Economic Times (March 28)
Regulators suspect a single “trade on Deutsche Bank AG’s credit default swaps… fuelled a global selloff on Friday.” The roughly £5 million bet was for swaps on the bank’s junior debt. Likely due to market illiquidity, along with market jitters, the “knock-on effect was a rout that sent banking stocks tumbling, government bonds higher and CDS prices for lenders soaring.”
Tags: Bonds, CDS, Deutsche Bank, Global selloff, Illiquidity, Jitters, Junior debt, Market, Regulators, Rout, Suspect, Trade, Tumbling
American Banker (March 27)
“Silicon Valley Bank was not the only institution that loaded up on bonds at precisely the wrong time. Based analyzing the regulatory filings of over 4,700 U.S. banks, “dozens of other banks — most of them quite small — are deeply underwater on their bond investments and could hit trouble if they were unexpectedly forced to liquidate the investments.” Still, “many experts say there is very little risk that those unrealized losses could ever turn into a problem, given the many options available to banks and regulators’ focus on avoiding that type of scenario.”
Tags: Banks, Bonds, Experts, Forced, Investments, Liquidate, Regulators, Regulatory filings, Risk, SVB, U.S., Underwater, Unrealized losses, Wrong time
Bloomberg (January 21)
“In a week marked by fresh recession angst from Wall Street to Davos, JPMorgan Chase & Co. finds the odds of an economic downturn priced into financial markets have actually fallen sharply from their 2022 highs.” In October, “a contraction was effectively seen as a done deal across markets.” Now, “according to the firm’s trading model, seven of nine asset classes from high-grade bonds to European stocks now show less than a 50% chance of a recession. That’s a big reversal.”
Tags: Angst, Asset classes, Bonds, Contraction, Davos, Economic downturn, Financial markets, JPMorgan Chase, Recession, Stocks, Trading model, Wall Street
Reuters (December 16)
“The euro zone will soon have to pay for a decade of European Central Bank largesse. Rising interest rates are turning the ECB’s portfolio of bonds acquired since 2014 into a money-losing machine. The question of how those losses are shared could become a major source of tension between member states.”
Tags: 2014, Bonds, ECB, Euro zone, Interest rates, Largesse, Losses, Money-losing, Portfolio, Rising
Wall Street Journal (December 12)
“Stocks and bonds have headed in opposite directions to start December, a sign that investors’ worries about slowing growth have started to eclipse their fears of persistent inflation.”
Tags: Bonds, December, Fears, Investors, Opposite directions, Persistent inflation, Slowing growth, Stocks, Worries
Market Watch (November 15)
“A bullish day is setting up for stocks after more upbeat news on inflation as producer prices fell more than expected.” But the relief rally is likely overdone. “Wall Street remains wary, with fresh warnings from two big banks.” On Monday, Goldman Sachs cautioned “clients that the relief rally in bonds and risky assets was ‘likely overdone,’” just as “one of Wall Street’s most vocal bulls — Marco Kolanovic of JPMorgan — cut his equity risk exposure for the second time in two months, and he also cited that big market bounce last week.”
Tags: Bonds, Bullish, Goldman Sachs, Inflation, JPMorgan, Kolanovic, Overdone, Producer prices, Relief rally, Risky assets, Stocks, Upbeat, Wall Street, Warnings, Wary
Sydney Morning Herald (August 10)
“There are 68 trusts in China with about $4.3 trillion of assets – property loans, shares, bonds and commodities – under management, with property accounting for at least $500 billion of the total.” The National Audit Office has been instructed “to inspect the books of the country’s biggest trust firms.” This shows “the increasing concern of the Chinese authorities that the implosion of their property development sector could ignite a wider financial crisis.”
Tags: $4.3 trillion, 68 trusts, Assets, Authorities, Bonds, China, Commodities, Concern, Implosion, Loans, National Audit Office, Property, Shares
Investment Week (July 14)
“For the first time in over a decade, listed stocks and bonds are positively correlated. Combined with geopolitical tensions, record inflation and monetary policy shifts, investors are having to look further afield to achieve returns.” That has some investors looking at alternatives as “an effective diversifier that can be worked into a full portfolio.”
Tags: Alternatives, Bonds, Decade, Diversifier, Geopolitical tensions, Inflation, Investors, Monetary policy, Positively correlated, Returns, Stocks
Institutional Investor (May 25)
“Managers that want to run fixed-income funds with a focus on environmental, social, and governance factors face larger research challenges than those in stocks. But the massive opportunity in bonds may make the uphill battle worth it.” Compared to equities, the “patchwork of standards” increases the “risks of ESG fixed income funds.”
Tags: Bonds, Challenges, Equities, ESG, Fixed income, Funds, Managers, Opportunity, Patchwork, Research, Risks, Standards, Stocks, Uphill
Financial Times (September 22)
“While Evergrande’s US dollar bonds are trading at levels that suggest default, Beijing is unlikely to allow the company’s woes to proliferate to the point at which they risk creating a systemic crisis. The correct way to view the Evergrande meltdown is to see it as a controlled explosion. Beijing is teaching the developer a very public and painful lesson.”
Tags: Beijing, Bonds, Controlled, Default, Evergrande, Explosion, Lesson, Meltdown, Painful, Risk, Systemic crisis, Trading
