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Bloomberg (March 2)

2024/ 03/ 03 by jd in Global News

“European Central Bank officials confronting faster-than-expected inflation might also wonder if this is just the last stumble before their 2% target looms large. While the 2.6% outcome for February released on Friday — and a still-stubborn 3.1% result for the so-called core measure — present grounds for caution, the downward momentum in consumer prices is getting harder to ignore.”

 

The Guardian (October 10)

2021/ 10/ 11 by jd in Global News

“The latest revelations mark the beginning of the end for the House of Zuckerberg. The Observer’s investigations into Facebook in 2018 exposed a toxic culture. But still the business thrived.” This may seem like déjà vu, but the outcome looks set to drastically differ from the last slap on the wrist, especially if a new legal suit succeeds in proving Facebook “lied to investors.”

 

Wall Street Journal (January 8)

2021/ 01/ 10 by jd in Global News

With 13 days remaining in Trump’s presidency, “the best outcome would be for him to resign to spare the U.S. another impeachment fight.” Though impeachment could send a valuable “message to future Presidents that Congress will protect itself from populists of all ideological stripes willing to stir up a mob and threaten the Capitol or its Members.” Doing this “so late in the term” wouldn’t be “easy or without rancor…. It is best for everyone, himself included, if he goes away quietly.”

 

Reuters (September 5)

2019/ 09/ 06 by jd in Global News

“The most likely outcome is now that GDP growth will come in below 2.5%, perhaps significantly lower, the worst since the recession of 2008/09. By implication, oil consumption growth is likely to slip below 1% and 1 million bpd, in line with BP’s latest forecast,” but well short of the last two decade’s 1.5% average annual growth rate. “Until the global economy recovers momentum, oil consumption growth is likely to remain well below trend, keeping prices under pressure.”

 

The Economist (June 29)

2019/ 07/ 01 by jd in Global News

The “metropolis of money, known as the City, generates £120bn ($152bn) of output a year—as much as Germany’s car industry.” Increasingly, Brexit appears to threaten an outcome that “would make the eu poorer and damage London’s position.” In addition, the end result could “change the workings of the global financial system.”

 

Institutional Investor (August 6)

2018/ 08/ 08 by jd in Global News

“For the world of institutional investing, the topic of our time is none other than fees.” Most of the solutions being touted, such as 1-or-30, are anything but revolutionary. “Any magic is really just sleight-of-hand meant to distract us from realizing how low our expectations are for any meaningful improvement in the existing misaligned fee structures.” We must overcome this built-in bias and “expand the window of possible choices to include those that will be seen as utterly unthinkable by today’s standards.” For example, a “rent” system could be adopted in which “the allocator no longer pays fees to the manager for the use of its own capital and is assured of receiving the investment outcome it seeks (i.e., the negotiated rent). The manager gets the capital and potential revenue it needs to run its business.” Such a revolutionary move would place the risk directly where it belongs: on the asset manager.

 

The Guardian (July 8)

2018/ 07/ 10 by jd in Global News

“Theresa May’s fragile deal would be a disaster for Britain.” The Prime Minister secured “a fragile domestic political compromise only by confecting a solution that no one thinks the EU will accept. And even in the unlikely event that the EU were to sign on the dotted line, there is no disguising that while it may be better than dropping out with no deal, the Chequers agreement would be a terrible outcome.” Britain would no longer have a say “in shaping the rules of the world’s most successful trading bloc…in exchange for becoming a rule-taker in whatever scrappy free trade deal we can negotiate.”

 

Bloomberg (September 27)

2017/ 09/ 28 by jd in Global News

Shinzo Abe is taking a “momentous gamble.” Nothing less than “Japan’s economic future, and his own political legacy” will depend on the outcome of the October election.

 

The Guardian (August 24)

2017/ 08/ 25 by jd in Global News

“Something big is slowly stirring in the undergrowth of British politics. Fact by fact, announcement by announcement, the case for Britain to remain in the European Union’s single market and customs union is growing stronger and more irresistible by the day. Such an outcome is most definitely not this government’s policy. But, this autumn, something will have to give.”

 

The Economist (June 24)

2017/ 06/ 26 by jd in Global News

“Mr Modi’s admirers paint him as the man who at last unleashed India’s potential. In fact, he may go down in history for fluffing India’s best shot at rapid, sustained development. And the worries about a still darker outcome are growing.”

 

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