Investment Week (June 12)
“Earlier this month, US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said he does not expect inflation to decline quickly, signalling resistance against the market consensus. We believe it would have to be a severe economic recession for the Fed to begin cutting interest rates before the end of the year, as is currently priced in by the forward markets. Therefore, we believe, interest rates will remain ‘higher for longer’. This is inherently positive for MMFs, where yields and total returns are driven for the most part by central bank rates. A higher-for-longer interest rate trajectory could potentially yield 4.5% to 5% for MMFs in US-dollar terms in the next three, six and 12 months.”
Tags: 4.5% to 5%, Consensus, Fed, Forward markets, Higher for longer, Inflation, Interest rates, MMFs, Powell, Recession, Resistance, Total returns, U.S., Yields
New York Times (June 11)
“Mr. Trump’s recklessness in retaining and showing off military secrets is both arrogant and breathtaking. It put the lives of American soldiers at risk. These are some of the United States’ most closely guarded secrets — so sensitive that many top national-security officials can’t see them — and Mr. Trump treated them like a prize he had won at a carnival. These actions underscore, yet again, why he is unfit for public office.”
Tags: Arrogant, Breathtaking, Carnival, Military secrets, National security, Recklessness, Risk, Secrets, Soldiers, Trump, U.S., Unfit
MarketWatch (June 7)
“The Bank of Canada delivered another reminder to U.S. investors Wednesday that pressing ‘pause’ on interest rate hikes doesn’t necessarily mean the monetary tightening cycle is over.” The central bank “surprised traders” by lifting rates a quarter percentage point after a four-month pause. The move came just after the “Reserve Bank of Australia on Tuesday delivered a second straight rate hike after having ended a short pause of its own.”
Tags: Australia, Bank of Canada, Cycle, Hikes, Investors, Monetary tightening, Pause. Interest rates, Reminder, Reserve Bank, Traders, U.S.
Commercial Observer (June 1)
“For the illiquid world of private credit — which provides debt for commercial real estate projects -– and that of private equity, the recent upheaval in the U.S. regional banking sector and issues plaguing downtown office space has sparked questions surrounding the type of returns CRE can generate for investors. The primary question being: Is a golden moment possible in the darkest of times?”
Tags: Commercial real estate, Debt, Downtown, Illiquid, Office space, Plaguing, Private credit, Private equity, Regional banking, Returns, U.S., Upheaval
Wall Street Journal (May 27)
“America’s travel resurgence is finally here… Despite worries over persistent inflation, banking-sector woes and the debt-ceiling standoff, people are probably going to be spending a lot of time, and money, on trips. This should provide some support for the economy in the months ahead.”
Tags: Banking sector, Debt-ceiling standoff, Economy, Money, Persistent inflation, Resurgence, Spending, Support, Time, Travel, Trips, U.S., Woes, Worries
Financial Times (May 22)
“China ordered a swath of its infrastructure companies to stop buying from US chipmaker Micron” hours after the G7 ended and President Biden spoke of a thaw in relations. China also summoned Japan’s ambassador to protest related issues. This “underscored the big challenges to stabilising US-China relations at the end of a summit in Hiroshima where Biden and other leaders of the advanced economies issued their harshest criticism of Beijing — while also acknowledging the need to co-operate with China.”
Tags: Ambassador, Biden, Challenges, China, Chipmaker, G7, Hiroshima, Japan, Micron, Protest, Relations, Summit, Thaw, U.S.
New York Times (May 14)
Nearly three years after George Floyd’s murder prompted many companies to embrace Diversity, Equity and Inclusion (D.E.I.), “some companies are amending their approach to D.E.I., even renaming their departments to include ‘belonging.’ It’s the age of D.E.I.-B.”
Tags: Approach, Belonging, Companies, D.E.I.-B., Diversity, Equity, George Floyd, Inclusion, Murder, U.S.
Washington Post (May 11)
The EPA is proposing “the tightest limits ever on power plants’ planet-warming pollution” in order “to meet President Biden’s pledge to halve U.S. emissions by 2030 compared with 2005 levels.” The proposal “would encourage gas- and coal-fired plants nationwide to meet tighter emission-reductions standards by either closing or adopting technology to run cleaner, accelerating one of the fastest transitions underway in energy.”
Tags: Biden, Cleaner, Coal-fired plants, Emission reductions, Emissions, Energy, EPA, Gas, Pledge, Pollution, Technology, Transitions, U.S.
Seeking Alpha (May 7)
“Berkshire Hathaway holds $130 billion in cash. That is over 18% of the company’s market cap. Clearly, management is not confident in the near term outlook of U.S. equity markets” in light of “the increasing preponderance of data that supports lower growth and lower earnings. The U.S. has certainly experienced an incredible period of growth and profits over the last 3 years. That phase is coming to an end.”
Tags: $130 billion, Berkshire Hathaway, Cash, Confident, Data, Earnings, Equity markets, Lower growth, Management, Market-cap, Near term, Outlook, Profits, U.S.
Financial Times (May 3)
“The trio of bank failures since March has cast a pall over KPMG’s lucrative business as the largest auditor of the US banking sector.” SVB, Signature and First Republic all “had one thing in common: KPMG” and the auditor will be facing “scrutiny in aftermath of their collapses.”
Tags: Aftermath, Auditor, Bank failures, Banking sector, Collapses, First Republic, KPMG, Lucrative, Pall, Scrutiny, Signature, SVB, U.S.
