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Bloomberg (July 18)

2017/ 07/ 20 by jd in Global News

“The growing focus on the risks associated with the BOJ’s monetary stimulus program—which includes enormous asset purchases, particularly of Japanese government bonds, as well as negative interest rates and yield curve control—comes as its inflation target remains elusive. With no end to its program in sight, the BOJ is under increasing pressure to mitigate risks and explain its thinking about an eventual exit.” Bloomberg calculated that the BOJ already owns over 70 percent of all shares in Japan-listed ETFs and could soon own most of the free float in companies like Fast Retailing.0000000000000

 

Reuters (April 27)

2017/ 04/ 28 by jd in Global News

For “the first time since March 2008 the BOJ used the word ‘expansion’ to describe the state of the economy, signaling its conviction that the recovery was gaining momentum.” Still, some “analysts doubt inflation will accelerate as quickly as the BOJ projects, with slow wage growth keeping households from boosting spending.”

 

Institutional Investor (February 6)

2017/ 02/ 07 by jd in Global News

Legendary bond investor Bill Gross believes the “$12 trillion now held by central banks is a permanent fixture of global finance, acting a bit like methadone. Methadone manages the craving, but does little to end the patient’s addiction.” He also posits that the U.S. would be in recession if it were not for the easing measures of the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan.

 

Bloomberg (November 10)

2016/ 11/ 11 by jd in Global News

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) proved no match for the zero lower bound. “The Bank of Japan’s recent quarterly report says, in effect, that the central bank has done all it can do to raise growth and inflation, and that fiscal policy needs to step in and help.” The BoJ already “owns more than half of the ETF shares in the whole country” and is estimated to soon “be the biggest shareholder in 55 of the 225 companies in the Nikkei index.” Other central banks will follow Japan’s retreat. “The era of bold monetary policy experimentation that began with the global financial crisis is now drawing to a close.”

 

Financial Times (July 26)

2016/ 07/ 27 by jd in Global News

“There is a welcome sense among the world’s policymakers—at least, those outside the UK—that life is returning to the pre-EU referendum normal. The tasks of the Fed and the BoJ are not easy, particularly for the latter. But at least the challenges and the risks involved are looking a great deal more familiar.”

 

Bloomberg (May 16)

2016/ 05/ 17 by jd in Global News

“Never before has the Bank of Japan done so much to achieve so little. Even after arranging a record stimulus program and reducing a key interest rate to less than zero, the central bank has failed to boost inflation to its goal of 2 percent…. A central bank using up its policy tools doesn’t bode well for a nation with the world’s largest debt burden.”

 

Reuters (May 15)

2016/ 05/ 16 by jd in Global News

“Fears policy makers are out of ammunition has led a growing number of overseas investors to speculate the BOJ might resort to helicopter money,” but this remains unlikely. “Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda likes to keep markets guessing by saying one thing and doing another, but… officials and close associates say he almost certainly means it” when he rules out using helicopter money to reinvigorate the economy.

 

Bloomberg (April 26)

2016/ 04/ 27 by jd in Global News

“With the BoJ dabbling in negative interest rates, JGB yields have gotten compressed to a maximum of 0.4 percent, and that’s at a maturity of 40 years. It’s as though Japanese financial institutions are sitting on a tightly wound spring. Even a small increase in the yield — a little uncoiling — could send the whole edifice flying, a risk Janus Capital’s Bill Gross cites as an example of ‘global monetary lunacy.’”

 

Institutional Investor (April 23)

2016/ 04/ 25 by jd in Global News

“Rate announcements by the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan will loom large this coming week as investors consider the alternate reality of negative interest rates. Meanwhile, key economic indicators for onetime BRIC stars Russia and Brazil will arrive as each suffers from the weight of low oil prices and Brazil deals with domestic political intrigue surrounding the impeachment of President Dilma Rousseff.”

 

Bloomberg (April 18)

2016/ 04/ 19 by jd in Global News

“The death toll from earthquakes that struck southern Japan rose to 42 and the economic impact began to reverberate Monday as companies surveyed damage and the potential effects on production from supply-chain disruptions.” Amidst the uncertainty, investors “are speculating that Japan’s government and central bank will need to consider more stimulus for an economy that is already struggling.”

 

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