubris and misapplied science.” White House officials and guests mistakenly thought “they could frolic in a kind of virus-free bubble, exempted from the preventative measures that have reshaped and constrained the lives of millions of average Americans.”

 

New York Times (August 9)

2018/ 08/ 11 by jd in Global News

The $30 trillion U.S. stock market hogs the attention, but “the larger domestic debt market—at around $41 trillion for the bond market alone—reveals more about our nation’s financial health. And right now, the debt market is broadcasting a dangerous message: Investors, desperate for debt instruments that pay high interest, have been overpaying for riskier and riskier obligations….  with little concern that bonds can be every bit as dangerous to own as stocks.” The mispricing of risk is still rampant and when spreads rise and defaults begin, “trillions of dollars in invested capital could be lost.” Although, we’re not necessarily “on the verge of a recession. But the corporate debt bubble inevitably will play a role in causing it.”

 

Euromoney (March 3)

2017/ 03/ 07 by jd in Global News

“At what point does a boom become a bubble? The question needs to be asked in Asian high yield, where year-to-date issuance volumes are fast approaching the figure for the whole of 2016 in China and have already long exceeded it in India and Indonesia – after just eight weeks of the year, one of which was a write-off for Chinese New Year.”

 

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