Bloomberg (April 25)
“The Strait of Hormuz oil shock has yet to crash demand as the rich world borrows from its stocks and pays up to secure supply. Traders are now sounding the alarm that a harsh adjustment is coming.” The IEA believes “global oil demand is on track to slump the most in five years this month.” Things will surely get worse. “A billion barrels of supply loss is already all-but guaranteed — more than double the emergency inventories that governments released” since the conflict began. “With a stalemate between US President Donald Trump and his Iranian adversaries dragging on, the impact is increasingly shifting west — and to products that are central to consumers’ everyday lives.”
Tags: Adversaries, Alarm, Billion barrels, Conflict, Crash, Demand, Emergency inventories, Harsh, IEA, Impact, Iran, Oil shock, Rich world, Slump, Stalemate, Strait of Hormuz, Supply, Traders, Trump
Fortune (February 22)
“Four years after Vladimir Putin ordered an invasion of Ukraine, Russia’s economy has entered a ‘death zone.’” Former Russian central bank advisor Alexandra Prokopenko, currently a fellow at the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, believes “the Russian economy is eating its own muscle to survive as Putin’s war on Ukraine destroys future capacity.” The economy might not be ”headed for an imminent crash, but GDP has stagnated, oil revenue has been halved amid Western sanctions, and the government’s budget deficit is rapidly draining reserves.”
Tags: Budget deficit, Central bank, Crash, Death zone, Economy, Future capacity, GDP, Government, Invasion, Oil revenue, Prokopenko, Putin, Reserves, Russia, Stagnated, Ukraine, Western sanctions
Fortune (January 4)
“As the artificial intelligence trade continues to push the stock market to new highs, investors are increasingly asking if we’re living through another financial bubble that’s destined to burst. The answer isn’t so simple” and the increased scrutiny AI is coming under may actually help prevent a crash.
Tags: Artificial intelligence, Crash, Financial bubble, Highs, Investors, Scrutiny, Stock market, Trade
Motley Fool (January 21)
“While Wall Street has been given plenty of reason to be excited about President Donald Trump’s second term, he’s also making ominous stock market history—and it should have investors concerned.” Prior to his inauguration, the S&P 500’s Shiller P/E was at 38.11, marking “the highest reading for an incoming president dating back to January 1871,” the earliest comparable data point. During that same 154-year timeframe, the average Shiller P/E was 17.19. “Inheriting one of the priciest stock markets in history might pave the way for a bear market or short-lived crash during his second term.”
Tags: 1871, Bear market, Crash, Inauguration, Investors, Ominous, Priciest, S&P 500, Second term, Shiller P/E, Stock market, Trump
Forbes (July 11)
“Bitcoin bulls beware: Wall Street expects the cryptocurrency’s crash to get a whole lot worse. The token is more likely to tumble to $10,000, cutting its value roughly in half, than it is to rally back to $30,000,” according to survey of 950 investors. This “lopsided prediction underscores how bearish investors have become. The crypto industry has been rocked by troubled lenders, collapsed currencies, and an end to the easy money policies of the pandemic that fueled a speculative frenzy in financial markets.”
Tags: Bearish, Bitcoin, Bulls, Crash, Cryptocurrency, Currencies, Easy money, Financial markets, Investors, Lenders, Pandemic, Prediction, Rally, Speculative frenzy, Survey, Troubled, Wall Street
Forbes (May 19)
“As bitcoin and crypto traders come to terms with the huge price crash that’s wiped $1 trillion from the combined crypto market since April, fears are mounting that more pain could be on the way if stock market contagion spreads.”
Tags: $1 trillion, Bitcoin, Contagion, Crash, Crypto market, Fears, Pain, Price, Stock market, Traders
Wall Street Journal (May 13)
“Well, the party was fun while it lasted. But now the liquidity tidal wave is crashing as it always does when credit conditions tighten. This week’s crypto-currency crash is the first body exposed on the beach, and let’s hope the damage doesn’t spread too far into the financial system and broader economy.”
Tags: Broader economy, Crash, Credit, Crypto-currency, Damage, Financial system, Liquidity, Party, Spread, Tidal wave, Tighten
CNN (May 9)
“After 14 straight months of year-over-year home price growth reaching into the double digits, we’re finally starting to see the early signs of a cooling housing market.” This doesn’t portend an imminent crash. “In fact, prices may not even fall. Rather, this will be a much-needed rebalancing from the unhealthy market conditions we see today.”
Tags: Cooling, Crash, Double digits, Early signs, Homes, Housing market, Price growth, Rebalancing, Unhealthy
Institutional Investor (August 6)
“Markets may have bounced back quickly from March’s Covid-19 crash, but the asset management industry will not escape 2020 unscathed.” The pandemic is “expected to shrink” the global asset management industry by almost $2 trillion. “The decline in global assets under management ends more than a decade of growth for money managers.”
Tags: Asset management, AUM, COVID-19, Crash, Decline, Growth, Markets, Money managers, Pandemic, Shrink
Financial Times (July 2)
“Some of the biggest investment banks and fund managers have advised their clients to take profit from the dizzying rally on Wall Street that followed the mid-March crash. Instead, they say, look to Europe.”
Tags: Advised, Clients, Crash, Dizzying, Europe, Fund managers, Investment banks, Profit, Rally, U.S., Wall Street
