MarketWatch (February 18)
In the U.S., “home-builder confidence plunged to the lowest level in five months as concerns over tariffs and how they could raise the cost of housing weighed on the industry.” According to the National Association of Home Builders, its “monthly confidence index fell five points to 42 in February…. a significant change in sentiment among home builders” who are increasingly being spooked by Trump’s tariffs and rising material costs. “For buyers, the sentiment shift only adds to the likelihood that home prices could go up in an already expensive housing market.”
Tags: Buyers, Confidence, Confidence index, Home builders, Housing market, Material costs, Plunged, Sentiment, Spooked, Tariffs, Trump, U.S.
Wall Street Journal (February 17)
“The new plan for western companies is ABC: ‘Anything But China.’” Many multinationals had previously tried to correct their overreliance on Chinese suppliers through a “‘China Plus 1’ strategy of augmenting China-based suppliers with those in other countries.” Rising tensions between the U.S. and China are now prompting many tech businesses to instead adopt the ABC strategy. They are “accelerating moves to shift production out of China and look for suppliers elsewhere, signifying a global tech world that is increasingly bifurcated between the two powers.”
Tags: ‘Anything But China, ABC strategy, Bifurcated, China Plus 1, Companies, Multinationals, Overreliance, Production, Suppliers, Tech, Tensions, U.S., Western
Reuters (February 13)
“U.S. President Donald Trump says trade wars are easy to win. If so, his 25% tariffs on steel and aluminium imports ought to have big overseas producers like Rio Tinto begging for mercy. Yet shareholders in the $107 billion miner and rivals like BHP have already shrugged off concerns. Granted, they may be overly optimistic, or reckon the levies, set to go into effect next month, won’t be imposed. But it also could be because the duties would hurt the U.S. the most.”
Tags: 25% tariffs, Aluminium, BHP, Duties, Hurt, Imports, Miner, Overseas producers, Rio Tinto, Shareholders, Steel, Trade wars, Trump, U.S., Win
Reuters (March 3)
“Europe’s dark defence picture has a bright side. President Donald Trump’s hostility to erstwhile U.S. allies in Europe… has scrambled the continent’s security arrangements. Yet leaders who gathered in London on Sunday have a consolation of sorts: the pressure to rapidly rearm gives them cover to hike taxes.” They can now “legitimately tell their populations that everything has changed. There’s a solid long-term argument for Europeans to make a bigger contribution to their security. It’s a silver lining for an otherwise gloomy outlook.”
Tags: Car dealers, Cold weather, Decline, Drop, Economists, Environment, Indoors, Perilous, Rebound, Retail sales, Retailers, Tariff threats, Trump, U.S.
Fortune (February 11)
President Donald Trump’s “penny proposal” misses the “real villains:” nickels. Trump has “directed the Treasury to kill pennies, which have lost the U.S. Mint money for decades, as every penny costs 3.7 cents to produce. Nickels are even more wasteful, though, costing 13 cents each to produce, and eliminating pennies could push up demand for five-cent pieces.”
Tags: Demand, Eliminating, MINT, Money, Nickels, Pennies, Produce, Treasury, Trump, U.S., Villains, Wasteful
Wall Street Journal (February 10)
Trump’s first-term “levies hurt consumers and U.S. manufacturers.” The “truth” about his past steel tariffs is that they “made U.S. manufacturers less globally competitive and prompted retaliation that hurt American businesses.” The tariffs ultimately “created uncertainty for U.S. manufacturers and boomeranged on steel and aluminum companies.” Second-term Trump just “gave the economy another jolt of uncertainty… when he signed executive orders imposing 25% tariffs on all steel and aluminum imports.” Is his “strategy to harm U.S. manufacturers and workers?” His tariffs are “political rent-seeking at its most brazen” and benefit “the few at the expense of the many.”
Tags: Aluminum, Boomeranged, Brazen, Businesses, Competitive, Consumers, Harm, Levies, Manufacturers, Rent-seeking, Retaliation, Steel tariffs, Trump, Truth, U.S., Uncertainty
Institutional Investor (February 10)
“The reality is that DeepSeek’s January 2025 release should not have caught anybody off guard. DeepSeek has been transparent about its research and ambitions in AI development, publishing its research in a series of more than 10 papers on arVix and GitHub prior to the January paper,” not to mention disclosure elsewhere. “Despite DeepSeek being an open secret to many, the release of its R1 models, did blindside U.S. tech Illuminati and market whizzes.” Much of this is due to the “dangerous assumption” that U.S. technological dominance is assured because of “an insurmountable lead in frontier AI technologies.”
Tags: AI development, Ambitions, arVix, Blindside, Dangerous assumption, DeepSeek, Dominance, GitHub, Insurmountable, Open secret, R1 models, Reality, Release, Research, Tech Illuminati, Transparent, U.S.
Barron’s (February 6)
“Of all Trump’s potential trade war targets, Mexico is by far the most vulnerable, with exports to the U.S. close to a quarter of gross domestic product. China’s figure is less than 3%.” But Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum, a relative political novice, “taught a master class on how to play a weak hand.” She “deftly handled Donald Trump” while maintaining approval (at nearly 80%) at home.
Tags: Approval, China, Deftly, Exports, GDP, Mexico, Novice, Sheinbaum, Trade war, Trump, U.S., Vulnerable
Reuters (February 4)
“Japan’s exports of agricultural, forestry and fishery products rose 3.7% to a record high in 2024, despite China’s ban on seafood imports following Tokyo Electric Power’s discharge from the Fukushima nuclear power plant.” These exports reached 1.507 trillion yen ($9.7 billion) last year, up nearly from 1.5 trillion yen from 2023. “Exports to China plunged 29.1% to 168.1 billion yen in 2024, but exports to the United States rose 17.8% to 242.9 billion yen, making the U.S. Japan’s top export destination for the first time in 20 years.”
Tags: 2024, 3.7%, Agricultural, Ban, China, Exports, Fishery, Forestry, Fukushima, Imports, Japan, Record high, Seafood, Tepco, U.S.
The Guardian (January 30)
“Whatever the truth about DeepSeek, China’s tech sector is light years ahead on strategy and investment.” This shouldn’t come as a surprise. “China took a strategic view of the industries in which it wanted to be competitive, invested heavily to get them established, protected them when they were in their infancy, and waited patiently for the results.” China had more patent filings in 2023 that the rest of the globe combined. It graduates double the number of STEM PhDs as the U.S. And it “is already the biggest exporter of electric vehicles.” Even without DeepSeek, “the west is already losing the AI arms race.”
Tags: AI arms race, China, Competitive, DeepSeek, EVs, Invested, Investment, Losing, Patent filings, PhDs, Protected, STEM, Strategy, Tech sector, U.S.
