Bloomberg (February 2)
“The US president’s stance toward the greenback may help Xi Jinping realize his dream of making the yuan a global reserve currency.” At the top of President Xi’s wish “list is a ‘powerful currency’ with global-reserve status that punches its weight in international trade and foreign-exchange markets.” China now looks “well positioned to benefit from any long-term shift away from the dollar.” Despite Trump’s America First bluster, his “disruptive policies may be playing into the hands of rivals like China, who are only too eager to exploit US weakness wherever they see an opening.”
Tags: America first, Disruptive policies, Dollar, Exploit, Forex, Global reserve currency, Greenback, International trade, Powerful, President, U.S., Xi, Yuan
Reuters (November 18)
“Renowned China hawks” like Robert Lighthizer, Mike Walz and Marco Rubio “are not the names Beijing wants popping up in President-elect Donald Trump’s early cabinet appointments. Markets agree, as the yuan has fallen about 2% against the dollar since Trump’s victory at the polls.” If Trump “follows through on threats to raise American tariffs on imports from China to as much as 60%” there will be more “downward pressure.”
Tags: Appointments, Cabinet, China, Dollar, Hawks, Imports, Lighthizer, Markets, Rubio, Tariffs, Threats, Trump, Walz, Yuan
Bloomberg (September 26)
“Asian markets risk a reprise of crisis-level stress as two of the region’s most important currencies crumble under the onslaught of relentless dollar strength. The yuan and yen are both tumbling due to the growing disparity between an uber-hawkish Federal Reserve and dovish policy makers in China and Japan.”
Tags: Asia, China, Crisis, Crumble, Currencies, Disparity, Dollar, Dovish, Fed, Hawkish, Markets, Onslaught, Relentless, Risk, Stress, Tumbling, Yen, Yuan
The Guardian (August 13)
“Forget doom-laden headlines, the dollar has not gone into terminal decline.” In fact, the dollar’s resiliency has been upheld even though “Donald Trump’s administration has done more than any in living memory to disrupt US trade” and has transformed the nation into an unreliable alliance partner. And yet, “the currency’s international role has not diminished significantly.” The simple truth is “there is no alternative. The euro is not an alternative…. Nor is the yuan a viable alternative.”
Tags: Alliance partner, Alternative, Currency, Decline, Diminished, Disrupt, Dollar, Doom, euro, Resiliency, Trade, Trump, U.S., Unreliable, Yuan
CBS News (May 13)
“The U.S. imports far more Chinese goods than China imports from the U.S. So China can’t directly impose retaliatory tariffs equal to Mr. Trump’s…. The U.S. just doesn’t send enough goods to China.” China could, however, let the yuan weaken and this may prove their best response. “If the Chinese currency were to drop in value, it would make the country’s goods less expensive in foreign markets, propping up export demand and volume abroad.”
Tags: China, Currency, Export demand, Imports, Retaliatory, Tariffs, Trump, U.S., Weaken, Yuan
Bloomberg (August 10)
“The slide in China’s currency paused this week after jawboning by the central bank,” but the rout may not be over. “The ripples of the yuan’s 4.7 percent drop this year may be just starting to spread to the country’s neighbors” such as Vietnam, where the “dong has been moving steadily closer to the edge of its 3 percent daily trading band against the dollar over the past two weeks, as traders bet on faster depreciation.” Moreover, Vietnam is only half caught up with the drop in China’s currency, “suggesting further depreciation is possible – particularly if the yuan resumes its decline.”
Tags: Central bank, China, Currency, Depreciation, Dong, Ripples, Rout, Slide, Trading band, Vietnam, Yuan
Bloomberg (June 2)
“China’s yuan policy has blindsided forecasters once again. The sudden surge in the last four days — for the onshore exchange rate, it’s been the steepest gain in more than four months — pushed the currency beyond levels predicted by even the most optimistic analysts.” At least eight analysts rushing to change their estimates. This is not the first time they have been caught flat footed. “Market watchers were caught off guard earlier in the year as well, when the yuan confounded expectations by strengthening in the first quarter.”
Tags: Analysts, Blindsided, China, Confounded, Currency, Exchange rate, Expectations, Forecasters, Gain, Yuan
Wall Street Journal (January 11)
“Beijing’s erratic response to the falling yuan and stock prices has exposed policy disarray. But behind the scenes an important debate has been raging over how to revive economic growth that some analysts believe is below 5%.”
Tags: Beijing, China, Disarray, Economic growth, Erratic, Response, Stock prices, Yuan
Bloomberg (August 19)
“Beijing still believes money can buy the trust and soft power it craves, which explains the new $100 billion Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank it has sponsored. But as long as analysts don’t feel the Chinese government’s pronouncements are genuinely reliable, skepticism about the yuan will only grow.”
Tags: AIIB, Beijing, Government, Money, Reliable, Skepticism, Soft power, Trust, Yuan
Institutional Investors (August 15)
“As earnings season winds down, investors around the globe are left to consider how a shifting macro environment will impact different asset classes and geographies.” Fears of a continuing yuan devaluation “will factor into perceptions of nearly all the major data points that will emerge.”
Tags: Asset classes, Data points, Devaluation, Earnings, Geographies, Investors, Macro environment, Yuan
