New York Times (December 1)
“Investors had been growing more optimistic that the Fed will cut interest rates at next week’s meeting” while holiday sales “also bolstered the rally.” Still, “the consumer is still a major concern…. Analysts at Goldman Sachs and Bank of America have flagged that a recent rise in spending may be masking a concerning economic undercurrent: Many lower-income consumers are struggling with stubbornly high inflation and an uncertain labor market.”
Tags: Analysts, BoA, Consumer, Fed, GS, Holiday sales, Inflation, Interest rates, Investors, Labor market, Lower-income, Optimistic, Rally, Spending, Struggling, Undercurrent
Boston Globe (January 10)
“Many investors had expected department stores to enjoy robust sales over the holidays in light of a U.S. economy buoyed by low unemployment, higher wages, strong consumer confidence and cheap gas.” Lackluster results from Macy’s and Kohl’s sent “retail stocks into a tailspin… calling into question whether such mall-based chains can compete in a changing landscape where shoppers are shifting more of their spending online.”
Tags: Consumer confidence, Holiday sales, Investors, Kohl’s, Lackluster, Macy’s, Malls, Online, Retail stocks, Shoppers, Tailspin, U.S., Unemployment, Wages
Bloomberg (November 26)
“Black Friday” sales edged up just 0.2%. That figure may understate holiday spending. This year, many retailers began Christmas promotions before Thanksgiving. Sales during the first two weeks of November rose about 6.1%. This may explain why sales were up so little on the day after Thanksgiving when retailers traditionally move into the black and begin turning a profit for the year. Bloomberg notes that “estimates for holiday sales vary from little changed to increases of as much as 4.5 percent.”
Tags: Consumer sales, Forecast, Holiday sales, U.S.
Barron’s (November 20)
Barron’s predicts upbeat holiday sales and a brighter retail forecast for 2011. “American consumers are flexing their wallets again.” The magazine believes retail holiday sales will rise 3.5% to 4%, and the overall U.S. economy could expand by up to 4% in 2011.
Tags: Consumer sales, Economic forecast, Holiday sales, U.S.
