Institutional Investor (April 15)
“Whether passively or actively managed, the REIT industry has not been able to avoid sharp slowdowns every decade or so. In the present downturn, publicly traded REITs can be acquired at a substantial discount to their net asset value. That means it has actually become cheaper to buy real estate through a REIT than to purchase the properties directly.” The sector seems primed for consolidation and “the likely dropouts” include “REITs that took on too much debt when commercial real estate roared ahead and got into trouble when the cycle spun downward.”
Tags: Acquired, Cheaper, Commercial real estate, Consolidation, Cycle, Debt, Discount, Downturn, NAV, Passively. Actively managed, Properties, Real estate, REIT industry, Slowdowns
Wall Street Journal (December 12)
“Investors spent most of 2023 fretting about inflation and interest rates. Now they are snapping up everything from stocks and bonds to crypto and even gold.” Does the “simultaneous surge across assets” signal “the arrival of a lasting bull market” or is it “just a fleeting sugar high at the end of the Federal Reserve’s tightening cycle?” Opinions are divided.
Tags: 2023, Bonds, Bull market, Crypto, Cycle, Fed, Fleeting, Fretting, Gold, Inflation, Interest rates, Investors, Stocks, Surge, Tightening
MarketWatch (June 7)
“The Bank of Canada delivered another reminder to U.S. investors Wednesday that pressing ‘pause’ on interest rate hikes doesn’t necessarily mean the monetary tightening cycle is over.” The central bank “surprised traders” by lifting rates a quarter percentage point after a four-month pause. The move came just after the “Reserve Bank of Australia on Tuesday delivered a second straight rate hike after having ended a short pause of its own.”
Tags: Australia, Bank of Canada, Cycle, Hikes, Investors, Monetary tightening, Pause. Interest rates, Reminder, Reserve Bank, Traders, U.S.
Bloomberg (January 10)
Today’s “easy-money policies” appear to be “setting up global markets for the next Minsky Moment.” If economist Hyman Minsky is right and the modern “economic cycle is driven more by surges in the banking system and in the supply of credit,” we can expect a tremendous crash when it ultimately comes.
South China Morning Post (July 30)
“Prime Hong Kong office rents have seemed to defy the laws of gravity, especially in Central where monthly rents have increased from HK$20 (US$2.56) per square foot in 2003 to almost HK$140 per square foot. In the first quarter, rents were up 6 per cent from a year ago due to supply shortages. Nevertheless we believe that the potential for further core returns is limited, as we are late in the real estate cycle.”
Tags: Core returns, Cycle, Hong Kong, Limited, Office rents, Potential, Prime, Real estate, Supply shortages
Institutional Investor (July 6)
“For private equity managers, it is a tale of two markets. Fundraising is going through the roof, but valuations are sky-high and exits are on the decline—a sign, market observers say, that the private equity market is nearing the end of its cycle, which could be bad news for managers looking to put new capital to work.”
Tags: Capital, Cycle, Exits, Fundraising, Managers, Markets, Private equity, Sky-high, Valuations
