Fortune (February 21)
“The housing market correction just took a new turn,” which appears to be “brutal.” KB Home’s Q4 results revealed a buyer cancellation rate that shot to 68%, up from 13% year on year. The Q4 cancellation rate “also surpassed the industry’s peak cancellation rate of 47% during the darkest days of the 2008-era crash.”
Tags: 2008-era crash, 47%, 68%, Brutal, Buyer cancellation rate, Correction, Housing market, KB Home, Peak, Q4 results
Wall Street Journal (January 2)
Citing “red flags” like housing market decline, the spend down of pandemic savings, and tighter bank lending standards, “more than two-thirds of the economists at 23 large financial institutions that do business directly with the Federal Reserve are betting the U.S. will have a recession in 2023. Two others are predicting a recession in 2024.”
Tags: 2023, Decline, Economists, Fed, Financial institutions, Housing market, Lending standards, Pandemic savings, Recession, Red flags, Tighter, U.S.
Bloomberg (June 30)
“The Federal Reserve is cooling off the red-hot housing market as it fights to curb inflation by driving up interest rates.” The ensuing “housing slowdown is helping to solve the US real estate market’s most intractable problem: tight inventory.” New sellers are entering the market at a faster pace while there are “fewer buyers competing.” As a result, “the number of active US listings jumped 18.7% in June from a year earlier, the largest annual increase in data going back to 2017.”
Tags: Buyers, Cooling off, Fed, Housing market, Inflation, Interest rates, Intractable, Inventory, Listings, Real estate, Red-hot, Sellers, Slowdown, U.S.
CNN (May 9)
“After 14 straight months of year-over-year home price growth reaching into the double digits, we’re finally starting to see the early signs of a cooling housing market.” This doesn’t portend an imminent crash. “In fact, prices may not even fall. Rather, this will be a much-needed rebalancing from the unhealthy market conditions we see today.”
Tags: Cooling, Crash, Double digits, Early signs, Homes, Housing market, Price growth, Rebalancing, Unhealthy
Fortune (April 24)
The U.S. may be experiencing “the hottest housing market ever recorded. Over the past 12 months, U.S. home prices are up a staggering 19.2%.” Analysts expected the market “would lose some steam” in 2022, but that “hasn’t come to fruition—yet.” Instead, things have actually “gotten a bit hotter, with housing inventory on Zillow down 52% from pre-pandemic levels.” All of this leaves “a growing chorus of economists speculating that if home price growth doesn’t abate soon, the housing market could eventually overheat. Or worse: We could wind up in another full-fledged housing bubble.”
Tags: Analysts, Bubble, Economists, Home prices, Hotter, Housing market, Inventory, Overheat, Staggering, U.S.
Bloomberg (November 26)
“China’s economy continued to slow in November with car and homes sales dropping again as the housing market crisis dragged on.” While numbers for eight early indicators “stayed unchanged, under the surface there was a further deterioration in some of the real-time economic data.”
Tags: Cars, China, Crisis, Deterioration, Economy, Homes, Housing market, Indicators, November, Sales, Slow, Unchanged
The Irish Times (July 10)
“The Brexit planning document published by the Government on Tuesday is reminiscent of the warnings about the Irish economy and housing market that proliferated in the first phase of the economic crash a decade ago. It is one of the most alarming documents ever published by an Irish government…. Written in low-key officialise, it is a sobering read.”
Tags: Alarming, Brexit, Economic crash, Government, Housing market, Ireland, Planning, UK, Warnings
BBC (January 17)
In the UK, “Surveyors and estate agents reckon the housing market outlook over the next three months is the worst for 20 years….. It’s the most downbeat reading since records started in October 1998 and the pessimism is blamed on the lack of clarity around Brexit.”
Tags: Brexit, Clarity, Downbeat, Estate agents, Housing market, Outlook, Pessimism, Surveyors, UK
The Economist (August 20)
“What are the most dysfunctional parts of the global financial system?” While here are many candidates, “if sheer size is your yardstick, nothing beats America’s housing market.” At $26 trillion, “it is the world’s largest asset class” and “the slab of mortgage debt lurking beneath it is the planet’s biggest concentration of financial risk.” This wasn’t fully sanitized in the wake of the financial crisis. “Vast, nationalised, unprofitable and undercapitalised, it remains a menace to the world’s biggest economy.”
Tags: Asset class, Dysfunctional, Financial risk, Global financial system, Housing market, Mortgage debt, Size, U.S.
