Bloomberg (July 18)
“The growing focus on the risks associated with the BOJ’s monetary stimulus program—which includes enormous asset purchases, particularly of Japanese government bonds, as well as negative interest rates and yield curve control—comes as its inflation target remains elusive. With no end to its program in sight, the BOJ is under increasing pressure to mitigate risks and explain its thinking about an eventual exit.” Bloomberg calculated that the BOJ already owns over 70 percent of all shares in Japan-listed ETFs and could soon own most of the free float in companies like Fast Retailing.0000000000000
Tags: Asset purchases, BOJ, ETFs, Fast Retailing, Free float, Inflation, Japan, JGBs, Monetary stimulus, Negative interest rates, Risks, Yield curve control
Financial Times (May 2)
More needs to be done on fiscal and monetary co-operation. “The past few weeks have highlighted the limits of monetary policy expansion. The current framework combining quantitative easing and negative interest rates is offering rapidly diminishing returns because it is not producing the large, permanent increase in the money in circulation that would be required to turn inflation expectations around and lift the world economy out of deflationary deadlock.”
Tags: Cooperation, Deflationary deadlock, Diminishing returns, Economy, Expansion, Expectations, Fiscal, Inflation, Limits, Monetary, Negative interest rates, Quantitative easing
Bloomberg (April 26)
“With the BoJ dabbling in negative interest rates, JGB yields have gotten compressed to a maximum of 0.4 percent, and that’s at a maturity of 40 years. It’s as though Japanese financial institutions are sitting on a tightly wound spring. Even a small increase in the yield — a little uncoiling — could send the whole edifice flying, a risk Janus Capital’s Bill Gross cites as an example of ‘global monetary lunacy.’”
Tags: Bill Gross, BOJ, Financial institutions, Japan, JGB, Lunacy, Maturity, Monetary, Negative interest rates, Yields
Financial Times (March 22)
Many hope that negative interest rates will “encourage banks to lend more plentifully and cheaply and help support economic recovery.” This might instead prove “a dangerous experiment with diminishing positive impact.” The optimistic forecasts overlook “how financial intermediaries may actually respond.” Negative rates “erode banks’ margins. They give lenders an incentive to shrink, not grow. They encourage banks to seek out opportunities overseas rather than in their home markets. They also risk disruptions to bank funding. All go against the grain of the central banks’ desire to ease credit conditions and support financial stability.”
Tags: Banks, Credit, Dangerous, Diminishing positive impact, Economic recovery, Experiment, Financial stability, Intermediaries, Lending, Margins, Negative interest rates, Overseas
